ND's schedule was in a completely different galaxy from TSUN's this fall. Sure ND could've won a few more last year in terms of talent, but there are no parallels between that schedule and this one, other than their place as a hated rival of many of the same folk.
UM will have a rough start to the season, but after the front-loaded competition is past, they should easily make their way to a bowl game.
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I highly doubt scUM pulls a number like that...but anything is possible.
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That comes down to Justin Feagin and the trenches after the first month or so. If they can be merely adequate, UM will make a bowl game. If he looks like a frosh out there (or worse, isn't ready and Threet/Sheridan are running the offense), that highly turnover prone offense could be disastrous at times. The trench play comment needs no explanation as that determines ball games. UM is weak on the OL and have almost no depth behind a very good DL.