3yardsandacloud
Administrator Emeritus
2006 Michigan Wolverines Game Preview
written by: BB73, BuckeyeRyn, Buckeyeskickbuttocks, Bucklion, DaddyBigBucks, daddyphatsacs, Deety, FKAGobucks877, jwinslow, LordJeffBuck, osugrad21, OSUsushichic, PrincessPeach, and 3yardsandacloud
Link to 2006 Michigan Wolverines - Additional Information
written by: BB73, BuckeyeRyn, Buckeyeskickbuttocks, Bucklion, DaddyBigBucks, daddyphatsacs, Deety, FKAGobucks877, jwinslow, LordJeffBuck, osugrad21, OSUsushichic, PrincessPeach, and 3yardsandacloud
Link to 2006 Michigan Wolverines - Additional Information
As we look forward to this Saturday's mega-showdown game in the 'Shoe against That School Up North, it's important to note that this will be the final home game for all of these Buckeyes who have played their hearts out on that field.
Mike D'Andrea (won't play due to injury)
Doug Datish
T.J. Downing
Ryan Franzinger
Roy Hall
Derek Harden
John Kerr
Brandon Mitchell
Drew Norman
David Patterson
Joel Penton
Quinn Pitcock
Jay Richardson
Dre Riddick
Tim Schafer
Antonio "Yao" Smith
Troy Smith
Harrison Till
Stan White, Jr.
Justin Zwick
Over the last five years, we've all seen their efforts as the team has posted a 54-8 record, including the perfect 14-0 mark in 2002, with two games left in their college football careers.
Ted Ginn, Jr. may also be playing his last home game as a Buckeye, pending the NFL decision he'll make after the bowl game. One or two other names could be mentioned here, but they've not been listed; simply hoping that if we don't say goodbye we'll be able to enjoy watching them play one more season.
It's finally TSUN week. The hair on the back of your neck probably stands up just thinking about this week's matchup. The scarlet blood flowing through your veins begins to boil as the countdown to kickoff winds down. You avoid mentioning the color of the sky, and want to rip into anything that displays the putrid urine-and-cobalt combination.
You're getting almost nothing done at work, and that doesn't really bother you. You're posting obscenities on message boards because it helps ease the tension. You're avoiding the use of the 13th letter of the alphabet, unless it's printed on your toilet paper. You're simply a true Buckeye fan getting ready for the greatest rivalry in all of sports: The Game. And this year just happens to have the little bonus of having them ranked #1 and #2 for the first time ever when they face each other.
Both teams come into The game with a mark of 11-0. How many 11-win seasons does each team now have over the last 100 years? tOSU has 8, while TSUN has 4.
Early in the "10-Year War", which describes the Woody-vs-Bo years from 1969-1978, there was a stretch worth highlighting. From 1970 through 1975, TSUN came into The Game undefeated and ranked in the top-4 for six straight years. They came out of those 6 battles with just one victory, over a rebuilding tOSU squad in 1971. Just imagine the frustration of not getting a win 5 out of 6 years when a national title was still possible each year.
After some frustrations in the 1990s, 'good times' apparently returned 310 days prior to The Game in 2001, when tOSU's new head coach let the crowd know that he "gets it" when it comes to the battles against TSUN. A 4-1 record for Jim Tressel in The Game thus far has shown that to be the case. But Buckeye fans are greedy for more victories.
College football has had several bowl games that have decided the national championship, including 1-vs-2 matchups after the 1968 and 2002 seasons that resulted in Buckeye victories. But since the AP Poll started in 1936, how many regular season games in the history of college football have been as meaningful and as eagerly anticipated as this 2006 version of The Game?
