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View Poll Results: Can Obama win the presidency?
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Yes
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131 |
60.09% |
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No
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87 |
39.91% |
05-07-2008, 11:44 AM
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BP Sherpa
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Way too pro-Obama to post in the Presidential thread, but it's nice to start seeing some of the posts/blogs/columns focus on the presidential race rather than the primary:
THE NEW REPUBLIC | Blogs
Quote:
"Yes We Can" vs. "No We Can't"
Media analysis of Barack Obama's speech tonight will probably focus on what it means for the fight over the Democratic nomination.
But maybe because the nomination no longer seems in doubt--like a lot of people, I think it's effectively over--I was more struck by what the speech said about Obama's prospects in the fall. And I think it boded pretty well for him...
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Quote:
...But this fight may not play out the same way with McCain, for one simple reason: If Obama's slogan is "yes we can," McCain's is "no we can't."
Obama wants to invest heavily in better schools and public infrastructure? McCain says it will cost too much money. Obama wants to make sure every American has health insurance? McCain says it's socialized medicine. Obama wants to make free trade more humane? McCain's says no, no, no--that's messing with the free market.
Even Obama's calls to change political discourse for the better--the most familiar and, at times, most empty part of his pitch--play into this dynamic. When Obama says he wants to end the politics of division, McCain dismisses it as just a slogan...
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05-07-2008, 11:49 AM
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BP Sherpa
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Analysis from the New Republic:
It's All Over Now, Baby Blue
Quote:
It's All Over Now, Baby Blue
But Barack Obama's support has narrowed dangerously--and he'll need to make critical changes to beat John McCain.
John B. Judis, The New Republic Published: Wednesday, May 07, 2008
The Democratic primary is over. Hillary Clinton might still run in West Virginia and Kentucky, which she'll win handily, but by failing to win Indiana decisively and by losing North Carolina decisively, she lost the argument for her own candidacy. She can't surpass Barack Obama's delegate or popular vote count. The question is no longer who will be the Democratic nominee, but whether Obama can defeat Republican John McCain in November. And the answer to that is still unclear.
During the last two months, Obama has faltered as a candidate. He has seen his political base narrow rather than widen, and some of his strengths turn into weaknesses. Of course, he has had to deal with the scandal surrounding Reverend Jeremiah Wright, but even so, he needs to remedy certain flaws in his political approach if he wants to defeat McCain in the fall. Here is a brief list:
The Base: As the primaries have proceeded, he has become more dependent on strong, almost unanimous, support from African American and young voters. For instance, he lost the California primary in February, but he still beat Clinton by a whopping 55 to 35 percent among white men...
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05-07-2008, 02:41 PM
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BP Sherpa
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Good numbers analysis from RCP.com. Personally, I'm a little tired of all of the categorizing, but that's just part of analyzing the primary, I guess.
RealClearPolitics - HorseRaceBlog - How Obama Beat the Line
Quote:
May 07, 2008
How Obama Beat the Line
Last night, Barack Obama beat expectations in both Indiana and North Carolina. Let's look carefully at how he managed this feat. We'll begin with Indiana. Let's compare the results from Indiana, Pennsylvania, and Ohio among select demographic groups.
As you can see, Clinton did about as well in Indiana as she did in Pennsylvania and Ohio with white men, white Protestants, and seniors. However, beyond this, she suffered a decline among her best groups. Notice in particular her decline among white women, white Catholics, and union households. Basically, the core of her voting bloc was still with her, but Obama picked off a larger portion of it than he did in Ohio and Pennsylvania...
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And it continues with NC and the overall black vote. |
05-08-2008, 09:19 AM
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burned out...
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You could pretty much lock up the vote for Obama in central and NE Ohio with a Tressel endorsement.
Obama is far and away the more spiritually "in touch" candidate for presidency, and seeing as faith is something that defines Tressel, I wouldn't be at all surprised if he supported Obama. Campus would go ape[censored]...
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05-08-2008, 12:02 PM
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Watson, Crick & A Twist
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rocketman
You could pretty much lock up the vote for Obama in central and NE Ohio with a Tressel endorsement.
Obama is far and away the more spiritually "in touch" candidate for presidency, and seeing as faith is something that defines Tressel, I wouldn't be at all surprised if he supported Obama. Campus would go ape[censored]...
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Did he back any candidate in the prior elections (mid-term or Presidential)? I don't recall him doing so then and think he would be wisest to steer clear of doing so now.
Back to Obama --
He picks up yet another endorsement today - Edward's campaign manager David Bonior.
Quote:
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ABC News has learned that David Bonior, the campaign manager for the 2008 presidential race of Sen. John Edwards, D-NC, will endorse Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, today.
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Edwards has yet to publicly endorse either candidate, though his wife has publicly endorsed Clinton. Edwards was sitting on the sidelines, some thought this was to let NC play out without tilting the table.
Now NC is done shall Edwards follow Bonior's lead?
Meanwhile Obama is set to begin closing the deal with Super's on Capitol Hill.
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Today is the day Sen. Barack Obama will pitch his presidential prowess to super-delegates, telling them he?s the best pick for the Democratic Party. The candidate who has won the most states, the most popular votes and the most pledged delegates shouldn?t have a problem. Should he?
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Clinton had her Super-D meeting with some in Washington yesterday - with little coming of it.
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42-7
(that's all you need to say)
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05-08-2008, 12:15 PM
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SCREW BLUE!
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Ben Smith's Blog - Politico.com
Quote:
Politico's Amie Parnes e-mails from Obama's visit to the House floor, where he was mobbed instantly.
New York Rep. Yvette Clarke, in theory a Clinton superdelegate, asked him to autograph the cover of today's New York Daily News, with the headling "It's His Party."
Rep. Alcee Hastings, a Clinton supporter from Florida, gave him a big hug. Even Republicans were star-struck. Ileana Ros Lehtinen of Florida crossed the aisle to say hello and brought three children -- in town for a school safety patrol trip -- with her.
Obama, meanwhile, bowed to Majority Leader Steny Hoyer.
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BusNative: "I'm excited." 11/04/08
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