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| 2005 Football Season Capsule The main threads for each of the 2005 season games. Looking ahead to the upcoming season, these threads will serve as a future timecapsule. |
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10-16-2005, 11:33 PM
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heh, I think he'll keep up his annual tradition of scoring a TD vs. IU. Tress did try to get pittman in, who got stopped. The qb sneak on 2nd down was the right call.
         
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10-17-2005, 08:49 AM
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DBB's Weekly Statistical Breakdown
Comparing Ohio State against our next opponent based on:
Indiana's Opponents: Central Mich::Nicholls State::Kentucky::Wisconsin::Illinois::Iowa **Something to note before I even get into the numbers. This type of analysis basically compares your team to the other teams that your opponents have played. Since Nicholls State is I-AA, there other opponents are all I-AA and this greatly improves Indiana's numbers. More on this later.** These 6 teams taken together GIVE UP 393.31 yards and 26.65 points per game. Not really bad, but vastly skewed by Nicholls State's 267.6 ypg against I-AA competition. Indiana averaged 410.67 yards and 29.0 points per game against them. Not bad, right? Indiana's 6 opponents taken together GAIN 376.86 yards and 28.5 points per game. Iowa is the best offense they've faced, yardage wise. Indiana gave up 367.33 yards and 25.0 points per game to these teams. Against bad offenses, that's not very good. So Indiana's break down is... INDIANA OFFENSE GAINS/SCORES
now for the... OSU BREAKDOWN: OSU's Opponents: Miami U::Texas::SDSU::Iowa::PSU::MSU These 6 teams taken together GIVE UP 352.84 yards and 20.83 points per game. That's much better than the defenses Indiana has faced. The Buckeyes averaged 359.67 yards and 26.5 points per game against them. As I said last week, even against good defenses, that's disappointing. OSU's 6 opponents taken together GAIN 445.53 yards and 34.88 points per game. That is freakin' PHENOMENAL. It would be difficult to exaggerate how much better OSU's opponents have been on offense than have Indiana's. Ohio State has given up only 274.5 yards and 15.33 points per game to these teams. Those numbers posted against that schedule, while saddled with a turn-over prone offense and special teams, are tremendous. So the Buckeye break down is... OSU OFFENSE GAINS/SCORES
BREAKING DOWN THE MATCHUP There are many ways of breaking these numbers down, but I'll examine three. The first way is to compare offense to offense and defense to defense. Here, OSU is vastly superior as only our offense is mediocre, while the Loosiers are mediocre on both sides of the ball. In fact, against I-A competition, Indiana's offense has a point differential of practically zero and actually gains FEWER yards than their opponents typically give up. Things get UGLY when you look at the other two ways of breaking the numbers down. Both of these methods are essentially an attempt to predict what each teams output in the head-head match-up is going to be. The first of these is to compare each team's average offense to the other team's differential defense. The second breakdown compare's each team's average defense to the other team's differential offense. Method 1: Take OSU's offensive output and subtract the amount that Indiana holds their opponents below their averages. Then do the same for Indiana's offense vs. OSU's defense and the result is the following: OSU yards: 359.67 (avg O) - 9.53 (Indiana D) = 350.14 Yards OSU points: 26.5 (avg score) - 3.5 (Indiana D) = 23 Points Indiana yards: 410.67 - 171.03 = 239.64 yards Indiana points: 29.0 - 19.54 = 9.46 points Method 2: Take Indiana's defensive average and adds the amount that OSU gains beyond their opponents average defense. Then do the same for OSU's defense vs Indiana's offense and the result is the following: OSU yards: 367.33 (Indiana D) + 6.83 (diff yards) = 374.16 Yards OSU points: 25.0 (Indiana D) + 5.67 (diff pts) = 30.67 Points Indiana yards: 274.5 + 17.36 = 291.86 yards Indiana points: 15.33 + 2.36 = 17.69 points UPSHOT: Either way the statistical analysis, ignoring the difference in schedules, suggests that OSU is a 2 TD favorite. This type of analysis REQUIRES that schedule be factored in though:
Go Bucks!
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10-17-2005, 12:47 PM
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I think it's pretty obvious that Antonio Pittman has a shot at 200 yards in this game. That is, if he can get there before the 3rd quarter is over. I don't see us having huge passing numbers against this team. I think this is a game where we run the ball a lot, both with Smith and Pittman, and probably Wells too. Might even see Wells make a run at 100 yards rushing. I think Indiana will be able to get some passing yards on us, but that's about it.
After this week we will be back to being #1 in rushing defense, and we will will also greatly improve are rushing offense stats. The Buckeyes haven't had an "easy" game in a month...look for them to play hard...and enjoy beating up another team. This game will be a lot like the Miami, OH game I feel...except maybe a little bit higher scoring.
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10-17-2005, 01:58 PM
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i think indiana is improving through this season and hardy is a good receiver so i could see this being close for a while although im not really worried about us losing. i will give the indiana staff and players props for making the big 10 more competitive and not falling down and being the beatdown team like in the past. i wish them the best and good luck on a bowl bid.
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10-17-2005, 02:23 PM
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Indiana in the shoe is almost always a blow out, but they've been very tough at home. Remember the game that put us in the 97 Rose Bowl? Indiana outplayed us the entire way until Vrable or Luke Finkle stole the ball and rambled 50 some yards for a TD. At least its a "home game" for us in terms of the number of butts in the stands... a home game without TBDBITL.
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10-17-2005, 02:28 PM
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they weren't very tough in 2003. An anemic offense put up 600 yds, with Lydell Ross starring. They don't have a defense. Maybe, just maybe if OSU had lost last week and were really down on themselves, we could lose this game. But I think Teddy Ginn at QB could engineer some scoring drives against this team.
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10-17-2005, 02:32 PM
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i personally would like to see boeckman play qb. i would like to see ginn at qb as sort of a trick play of sorts.
 ginn wasnt too bad at glenville. i believe he went 60 something for 90 something in completed passes there so he cant be too bad.
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10-17-2005, 03:50 PM
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Quote:
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10-17-2005, 04:59 PM
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10-17-2005, 05:15 PM
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Quote:
Last edited by BB73; 10-19-2005 at 07:07 PM. Reason: game is on regular ESPN
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10-17-2005, 08:31 PM
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Rivals Two Deep for Indiana
http://ohiostatebuckeyes.collegespor...-two-deep.html
Looks like Barton is back and starting, even though Boone played well. Malcom Jenkins is going to get the start because of the injury to Tyler Everett.
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10-17-2005, 08:39 PM
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The O-Zone lists starting RT as Barton OR Boone. Looks like Kirk hasn't been cleared to play yet. Boone's also backing up at LT.
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10-17-2005, 09:19 PM
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Quote:
hey Cinci, you got anymore of that gum?
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