All Games between AP #1 and AP #2 as regular season-ender for both
12-06-1969 - #1 Texas 15, #2 Arkansas 14 (ranked 1/2 for only 2 weeks; President Nixon named Texas NC after the game)
11-26-1988 - #1 Notre Dame 27, #2 Southern California 10 (ranked 1/2 for 4 weeks, ND won the NC)
11-18-2006 - #1 Ohio State ??, #2 Michigan ?? (tOSU #1 all year, TSUN #2 for 4 weeks)
All Regular Season Games between AP #1 and AP #2, both with perfect records past midpoint of season
11-20-1943 - #1 Notre Dame (8-0) 14, #2 Iowa Pre-Flight (8-0) 13 (ND lost next game and still won NC)
11-09-1946 - #1 Army (7-0) 0, #2 Notre Dame (5-0) 0 (ND won 3 more games and the NC, Army won 2 more games)
11-19-1966 - #1 Notre Dame (8-0) 10, #2 Michigan State (9-0) 10 (ND won at USC and won NC, MSU was done)
12-06-1969 - #1 Texas (9-0) 15, #2 Arkansas (9-0) 14 (Texas won NC with bold 4th down pass from James Street)
11-25-1971 - #1 Nebraska (10-0) 35, #2 Oklahoma (9-0) 31 (Nebraska won NC, OKlahoma won 1 more game and bowl)
11-21-1987 - #2 Oklahoma (10-0) 17, #1 Nebraska (9-0) 7 (Oklahoma lost NC to Miami, Neb. beat Colo. & lost bowl)
11-26-1988 - #1 Notre Dame (10-0) 27, #2 USC (10-0) 10 (ND beat WV for NC, USC lost Rose Bowl to TSUN)
11-16-1991 - #2 Miami (8-0) 17, #2 Florida St. (10-0) 16 (Miami ended 12-0 with NC, FSU lost to Florida)
11-13-1993 - #2 Notre Dame (9-0) 31, #1 Florida St. (9-0) 24 (ND lost to BC the next week, FSU won NC over Neb)
11-30-1996 - #2 Florida St. (10-0) 24, #1 Florida (10-0) 21 (Florida beat Bama in CCG, won NC in rematch with FSU)
11-18-2006 - #1 Ohio State ??, #2 Michigan ??
Which of those matchups were the most anticipated? The 1943 game wasn't ND's last, so it falls short. The 1946 game featured the teams that had won the last 3 NC's, as well a player that had won a Heisman (Doc Blanchard) and 2 other players that would also claim the award (Glenn Davis and Johnny Lujack). The 1966 game wasn't a clear-cut deciding game even without the tie, since Notre Dame still had to play at a #10 USC team. The 1969 game became truly major only after #1 tOSU lost the first game of the "10 Year War" in Ann Arbor, but it was a season-ending battle against traditional rivals. The 1971 game was huge, the teams had been 1-2 in the poll for 7 weeks, and lived up to the "Game of the Century" billing. The two teams in 1987 had shared the #1 spot all year, but ended up #3 and #6. 1988 was huge since it was a season-ender for the top-ranked traditional rivals who had been 1-2 in the polls for 4 weeks, just like this year; but there had been 3 other teams that held the #1 ranking earlier in the season. The 1991 game was great because Florida State had been #1 all year, and rival Miami had been #2 for 10 weeks. The 1993 game was the start of College Gameday, but lost some luster when ND lost to BC the very next week. In 1996, Florida and Florida State were 1-2 only for the week before the game; and Florida had to play Alabama in the Conference Championship Game before earning the rematch.
It's clear that this week's game is one of the 10 most eagerly anticipated games in the history of the regular season, and most historians would place it in the top 5.
If you're selling your ticket this week, you'll be missing a truly epic contest in the history of college football. But if you do sell a ticket, make sure it goes to a Buckeye that's ready to scream his or her lungs out. For everyone attending The Game, loosen up those vocal chords, allow that mixture of bile and venom to build up in your system, and let it all out Saturday afternoon as the Buckeyes head onto that newly replaced sod and start slugging it out with the enemy.
Mike D'Andrea (won't play due to injury)
Doug Datish
T.J. Downing
Ryan Franzinger
Roy Hall
Derek Harden
John Kerr
Brandon Mitchell
Drew Norman
David Patterson
Joel Penton
Quinn Pitcock
Jay Richardson
Dre Riddick
Tim Schafer
Antonio "Yao" Smith
Troy Smith
Harrison Till
Stan White, Jr.
Justin Zwick
Over the last five years, we've all seen their efforts as the team has posted a 54-8 record, including the perfect 14-0 mark in 2002, with two games left in their college football careers.
Ted Ginn, Jr. may also be playing his last home game as a Buckeye, pending the NFL decision he'll make after the bowl game. One or two other names could be mentioned here, but they've not been listed; simply hoping that if we don't say goodbye we'll be able to enjoy watching them play one more season.
It's finally TSUN week. The hair on the back of your neck probably stands up just thinking about this week's matchup. The scarlet blood flowing through your veins begins to boil as the countdown to kickoff winds down. You avoid mentioning the color of the sky, and want to rip into anything that displays the putrid urine-and-cobalt combination.
