| College Football The place to talk about college football teams other than Ohio State |
10-09-2006, 02:03 PM
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The Enemy
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The only way I see Flordia losing is next week at 7:30. Alburn is going to bring it, trying to get themself back to a bowl game.
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10-09-2006, 02:05 PM
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The Longhorns!!
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mrpeabody3119
The only way I see Flordia losing is next week at 7:30. Alburn is going to bring it, trying to get themself back to a bowl game.
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I believe Auburn is actually a 2.5 point favorite. |
10-09-2006, 02:06 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thump
I still think USC loses as well.
My money is on West Virginia at this point.
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I agree. USC will lose at least one of its last four games, if not two. I think Florida has the best chance of going undefeated, but will likely get tripped up somewhere along the way.
Right now it looks like the NC will be the winner of OSU/scUM against the winner of WV/Louisville. Then again, I'm not sure scUM doesn't lose either this week or next.
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10-09-2006, 02:50 PM
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Woody is my hero
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The first BCS poll is due out next monday. the preseason poll had the Bucks finishing 4th behind Texas. Having said that I think the NC game will be between tOSU and Fla.
http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/p...omparison.html
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10-09-2006, 03:02 PM
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Buy LittleBigPlanet!
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My two cents, the best one loss team in the country right now may be Tennessee. It's a tough call between them and Texas, but the Vols resume would look really good if their only loss turns out being by a single point to Florida. Tenn gets LSU at home, but goes to S Carolina (Fullmer v. Spurrier is always good stuff) and to Arkansas. Not easy, but hardly impossible after the offensive display Saturday night between the hedges. Because Tenn lost the head-to-head and Georgia has been exposed, Fla looks like a lock for the SEC CCG as the Easts representative. That might actually help Tennessee, since it would allow them to dodge a very tough game at the end and preserve the #2 ranking in both polls, if they can work up to there.
WVU's sad excuse for a secondary will be exposed by Louisville, USC will probably lose two of their last four games, and Florida will really have to work to stay unbeaten. Texas shouldn't lose another game, and Louisville shouldn't lose a single game all year.
IMHO, the battle for #2 will probably come down to computers and voters juggling one-loss teams Texas and Tennessee to face the winner of the Ohio State/Michigan game. Both Texas and Tenn should finish FAR ahead of Louisville (even if undefeated) due to Louisville's weak SOS. Kentucky, Temple, Miami, Kansas St, and M Tenn St were their non-conference opponents -- a combined 9-16 against D1A competition. Sagarin currently has Louisville ranked all the way down at #20 in his BCS rankings. The only two opponents that Louisville will play that are ranked are WVU (Sagarin #29) and Rutgers (Sagarin #28), and their rankings will certainly plummet once Louisville hammers them.
Tennessee and Texas are in the best position, and I'd give Tennessee the nod right now.
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10-09-2006, 03:04 PM
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All-American
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I think ND is getting forgotten in all of this. I believe there is a rule that if there is no undefeated team, or if the media doesn't like one of the undefeated teams, ND automatically advance to the natl championship game. 
seriously, if the Horn fans think that they can get in front of a 1 loss ND team (which means ND beat USC) they're crazy. ND runs the table the rest of the way and the media will give Brady Quinn this year's Heisman and next year's too, and they'll probably just vote them the championship without needing to play us.
btw, the Horns looked good in the second half of the OU game but they could be "surprised" by someone they play too. they've got Nebraska, Tech and Aggie. it shouldn't happen but then again, Auburn got a big lesson in "shouldn't" Saturday. |
10-09-2006, 03:11 PM
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Illuminatus Primus
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Right now, only six teams control their own destiny: Ohio State, Michigan, Florida, Southern Cal, West Virginia, and Louisville.
The loser of Ohio State-Michigan is out, and the winnner is in, IF undefeated.
The loser of West Virginia-Louisville is out, and the winner is in, IF undefeated, BUT ONLY IF both Florida and Southern Cal lose. Like it or not, the Big East is still a BCS conference, and an undefeated team from the Big East will (or at least should) make it to the championship game over ANY once-defeated team.
Southern Cal is in IF undefeated, BUT ONLY IF Florida loses.
Florida is in IF undefeated.
The way I see it, the only chance that a one-loss team has to make it to the championship game is if at least five of the current undefeated teams lose at least one game.
Possible, perhaps even likely, scenario: 1) Ohio State runs the table, narrowly defeats an undefeated Michigan (very possible)
2) Florida runs the table, but loses in the SEC championship game
3) Louisville beats WVU, then stumbles somewhere else (or vice versa, it really doesn't matter) (possible)
4) Notre Dame runs the table (beating Southern Cal in the process) (very possible)
5) Texas runs the table (likely)
6) Clemson runs the table (likely)
7) The PAC-10 continues to be unimpressive (likely) Now that would present a real headache for pollsters/BCS. Obviously, OSU would be in, and both WVU and Louisville would be out, leaving the following one-loss teams: Florida, Michigan, Texas, Notre Dame, and Clemson (with Tennessee (lost to Florida), California (lost to Tennessee), and Oregon (lost to California) being irrelevant to this discussion). Thus, Reason to select Michigan: they beat Notre Dame
Reason not to select Michigan: they already lost to Ohio State; rematch game (last game of regular season)
Reason to select Texas: none
Reason not to select Texas: they already lost to Ohio State; rematch game (2005-2006)
Reason to select Notre Dame: prestige and national fan base
Reason not to select Notre Dame: weak schedule; they already lost to one-loss Michigan, badly; rematch game (2005 Fiesta Bowl)
Reason to select Florida: strongest conference
Reason not to select Florida: they lost late
Reason to select Clemson: none
Reason not to select Clemson: weak conference BTW, Auburn could really make things interesting, if they run the table, beating Florida twice in the process (regular season and SEC championship). And what if Arkansas runs the table...?
So, hope and pray that two and only two teams go undefeated (one of them being Ohio State, of course), or expect one Hell of a BCS mess.
My guess is that the winner of OSU-Michigan plays the winner of WVU-Louisville in the Fiesta Bowl.
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10-09-2006, 03:17 PM
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Illuminatus Primus
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