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Originally Posted by BuckeyeNation27
To understand why the SoS rankings are so retarded, you have to look at what makes them up. A team is strong for your SoS if they have a good record. So a team like Toledo last year boosts your SoS.
Should a team like Toledo really be BOOSTING your SoS?
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Doesn't really work that way, BN27. Wins and losses do impact on computer ratings, but other factors also come into account. It is the entire matrix of all inter-related events (i.e., the games) that is taken into account. So, it's not only who you play but who they played that makes up your computer rating and hence your contribution to other team's SoS ratings. Some models also include yards gained on the ground and in the air versus your average and other metrics, game by game.
As example, TCU was 11-1 but ranked only #15 in the Sagarin's, due mainly to an SoS rank of #71. TSUN was 7-5 but was ranked just one place behind them because of a SoS rank of #3. An outcome against either team would have had almost exactly the same effect on your SoS.
As another example, Appalachian State was 12-3 but ranked only #69, for obvious reasons.
It's late, early teaching, off to bed.