You're getting almost nothing done at work, and that doesn't really bother you. You're posting obscenities on message boards because it helps ease the tension. You're avoiding the use of the 13th letter of the alphabet, unless it's printed on your toilet paper. You're simply a true Buckeye fan getting ready for the greatest rivalry in all of sports: The Game. And this year just happens to have the little bonus of having them ranked #1 and #2 for the first time ever when they face each other.
Both teams come into The game with a mark of 11-0. How many 11-win seasons does each team now have over the last 100 years? tOSU has 8, while TSUN has 4.
Early in the "10-Year War", which describes the Woody-vs-Bo years from 1969-1978, there was a stretch worth highlighting. From 1970 through 1975, TSUN came into The Game undefeated and ranked in the top-4 for six straight years. They came out of those 6 battles with just one victory, over a rebuilding tOSU squad in 1971. Just imagine the frustration of not getting a win 5 out of 6 years when a national title was still possible each year.
After some frustrations in the 1990s, 'good times' apparently returned 310 days prior to The Game in 2001, when tOSU's new head coach let the crowd know that he "gets it" when it comes to the battles against TSUN. A 4-1 record for Jim Tressel in The Game thus far has shown that to be the case. But Buckeye fans are greedy for more victories.
College football has had several bowl games that have decided the national championship, including 1-vs-2 matchups after the 1968 and 2002 seasons that resulted in Buckeye victories. But since the AP Poll started in 1936, how many regular season games in the history of college football have been as meaningful and as eagerly anticipated as this 2006 version of The Game?
All Games between AP #1 and AP #2 as regular season-ender for both
12-06-1969 - #1 Texas 15, #2 Arkansas 14 (ranked 1/2 for only 2 weeks; President Nixon named Texas NC after the game)
11-26-1988 - #1 Notre Dame 27, #2 Southern California 10 (ranked 1/2 for 4 weeks, ND won the NC)
11-18-2006 - #1 Ohio State ??, #2 Michigan ?? (tOSU #1 all year, TSUN #2 for 4 weeks)
All Regular Season Games between AP #1 and AP #2, both with perfect records past midpoint of season
11-20-1943 - #1 Notre Dame (8-0) 14, #2 Iowa Pre-Flight (8-0) 13 (ND lost next game and still won NC)
11-09-1946 - #1 Army (7-0) 0, #2 Notre Dame (5-0) 0 (ND won 3 more games and the NC, Army won 2 more games)
11-19-1966 - #1 Notre Dame (8-0) 10, #2 Michigan State (9-0) 10 (ND won at USC and won NC, MSU was done)
12-06-1969 - #1 Texas (9-0) 15, #2 Arkansas (9-0) 14 (Texas won NC with bold 4th down pass from James Street)
11-25-1971 - #1 Nebraska (10-0) 35, #2 Oklahoma (9-0) 31 (Nebraska won NC, OKlahoma won 1 more game and bowl)
11-21-1987 - #2 Oklahoma (10-0) 17, #1 Nebraska (9-0) 7 (Oklahoma lost NC to Miami, Neb. beat Colo. & lost bowl)
11-26-1988 - #1 Notre Dame (10-0) 27, #2 USC (10-0) 10 (ND beat WV for NC, USC lost Rose Bowl to TSUN)
11-16-1991 - #2 Miami (8-0) 17, #2 Florida St. (10-0) 16 (Miami ended 12-0 with NC, FSU lost to Florida)
11-13-1993 - #2 Notre Dame (9-0) 31, #1 Florida St. (9-0) 24 (ND lost to BC the next week, FSU won NC over Neb)
11-30-1996 - #2 Florida St. (10-0) 24, #1 Florida (10-0) 21 (Florida beat Bama in CCG, won NC in rematch with FSU)
11-18-2006 - #1 Ohio State ??, #2 Michigan ??
Which of those matchups were the most anticipated? The 1943 game wasn't ND's last, so it falls short. The 1946 game featured the teams that had won the last 3 NC's, as well a player that had won a Heisman (Doc Blanchard) and 2 other players that would also claim the award (Glenn Davis and Johnny Lujack). The 1966 game wasn't a clear-cut deciding game even without the tie, since Notre Dame still had to play at a #10 USC team. The 1969 game became truly major only after #1 tOSU lost the first game of the "10 Year War" in Ann Arbor, but it was a season-ending battle against traditional rivals. The 1971 game was huge, the teams had been 1-2 in the poll for 7 weeks, and lived up to the "Game of the Century" billing. The two teams in 1987 had shared the #1 spot all year, but ended up #3 and #6. 1988 was huge since it was a season-ender for the top-ranked traditional rivals who had been 1-2 in the polls for 4 weeks, just like this year; but there had been 3 other teams that held the #1 ranking earlier in the season. The 1991 game was great because Florida State had been #1 all year, and rival Miami had been #2 for 10 weeks. The 1993 game was the start of College Gameday, but lost some luster when ND lost to BC the very next week. In 1996, Florida and Florida State were 1-2 only for the week before the game; and Florida had to play Alabama in the Conference Championship Game before earning the rematch.
