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Sure you can.
I just prefer to call them worthless bastards. ![]() |
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Breakout Player in 2008 - Edwin Encarnacion!!!!
Just like the last 3 [censored]ing years. |
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For his career WT runs himself into yet another out over 25% of the time he actually does reach base. Last year was the outlier. If he does indeed repeat it then this is only slightly less horrible. A .330 OBP for an everday leadoff hitter is well below NL average, its just awful and he'll have to work to get there. The benchmark is .350 and I'm not going to hold my breath on that one. Again, if he can somehow pull that miracle out of his ass this isn't so bad. Defensively this guy isn't the GG some are making him out to be, Patterson is clearly the better defensive CF in every measurable defensive metric. There is just no way to polish this turd. Unless WT has BY FAR his best career year he is an out machine that will take up 600-700 AB's a year for the next 2 years for an offense that was severly challenged to score runs already. If you are just looking for a fast guy who can't hit to play CF he was already in house, why go pay for one? As far as the rest of the motley crew goes from what WJ is saying you are looking at a Hariston JR/Hopper LF and A-Gon at SS. So there are 3 offensive black holes in addition to the pitcher pretty much every night. Bruce, Votto and EE will all have to turn into Pujols this year for this team to score more than 650 runs. Yes the pitching and defense are better but all the new regime has done is find a way to lose 90+ games a year 3-1 instead of 10-7. The funny thing is we will have a bunch of fast scrappy guys who run out to their position and get their uniforms dirty while we still suck ass and Marty's minions will not be able to figure out why. |
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Doesn't Hernandez average 18 HR's a year? if Gonzalez is healthy he's a guy capable of hitting HR's and BP is a 25 HR guy...I'm sorry, but I fail to see the 'sky is falling' mentality for the Reds offense because of this signing. I do, however, see an improved defense and a more dynamic way for the Reds to create runs other than three run HR's. I'm good with it. As for the Corey Patterson comparrison...well, in 8 seasons, Patterson's career OBP is .297 and he stole 182 bases...Taveras, in four years has an OBP of .331 and has stolen 169 bases. The numbers that I find most interesting were is OBP and Avg in Houston which seem to be closer to what the Reds will get...which is around .265 and an OBP around .333...if he does that and steals 65 bases in front of Philips, Bruce and Votto, I'll take it. Last edited by Honor&Glory; 12-29-2008 at 03:59 PM. |
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Run differential is simply the name of the game, if you score less than you allow you will not win. The current Reds staff is good but its nowhere near the level it would have to be to offset the lack of runs this team will produce. Like I said before, all you will see with the new approach is losing the same number of games by scores of 3-1 instead of 10-7. The difference is Marty and company will be happier because it will resemble the style of baseball they like. |
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The good offenses we had from 2000-2006 were not the reason we lost. Go look up the numbers, those pitching staffs were some of the worst ever put on a MLB field. No exaggeration. Give the best offense in any league a good pitching staff and they will win I promise you. Cincy fans and media still suffer from Pete Rose envy. Give them 25 scrappy little white guys with dirty uniforms and marginal talent and the fans would be happy. They wouldn't win for [censored] and would be utterly perplexed as to why not. If your fervent desire is to go root for a certain style of offense then you are going to get your wish. They won't win anymore than they have in the past but it will be the style so many in Cincy seem to long for. Personally I'm just a fan of winning, I don't really care how they do it. In order to win you must score more runs than you allow. Having out machines in LF, CF, SS and C with just average offensive talent to offset them isn't how you score more runs than you prevent. The pitching staff is good but its not that good. |
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and, for the record, Greg Vaughn, Mike Cameron, Jeffrey Hammonds, Pokey Reese, Barry Larkin, Mariano Duncan, Billy Hatcher, Eric Davis...you remember those guys, right? weren't 'scrappy little white guys...' They were solid ball players that could run, play defense and bring things to the table that Adam Dunn has wet dreams about being able to do. |
