BCS predictions/discussion/Knock Em' Off

[BB73]

An early take on which teams will make the BCS games following the 2007 season.

Fiutak predicts USC-LSU in the title game.

cfn.fiutak

[RhodeIslandBuck]

My predictions:

Rose Bowl:
Ohio State (Big Ten Champions) vs. Oklahoma (At-Large)

Orange Bowl:
Virginia Tech (ACC Champion) vs. Louisville (At-Large)

Fiesta Bowl:
Texas (Big 12 Champion) vs. Michigan (At-Large)

Sugar Bowl:
West Virginia (Big East Champion) vs. Florida (At-Large)

BCS National Championship Game:
USC (BCS #1) vs. LSU (BCS #2)

TCU will just miss out and Wisconsin is only left out because of only being able to have two two teams from he same conference in the BCS.

[GatorsAreGood]

BCS National Championship Game:
Florida (BCS #1) vs. Ohio State (BCS #2)

[TGfan06]

Rose: Wisconsin(Big Ten) over UCLA(at-large)


Sugar: Florida(SEC) over Texas(at-large)


Orange: LSU(at-large) over Miami(at-large)


Fiesta: Texas A&M(BIG12) over WVU(Big East)


BCS Title Game: Virginia Tech(ACC) over USC(PAC10)

[HailToMichigan]

I wouldn't even dare to predict how the Big Ten will shake out. Far too many question marks on the contenders. Michigan, Ohio State, Wisconsin, even Penn State could all win it.....then again they could all end up with four conference losses too.

ACC champ: VT (plech)
SEC champ: Florida
Big 12 champ: Texas
Pac-10 champ: USC
Big East champ: WVU

If Virginia Tech goes to the title game I will barf.

[Zurp]

Rose - Ohio State (At Large) vs. USC (Pac10)
Sugar - Florida (SEC) vs. Case Western Reserve University (At Large)
Fiesta - Texas (At Large) vs. LSU (At Large)
Orange - West Virginia (Big East) vs. Virginia Tech (ACC)
BCS National Championship - Oklahoma vs. Michigan

[BB73]

Here is a description of this year's selection process.

cfn.bcs

- The ACC champion goes to the Orange, the Big Ten and Pac 10 champions go to the Rose, the SEC champion goes to the Sugar, and the Big 12 champion goes to the Fiesta. Whichever bowl loses the number one seed to the national championship gets the first at-large choice. So if it's LSU 1 and USC 2, the Sugar Bowl gets the first pick, and the Rose gets the second. Flip-flop that if it's USC 1 and LSU 2.

- Outside of the bowls that lose the national title teams, the pecking order this year as far as at-large pickups is 1) Orange, 2) Fiesta, 3) Sugar, 4) Rose

- The bowls basically have to ask permission from everyone to take the same at-large team two years in a row, create a rematch of last year?s bowl, a regular season game, and they can adapt and adjust if some matchup looks more appealing. So yes, if LSU is number one and playing for the national title, the Sugar could take Cal, but Fox, the Rose Bowl, and the American public would likely put pressure on for the Bears to play the Big Ten champion in Pasadena.

- One other thing to watch out for is Hawaii. A "mid-major" gets an automatic big if it finishes in the top 12 of the final BCS standings, or is in the top 16, and one of the major champions is ranked lower. Ex: Hawaii finishes 16th, but Colorado wins the Big 12 title and finishes 17th, then the Warriors get an automatic spot.

Cont'd ...

[Zurp]

Originally Posted by Zurp

Rose - Ohio State (At Large) vs. USC (Pac10)
Sugar - Florida (SEC) vs. Case Western Reserve University (At Large)
Fiesta - Texas (At Large) vs. LSU (At Large)
Orange - West Virginia (Big East) vs. Virginia Tech (ACC)
BCS National Championship - Oklahoma vs. Michigan

Hmm.. I'm begining to wonder if I'll get ANY of my predictions right. My BCS NC game is pretty much blown up. West Virginia may be out of a BCS game now. Texas may need a lot of help to get in a BCS game. And CWRU has too many freshmen to be considered for a BCS game, even if they do win a game this year.

[sandgk]

Some of the Computer ranking pages are generating data.

Here are those with data (rest will post October 14th).

Sagarin - Has Ohio State #3 (EDIT: #8 in ELO-CHESS used by the BCS - thanks Dryden)

Billingsley - Also rates the Buckeyes #3

Colley Matrix places tOSU 9th

Massey slots the Scarlet & Gray in at #4 (BC gets the 3 spot)

The other sites can be conveniently found here at Fox's BCS page.

[Dryden]

Originally Posted by sandgk

Sagarin - Has Ohio State #3

Need to use ELO CHESS for the BCS formula, which doesn't include margin of victory.

Sagarin has OSU #8.

Unfortunately, the best team we've played (W-L wise) is YSU, so that's not helping.

[DaytonBuck]

Would an undefeated USF or UC go past a one loss BCS team?

[BuckeyeMike80]

Originally Posted by DaytonBuck

Would an undefeated USF or UC go past a one loss BCS team?

USF and UC are BCS Teams

But to answer your question, no undefeated BCS conference school is going to be left out for a one-loss team. Call it a conspiracy theory if you like, but the powers that be won't let it happen.

Besides with the way things are shaping up (and assuming UC makes a huge leap in the polls today), the numbers will work out such a way that if CAl and Ohio State choke, they'll be right in the picture probably.

[DaytonBuck]

Originally Posted by BuckeyeMike80

USF and UC are BCS Teams

But to answer your question, no undefeated BCS conference school is going to be left out for a one-loss team. Call it a conspiracy theory if you like, but the powers that be won't let it happen.

Besides with the way things are shaping up (and assuming UC makes a huge leap in the polls today), the numbers will work out such a way that if CAl and Ohio State choke, they'll be right in the picture probably.

bad slip on my part

[Yertle]

How about a BCS title game of Cal and OSU??? There's a long shot at the beginning of the year. And if Florida could have just hung on last night, those would be the teams in the drivers seats right now.

[DaddyBigBucks]

As of week 6, remaining undefeated teams:

Pac-10

ASU
CAL

SEC

LSU

Big East

Cincinnati
Connecticut
South Florida

ACC

Boston College

Big 12

Kansas
Missouri

WAC

Hawaii

Big Ten

The Ohio State University

Looking at that list, it is easy to imagine that a 1-loss team will make it to the BCS championship game.

It may already be too late to get your 1-loss and still make it though. Any one who loses from here on out may be SOL.

Interestingly, Kansas is the farthest west you can go and find a team on the list that plays defense. Arizona State might have a little defense, but they haven't played anyone. We'll find out about them in the next 3 weeks.