It's clear that this week's game is one of the 10 most eagerly anticipated games in the history of the regular season, and most historians would place it in the top 5.
If you're selling your ticket this week, you'll be missing a truly epic contest in the history of college football. But if you do sell a ticket, make sure it goes to a Buckeye that's ready to scream his or her lungs out. For everyone attending The Game, loosen up those vocal chords, allow that mixture of bile and venom to build up in your system, and let it all out Saturday afternoon as the Buckeyes head onto that newly replaced sod and start slugging it out with the enemy.
Date and Time
Date: Saturday, November 18th, 2006
Time: 3:30 EDT Kick-off (3:45)
Location: Ohio Stadium - "The Horseshoe" (Columbus, OH)
Constructed: 1922 (Renovated in 2001)
Seating Capacity: 101,568 (Originally 66,210)
Playing Surface: Natural Grass
Honorary Captain: Tunnel of Pride
Senior Day: Ohio State's 19 seniors, 16 of whom are in their fifth year, will be introduced to the Ohio Stadium crowd Saturday and will meet with their families at midfield prior to the game. During the past four year, this class has a combined record of 40-8, will have played in four bowl games, including three BCS games, and has shared one Big Ten title.
Broadcast Information:
TV Broacast: ABC: Brent Musburger (play-by-play), Bob Davie (analyst), Kirk Herbstreit (analyst), Lisa Salters (U-M
sideline) and Bonnie Bernstein (OSU sideline) [In addition to ABC, College GameDay will be
on campus for the second time this year]
Radio Broadcast: Ohio State Radio Network (1460TheFan in Columbus): Paul Keels (Play-by-play), Jim Lachey (Analysis), and Marty Bannister (Sideline)
National Radio Broadcast: USA Radio Network and Sirius Satellite Radio.
Time: 3:30 EDT Kick-off (3:45)
Location: Ohio Stadium - "The Horseshoe" (Columbus, OH)
Constructed: 1922 (Renovated in 2001)
Seating Capacity: 101,568 (Originally 66,210)
Playing Surface: Natural Grass
Honorary Captain: Tunnel of Pride
Senior Day: Ohio State's 19 seniors, 16 of whom are in their fifth year, will be introduced to the Ohio Stadium crowd Saturday and will meet with their families at midfield prior to the game. During the past four year, this class has a combined record of 40-8, will have played in four bowl games, including three BCS games, and has shared one Big Ten title.
Broadcast Information:
TV Broacast: ABC: Brent Musburger (play-by-play), Bob Davie (analyst), Kirk Herbstreit (analyst), Lisa Salters (U-M
sideline) and Bonnie Bernstein (OSU sideline) [In addition to ABC, College GameDay will be
on campus for the second time this year]
Radio Broadcast: Ohio State Radio Network (1460TheFan in Columbus): Paul Keels (Play-by-play), Jim Lachey (Analysis), and Marty Bannister (Sideline)
National Radio Broadcast: USA Radio Network and Sirius Satellite Radio.
2006 Michigan Wolverines Offensive Preview
Returning starters: 6
Well, it's that time again, and this time the stakes have never been higher. It may be difficult for some fans to believe it has come to this after watching the Wolverines struggle mightily last season, finishing 7-5 and calling the entire direction of the program into question. As was the case with Northwestern in the other direction ... what a difference a year makes. The offense definitely shouldered a good portion of the blame for last season, as injuries and poor play at critical times marred the season throughout. As a reminder of how bad things were, Michigan barely cracked the top 50 in rushing offense (161.6 ypg, 44th) and scoring offense (28.8 ppg, 45th) and failed to crack the top 50 in passing (222.7 ypg, 61st) or total offense (384.3 ypg, 55th). This led to close regular season losses to good teams (by a combined 17 points) in 4 games that they failed to score more than 21 points, and then sloppy play (and of course poor officiating) led to the meltdown in the bowl game against Nebraska. The lasting image from last season was Tyler Ecker trying to run the ball into the end zone on the final wild play of their 2nd tier bowl game, as Michigan was being saddled with their 5th loss by a relatively poor Nebraska team. Drastic improvement and more consistent play were obviously going to be necessary for the Wolverines to bounce back this season.
