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vBookie Event: Wake Forest v. Georgia Tech (College Football)
This event is over.
vBookie Event
Wake Forest v. Georgia Tech (College Football)

This event is over.

Outcome Odds Total Bets Total Staked
Wake Forest (+2.5) 1/1 F (1.00) 10 113501 WIN!
Georgia Tech (-2.5) 1/1 F (1.00) 5 133800  

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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 11-27-2006, 10:17 AM
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Wake Forest 9, Georgia Tech 6 (final)

The ACC... We raided the Big East... we became the Big Least
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 11-28-2006, 12:43 PM
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DSA

Differential Statistical Analysis for the Wake Forest - Georgia Tech game:
Quick Explanation (skip if you're familiar with DSA):
DSA provides a pair of predictions for a game based on statistics. If the predictions were good for anything other than discussion, I wouldn't post them here, but would rather keep them a closely guarded secret and use them to make lots of money. In short, this is "For Entertainment Purposes Only".
The first step in DSA is to find each teams Differential Offense and Differential Defense. Differential Offense (Defense) is how well you do offensively compared to your opponents' average defense (offense). It is expressed as a percentage.
As an example, USC's Differential Total Defense (DTD) is 86%. This means that USC hold teams to 86% of their average Total Offense. By comparison, USC's Differential Scoring Defense (DSD) is 75%, indicating that they hold teams to 75% of their average Scoring Offense.
The second step of this two-step process is to multiply each team's average offense by the other team's differential defense; and to multiply each team's average defense by the other team's differential offense. This gives two sets of predictions for the game.

The Numbers

GT Yards: 328 - 335
WF Yards: 259 - 275

GT Points: 18 - 18 (both methods predict 18 points)
WF Points: 18 - 19


Other Factors

Factors affecting the numbers this week include:
  • Schedule Strength:
    • GT played Georgia and Notre Dame
    • WF played UConn, Syracuse, Ole Miss
    • Advantage GT
  • Momentum
    • GT is coming off a tough loss to their rival.
    • Advantage WF?
  • 3rd Down Performance
    • GT Offense: 38.46% -- 60th in the NCAA
    • WF Offense: 36.36% -- 75th in the NCAA
    • GT Defense: 32.04% -- 20th in the NCAA
    • WF Defense: 34.39% -- 38th in the NCAA
    • Advantage GT
Note: All numbers, with the exception of 3rd down performance, were calculated after all games involving Div. IA and Div. IAA teams have been factored out for every Div. IA team.
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That's right Bo. Five in a row.

Last edited by DaddyBigBucks; 12-03-2006 at 10:25 AM. Reason: typo
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Old 12-02-2006, 04:19 PM
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Same old Reggie Ball so far.

It's 3-3, with 6 minutes left in the third.
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Old 12-02-2006, 04:22 PM
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Go Wake! Drop ND!
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Old 12-02-2006, 04:26 PM
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Me: This is the worst high school game I've seen in a long while.
The Wife: They are just trying to wean us off good football.
Both: When do the good games start?
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Old 12-02-2006, 04:31 PM
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Reggie Ball is putting put Mike Vick numbers in the passing game...

7 for 21, 87 yds, 0 tds, 1 int.