[sandgk]

Originally Posted by Steve19

Sagarin's model still has the opening Bayesian estimates in it. In other words, his beginning estimates are still in, so this isn't his real ratings yet. I think it will be next week that enough games have been played to drop that. Until then, don't consider these ratings anything more than a guide.

Actually, I think you can go farther. Till he drops the opening estimate and only uses current season data I simply would not even bother looking at the Sagarin.