Fast forward one season, and the Wolverines have a shot to play for it all if they can find a way to get past the Buckeyes...something not many outside the Wolverine locker room would have predicted. Is that because of the offense? Well, the per game total is about the same as it was last year, at 380.4 ypg, which ranks 35th nationally. There have been big improvements in the ground game however as Hart has had a huge year (194.5 ypg, 12th), but the passing game has produced more modest yardage than last season (178.4 ypg, 82nd). However the points are up a bit (29.4 ppg, 26th) and the ground game and improved defense has allowed Michigan to dominate the lines of scrimmage for much of the year, and take care of the football and do enough on offense to win comfortably, if not impressively, every week. One area that this game might come down to is 3rd down conversion percentage, where the Wolverines are only at about 40%. If the running game can't give the Wolverines a lot of 3rd and short or 3rd and mediums, the Wolverines might be in for a long day. But if they can dominate the line of scrimmage and win the field position battles, they will be very difficult to beat.
Quarterbacks
QB #7 Chad Henne (6-2, 223, JR, Wilson HS, Wyomissing, PA)
The key to this season's 11-0 start might be the ground game, but the key player on offense is definitely Henne. Though he had a season statistically similar to this year in 2005, the difference in his play has been noticeable, particularly when Manningham has been available. Though he will throw for less yards this season than last, his completion percentage is up 4 points, he's been sacked only 2/3 as many times (14 versus 21 in 2005) and his average yards per attempt is a full yard greater this year, which are all indications of how much better he has played through significant stretches this season. Henne isn't the type of player that will dominate a game, but the more efficient he is, the more potent the Wolverine ground game can be. This is indicated in part by the fact that he has only thrown for over 250 yards one time, but he has thrown at least 2 TD passes 6 times. He isn't flashy, but there are a lot of positive things that he does.
He started the season in lackluster form, completing less than 50% of his passes for only 135 yards (but with 2 TDs) against Vanderbilt, and followed that with only 113 yards against Central Michigan, and the rumblings in Ann Arbor could be heard again. However his 220 yards on only 13 completions with 3 TDs against hated Notre Dame was a springboard for Henne and the Wolverines, demonstrating that this team was destined for better things in 2006. As conference play started, he threw 3 INTs against Wisconsin, but also hit for 211 yards and 2 TDs as he completed over 70% of his passes against a tough pass defense. He then lit up Minnesota for 284 yards and 3 TDs and threw for 140 yards and 3 scores against rival Michigan State. The game at Penn State was emotional for him because of the recruiting war between the 2 schools, and he had the last laugh as he threw for 196 yards and a TD and gained the final important victory as the game with Ohio State began to cast a shadow. He then hit Iowa for 203 yards, was relatively unimpressive in 2 tune-up games against Northwestern (116 yards, TD) and Ball State (155 yards, TD, INT), and closed the season to this point with 159 yards and 2 TDs on 73% completions against the Hoosiers last week. Hart will generate some yards on Saturday regardless, but Henne will be the offensive key for the Wolverines. Last year he hit the Buckeyes for 223 yards and a TD on 69% completions in a close loss, and in 2004 he threw for 328 yards and 2 TDs in a losing effort. One imagines he is tired of hearing how well Troy Smith plays in this game, and he will look to follow up those solid efforts with a game to remember on Saturday.
If Henne gets hurt, the Wolverines have very little behind him. Sophomore Jason Forcier (#19) has attempted all of 3 passes this season, two against Central Michigan and one against Indiana, completing all three for all of 30 yards. If Henne goes down, the Wolverines are in big trouble.
QB Rating: B+
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State QBs
Henne (P/R): 156/252 (61.9%), 1932 yards, 18 TDs, 7 INTs, 144.3 rating; 36/-10, 0 TDs.
Smith (P/R): 170/256 (66.4%), 2191 yards, 26 TDs, 4 INTs, 168.7 rating; 58/221, 1 TD.