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As far as going on the record and comparing some of those names to Dunn you are really showing some serious prejudice. I'll just touch on one and leave it at that but here is Greg Vaughn vs Adam Dunn careers by the numbers: Vaughn: 337/470/242/807 Dunn: 381/518/247/899 Vaughn hit 40+ HR's in a season exactly twice in his career, Dunn's done it 4 years in a row and counting. So Dunn makes less outs per PA, collects more bases when he gets a hit, has more power and even hits for better average. He also takes more walks and scores more runs. But yeah I can see how he could have dreams of being as good as Greg freakin Vaughn. The prejudice this teams fan's have against Adam Dunn is sickening. Hearing complete bunk like this(which is simply 100% pure fresh squeezed Marty venom) makes me think this fanbase has exactly the type of team they deserve. Yeah, lets blame the losing on scoring all those nasty runs because we don't like the style they were scoring them in and completely ignore the fact that we had the worst pitching staff in baseball all those years. The losing couldn't possibly be due to the [censored]ty pitching allowing more runs than we could score could it? Nah, we were losing all those years because the top scoring offense in the NL struck out too much and Dunn didn't run out to LF. [censored]ing brilliant. Anyway, I'm done beating my head in a brick wall over this tired old argument. If people want to form opinions completely irregardless of facts then I'm dumber for arguing with them. Here are the facts going into 2009. The team allowed 800 runs last year which was worse than all but 3 teams in the NL. The team scored 704 runs which was better than only 4 teams in the NL. The pitching isn't anywhere near as good as people are talking themselves into it being and the [censored]ty offense just got a whole lot worse. Pitching and defense are going to get better this year? Fine I'll go along and pretend it will happen just because we want it to. Is it going to get over 96 runs better? Not a chance in hell. And that if the offense can score 704 again which it will not as it is currently constructed. So another summer of watching sub 500 baseball is on its way because the Reds will score fewer runs than they allow. The difference this year is all the fans who blamed the losing on the type of offense we had the past few years are going to have to rationalize why we are still losing. The good news is they will get more enjoyment out of the losing because it will be done in the style that Marty and their tee ball coaches taught them is the "right" way to play the game. Good times. |
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I'm done beating my head against the wall, too. |
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BTW, the D-rays scored 774 runs last year and they allowed only 671. Thats why they won, not due to the lack of a 40 HR guy. How something this simple is so hard for some people to grasp is shocking. |
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You are both making good points, and I can see it from both sides. The stadium is built for homeruns, which means we don't need guys who project at 30 homeruns to hit 30 homeruns. I still think HR's take care of themselves in that ballpark, and unfortunately that includes when the Reds are on the hill. If we continue to build in the direction of a lineup that features defense and speed over power, we are going to accidentally end up with guys who hit a lot of homeruns anyways. We didn't bring BP in for his power numbers, but he has proved that he can put them up, and may continue it for several more years. Bruce and Votto showed in the first go round that 30 HR could end up being the norm, all while maintaining a decent average and a youthfulness that may not realize that the Reds are supposed to suck. I don't think any of these guys have been booed in their home park yet, or ripped up one side and down the other on local radio. I think their neive-ness (?) could lead to a much brighter future.
I just think beating each other up over how bad we are before the ball drops on 2009 is getting ahead of ourselves. Hope springs eternal.. |
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I grasp it...I just don't buy it to the extent you're trying to sell it. Every division winner in baseball last year scored around 800 runs. I do find it curious that the Angels, the best record holder in the AL, only scored only 68 (765 to 697) more runs over the course of the season than their opponents yet won 100 games. I understand that its all about pitching, but can you honestly make the argument that the Reds pitching (4.55 team ERA last year) won't be better with Griffey and Dunn gone and a return of Gonzalez at SS with younger, faster defenders in the OF? Defense makes average pitching better. I'm willing to sacrifice the 40 HR's that you were very quick to inject into the conversation, by the way, for manufactured offense and better defense. I can't understand why some people can't grasp that with a possible exception that Dunn may have been their favorite player and they have a bone to pick with Marty about it. |
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