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Old 08-02-2006, 06:22 PM
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The Probability Poll

Here's another fun way to look at the possible outcome of this year's Big Ten campaign. I'll call it the Probability Poll. The asterick marks games in perenthesis that I think that could go either way. The games on the right without perenthesis are probable losses.

Ohio State 9-3* (@Texas, @Iowa, @MSU)
Iowa 8-4* (OSU,@Mich, Wisc, @Minn)
Wisc 8-2*-2 (PSU,@Iowa) @Mich, @Purdue
Mich 6-4*-2 (@Minn,MSU,@PSU,Iowa) ND, @OSU
PSU 5-5*-2 (@Minn,Mich,@Pur,@Wisc,MSU) ND, @OSU
NW 7-5 @PSU,@Wisc,@Mich,@Iowa,OSU
Purdue 6-2*-5 (PSU,@Ill) @ND,@Iowa,@NW,@MSU
MSU 5-7*- (ND,@Mich,OSU,Minn,@PSU,@Pitt, @North)
Minn 4-4*-4(Mich,PSU@MSU,Iowa)Cal,@Pur,@Wis@OSU
Ill 5-1*-7 (Syr) @Rut,Iowa,@MSU,@PSU,@Wis,OSU,@NW
Ind 4-8 Wis,@Ill,Iowa,@OSU,MSU,@Minn,Mich,@Pur

Best case scenario for each team under this analysis:

Ohio State, Iowa or Michigan State 12-0
Michigan, Penn State, or Wisconsin 10-2
Minnesota 8-4
Purdue 8-5
Northwestern 7-5
Illinois 6-7
Indiana 4-8

Interesting that when looking at MSU's schedule I didn't see a single game where it's an absolute certainty they'd lose. You could argue @ Michigan, but that's an in-state rivalry game.

What games do you think are toss-ups and gimme's?

Last edited by LordJeffBuck; 08-02-2006 at 08:07 PM.
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 08-02-2006, 06:50 PM
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Quote:
Ohio State 9-3* (@Texas, @Iowa, @OSU)
I assume that @OSU is supposed to be @MSU (OregonBuckeye caught that)...
__________________



Last edited by MililaniBuckeye; 08-02-2006 at 07:38 PM.
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  #3 (permalink)  
Old 08-02-2006, 07:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Carmen Ohio
Ohio State 9-3* (@Texas, @Iowa, @OSU)
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