Smith is ready for his final showdown with Michigan, a team he has demolished in both 2004 (241 yards, 2 TDs, 145 rushing yards, TD) and 2005 (300 yards, TD, 37 rushing yards, TD). Part of the greatness of Smith is that he is at his best on the biggest stage, as evidenced this year by his performances on the road against Texas (269 yards, 2 TDs) and Iowa in primetime (186 yards, 4 TDs). Henne stepped up big this season with his performance in the Notre Dame game. How much Smith ends up running this weekend and how well the ground games are functioning will go a long way in determining the winner, but the QB play will be a key aspect as well, and Smith has had a Heisman-caliber season thus far. If Henne has a big game, people will say the same about him. However with his numbers and the past 2 performances against Michigan, Smith gets the edge here. The Buckeyes also have a huge advantage in depth.
Edge: Ohio State
Running Backs
RB #20 Mike Hart (5-9, 198, JR, Onondaga Central HS, Syracuse, NY)
FB #40 Obianna Oluigbo (6-0, 234, SR, Episcopal HS, Laurel, MD)
Mike Hart is, by all accounts, an elite running back in every conceivable way. He piles up big yards, he blocks on pass plays, he burns with passion ... everything you would want in a player. Though he is smallish, in the mold of a Tyrell Sutton, he is a tough runner who is not afraid to stick his nose in anywhere, whether carrying the ball, blocking, or jumping on a fumble, which he himself does exceedingly rarely. Though he'll catch an occasional pass out of the backfield, the ground and pound is where he really does the bulk of his damage.
Hart has gained almost 1400 yards this year, and has scored 11 TDs thus far. There has been no one who has been able to stop him in 2006. He has gained over 100 yards 8/11 games, and the other three he had at least 90. He's also carried the ball 278 times, which is a very impressive workload, especially for a player of his size who has had past injuries. He lit up Vanderbilt for 146, Central Michigan for 116 and 3 scores, and Notre Dame for 124 yards and a score. As conference play began, he didn't slow down, gaining 91 and a TD against a tough Wisconsin front, torching Minnesota for 195, and then hitting Michigan State for 122. Penn State, who also fields a good defense, gave up 112 and a TD to him, and he followed that up with 126 and 2 scores against Iowa, 95 and a TD against Northwestern, 154 and a score against Ball State, and 92 and a TD in last week's tune-up against Indiana. No matter what the passing game has been doing, Hart has been gaining a bunch of yards, and the opponent and the type of defense doesn't seem to make a difference to him.
Hart's backups are sophomore Kevin Grady (#3) and freshman Brandon Minor (#4). Grady's numbers haven't been nearly as good as predicted this season, gaining 187 yards on just 3.4 per carry with 3 TDs. He's only gotten carries in one game out of the past 4 (against NW, 7 carries, 23 yards) and appears to be less of a part of the offense than anticipated after rushing for 483 yards and 5 TDs last year. For his part, Minor has been a pleasant discovery, gaining 235 yards and averaging almost 6 yards per carry. He has gotten the bulk of the backup duty the past month, including rushing for 108 yards on 22 carries against Ball State and getting 5 carries each against Northwestern and Indiana. Expect him to see the field some Saturday.
Senior Jerome Jackson (#24) has also become more involved the past month. He's been around the program for quite a while, and he's had 23 total carries for a total of 192 yards and 2 TDs the past 3 weeks, so he might also be in the game in significant situations on Saturday.
Oluigbo is a bulldozer who has very little role with the football (no carries, 2 catches) but he is a critical player in the running attack and in pass protection and is a very capable blocker.
RB Rating: A
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State RBs
Hart: 278/1373 yards, 11 TDs, 4.9 YPC; 13 rec/122 yards, 0 TDs, 9.4 YPR
Grady: 55/187 yards, 3 TDs, 3.4 YPC; 1 rec/8 yards, 0 TDs, 8.0 YPR
Pittman: 214/1032 yards, 12 TDs, 4.8 YPC; 12 rec/117 yards, 0 TDs, 9.8 YPR
C Wells: 97/511, 6 TDs, 5.3 YPC; 2 rec/16 yards, 0 TDs, 8.0 YPR
Hart has been stellar all season, rolling up all types of defenses and proving his durability and consistency. He's had some fairly pedestrian numbers against Ohio State thus far (18/61 TD in 2004, 9/15 in 2005) and so on Saturday he will be looking to put an exclamation point on a great season and make a late push for an invite to the Downtown Athletic Club at the expense of the Buckeyes. Pittman has also been outstanding all year, not piling up near the yards of Hart, but scoring at least one TD in a remarkable 10/11 games thus far (only against Indiana did he not have a TD). Like Hart, he has been good even when the passing game hasn't, and Troy Smith has said publicly on numerous occasions that the offensive success runs through Pittman. Thus both players will be critical for their teams Saturday to take pressure off the QBs and keep their defenses off the field. Depth is not a problem for either school either, as both have viable options to choose from for a change of pace or specialty situation. Wolverine fans probably won't like the ranking here, but all they need to remember is one of the lasting images from last season, when Pittman's dramatic TD in the 4th quarter, part of a day when he racked up 116 total yards against the Wolverines, sealed a huge win for the Buckeyes.
