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  #91 (permalink)  
Old 03-19-2007, 01:48 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OSUBasketballJunkie View Post
One thing I think we have in our favor is the 2-3 zone we have used the past 10 games that has really been effective, we didn't use this against UT if I remember correctly, we have the quickness on the perimeter to control their outside guys in my opinion. Oden will get his shots, he will have to hit more than this past weekend or we could be in for a battle.

Lofton will get his points, we held him to 21 in the first meeting but it was the rest of UT's shooters to get going that was the difference in the game. Remember that we were up by double digits midway through the second half of the first game but had some untimely turnovers and silly turnovers that got them back in the game.....we handle their pressure, we win.
I'm still learning about the detailed nuances about basketball, but I feel like he 2-3 zone I saw against Wisconsin in the Big 10 title game really helps Tennessee in this match up. Wayne Chism and Ryan Childress are both 6-9 post players who have great stroke from the perimeter (for their size). We have literally 5 guys who are legitimate deep threats and another in Ramar Smith who can hit open threes, but also break down his man, drive fearlessly into Oden's neighborhood and draw fouls.
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  #92 (permalink)  
Old 03-19-2007, 01:57 PM
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Agreed, and it's not that outrageous to stay up till what, maybe 11:30? I just wouldn't be going out to watch this one.
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  #93 (permalink)  
Old 03-19-2007, 02:45 PM
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We havent seen it and i dont see it coming this game either, but a 1-3-1 might be a pretty good defense against the Tennessee offense. Oden in the middle and Hunter on the baseline. Our guards are quick enough to get to the 3 shooter and Oden would nullify the paint. Hunter providing some trapping on the wings might cause more turnovers for our guys. Any thoughts on how this might work out?
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  #94 (permalink)  
Old 03-19-2007, 03:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VolinArizona View Post
I'm still learning about the detailed nuances about basketball, but I feel like he 2-3 zone I saw against Wisconsin in the Big 10 title game really helps Tennessee in this match up. Wayne Chism and Ryan Childress are both 6-9 post players who have great stroke from the perimeter (for their size). We have literally 5 guys who are legitimate deep threats and another in Ramar Smith who can hit open threes, but also break down his man, drive fearlessly into Oden's neighborhood and draw fouls.

I don't understand why you think playing a zone defense is a bad thing. If they have two guys who are 6'9 you certainly do not want Oden going out onto the floor and trying to guard them. That would leave the lane wide open for cutters and take away any rebounding advantage that we might have. I certainly do not know as much as Matta but I think playing man-to-man against the Vols would be a big mistake unless we get behind and his court dictates it. The only way I would play man-to-man against these guys would be if I had the same lineup in the game that was in during the overtime against X and that would take away the biggest advantage we have on offense. I think having played them earlier in the season and the fact that we had a very difficult game this past Saturday will get the guys attention.
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  #95 (permalink)  
Old 03-19-2007, 03:06 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by osugrad21 View Post
Sure...for the same reason I slow down when I see an accident or the ambulance.

She's no Bea Arthur.
You got that right!!!
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  #96 (permalink)  
Old 03-19-2007, 03:27 PM
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Color me pessimistic, but I see UT (the REAL one) shooting us out of a zone pretty quickly in this game. I'd rather have Oden out there guarding Chism at the arc than Lofton and Co getting open three's all game.
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  #97 (permalink)  
Old 03-19-2007, 04:11 PM
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I see two minor keys to the game, that is keys beyond JO4H's central goal of more points.

Tennessee lost 7 of the 13 games in which their Pomeroy effective field goal (eFG) percentage was below 50%. Their game against the Buckeyes was one of their seven lowest eFG games, at 44.7%. Effective field goal percentage is like regular field goal percentage except that it gives 50% more credit for made three-pointers.


eFG% = (.5*3FGM + FGM) / FGA


Lofton and JaJuan Smith are the two players who are most effective shooters. They put up more than 50% of the threes that Tennessee takes and hit more than a third of them.


Making sure that they don't get easy looks from the perimeter will be key, and no defensive lapses in that endeavor, will be key. Chism and the other Smith also have hit about 30% of their threes, so perimeter play will be essential.

That said, on the year, we have shot threes as good or better than UT. We also have improved our free throw rate, which captures a team's ability to score from the line.


FTRateoff = FTM / FGAFTRatedef = FTA / FGA


In losses to North Carolina and Florida, our FTR was below .20. It has only been below .30 twice since mid-February (the last two Wisconsin games).

What determines if we win?

Tennessee likes a fast-paced game and rank in the top 20 when pace of game is measured. Our rank is in the 230's adn all three of our losses came in our seven fastest paced games. Tennessee has lost fast and slow paced games and no pattern emerges.

So, we must slow this game down and work