Edge: Even
Wide Receivers
WR #86 Mario Manningham (6-1, 187, SO, Warren G. Harding HS, Warren, OH)
WR #15 Steve Breaston (6-1, 182, SR, Woodland Hills HS, North Braddock, PA)
There are many who believe that Manningham is one of the best receivers in the country when healthy, and looking at the numbers it is hard to argue. In the first 6 games, before he got hurt, Manningham gained a staggering 527 yards on just 24 catches, averaging over 20 yards per catch and racking up 9 TDs. Following pedestrian games against Vanderbilt (3 for 44, TD) and Central Michigan (2 for 27) when the passing game struggled, he had arguably the best 3 game stretch in the nation this year. He annihilated Notre Dame's defense for 137 yards and 3 TDs on just 4 catches, and then as conference play started he hit Wisconsin for 113 and 2 TDs on 7 catches and hit Minnesota for 131 yards and a TD on 5 catches. He was already piling up yards against Michigan State (3 catches, 75 yards) when he got hurt. During that stretch, seemingly no one could cover him, and the question will be how healthy he will be Saturday. He caught 2 passes for 11 yards in limited action last week, but expect him to be one of the focal points of both the offensive game plan and the defense this weekend.
On the other hand Breaston's production, for most of the season, has been a bit of a disappointment to some, following on the heels of what many consider to be a sub-par year last season as well. He does have 537 yards on 48 catches, but only 1 TD, and if one removes last week's 3 catch, 103 yard (w/TD) performance against Indiana from the equation, his production has been very limited in the passing game. He cracked the 50 yard barrier only 2 other times, against Vanderbilt and Penn State, and prior to last week he's not been the big-play thread down the field that many had anticipated. He did have renewed vigor last week against the Hoosiers following some comments the Wolverine faithful took to be controversial, however, and when he can get open he can be dangerous, particularly after the catch. It will be interesting to see how much the coaches and the QB try and funnel him the ball this weekend, and if he can have the kind of impact game that could free up Manningham...or burn the Buckeyes for keying on him.
Adrian Arrington (#16) is the top backup, and filled in admirably when Manningham was hurt. He has 31 catches for 420 yards, and provides a nice 3rd option for Henne. He scored twice against Minnesota, and hit for 79 yards against Wisconsin and Iowa, and 83 against Penn State, so he has been able to generate success against some of the league's better pass defenses thus far. His size (6-3) makes him a nice target in the red zone in particular.
Greg Mathews (#13) has 7 catches and is the only other receiver to contribute significantly to the passing game, and appears to be a rising star.
WR Rating: B+
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State WRs
Manningham: 26 catches, 538 yards, 9 TDs, 20.7 YPR
Breaston: 48 catches, 537 yards, 1 TD, 11.2 YPR
Arrington: 31 catches, 420 yards, 6 TDs, 13.5 YPR
Ginn Jr.: 51 catches, 677 yards, 8 TDs, 13.3 YPR
Gonzalez: 45 catches, 673 yards, 7 TDs, 15.0 YPR
Robiskie: 22 catches, 294 yards, 4 TDs, 13.4 YPR
This is quite a group of players to choose from. Many will make the argument that Manningham might be the best when 100% healthy, but it is unclear how healthy he is and many would dispute that and point to Gonzalez (or even Ginn) instead. Gonzalez has been exceptional all season, and it is easy to make an argument that he has had the best season of any receiver in the Big Ten. Ginn is much the same type of player as Breaston, but Ginn has had a significantly better season as a receiver than Breaston has. Both players will also be critical in the return game. Arrington is a nice third option, and Robiskie and the emerging Hartline also give the Buckeyes several options to choose from, so depth isn't much of a concern for either school. Manningham caught 4 for 64 yards against OSU last year, while Breaston caught 7 for 53. On the flip side Ginn burned Michigan for 89 yards on 9 catches last year and 5 for 87 in 2004, and what Buckeye fan will ever forget Gonzalez's leaping catch at the most critical of intervals last year, part of a 4 catch, 75 yard day. Given the success of both players at the top and the success in years past against Michigan, the Buckeyes get the slight nod here, but expect the Wolverines to bring their A games Saturday.
Edge: Ohio State
Tight Ends
TE #85 Carson Butler (6-4, 247, SO, Renaissance HS, Detroit, MI)
TE #89 Tyler Ecker (6-6, 247, SR, Oak Ridge HS, El Dorado Hills, CA)
Ecker is the name most Buckeye fans will recognize due to his veteran standing, but the emergence of Butler has improved the Wolverine passing game in recent weeks. He has 13 catches in the last 5 games, and caught a TD against Ball State. He is also a capable blocker, which helps keep him on the field more as well. After starting the first 5 games, Ecker had one catch last week but appears to be mired lower on the depth chart along with fellow upperclassman Mike Massey (#83), who started the next 2. Butler has taken over the starting role since then. Senior Brian Thompson (#35), who has some starting experience at FB, will also see the field as a blocker here and/or at fullback.
TE Rating: B
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State TEs
Butler: 16 catches, 142 yards, 1 TD, 8.0 YPR
Ecker: 4 catches, 47 yards, 1 TDs, 11.8 YPR
Nicol: 11 catches, 143 yards, 3 TDs, 13.0 YPR
No real earth-shattering players here, but Michigan runs a lot of bodies in at the TE position, and the emergence of Butler as a threat in the passing game gives the Buckeyes another spot on the field to cover. Ecker was predicted to be a Mackey Award candidate, but has struggled instead. Nicol has been solid, but depth definitely goes to the Wolverines.
Edge: Michigan
Offensive Line
LT #77 Jake Long (6-7, 316, JR, East HS, Lapeer, MI)
LG #57 Adam Krause (6-6, 295, JR, Brother Martin HS, New Orleans, LA)
C #54 Mark Bihl (6-5, 297, SR, Washington Court House HS, Washington Court House, OH)
RG #73 Alex Mitchell (6-5, 311, SO, Bay City Central HS, Reese, MI)
RT #72 Rueben Riley (6-3, 303, SR, Creston HS, Grand Rapids, MI)
Michigan has a grand tradition of strong, powerful, and mean offensive linemen, many of whom go on to the NFL. This is one of the more veteran units on the squad, despite having replaced some starters, and there is ample quality here. Tackles Long and Riley have started 25 games apiece, and they are very difficult for defensive ends to handle on the outside. Long is particularly talented and respected, a team captain and a candidate for the Lombardi and Outland trophies. Bihl and Krause are also veterans of the program who are extremely powerful on the inside, and they are key components to the punishing Michigan rushing attack. Bihl is also a candidate for the Rimington award. Mitchell has emerged as a steady contributor, and can slide outside to play tackle if the need arises. The success of this line is impressive considering they replaced 3 starters from a year ago. They can control games in the second half, which can take a major toll on defenses.
Right guard Justin Boren (#65) is a promising freshman battering ram (6-3, 314) from Pickerington, Ohio, and is the only other player to have started a game this season. He is the top backup. Tackles Mark Ortmann (#71) and Cory Zirbel (#75), guards Jeremy Ciulla (#70) and Justin Schifano (#78) and center David Moosman (#60) could also see time.
OL Rating: A-
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State OLs
Both of these lines are very solid, and have been proficient in both the rushing and passing games. The Wolverines probably get the edge in run blocking, while the Buckeyes have shown to be very good at pass blocking and allowing Smith to work his magic. Not a lot separates these two units, as one might expect from the top 2 teams in the country. If Boone is healthy, there isn't enough to give one team the edge over the other, as both teams have veteran and highly successful lines.
Edge: Even
Overall Offensive Analysis
The Wolverines statistically aren't all that much different from past season, but one can't argue with the results. The team is 11-0 and poised for arguably the biggest rivalry showdown in the history of college football. The ability to run the football consistently has clearly made all the difference in the world for the Wolverines, who have controlled significant stretches of every game they have played in both trenches. The line play is particularly good on the offensive side of the ball, and will be a big factor in determining the outcome of Saturday's game. If Michigan can run the ball, they will be very effective. If the Buckeye front seven can close down Hart early and force some 3rd and longs, the potential is there to snag a decisive early advantage, as the Wolverines haven't been particularly proficient at converting 3rd downs this season. The passing game will also be important, both in terms of converting 3rd downs and also being able to move the ball downfield. If the Buckeyes scheme to close down Manningham, then Breaston and Arrington will have to step up big for the Wolverines to have a chance. Numerically, this offense looks solid, but not all that spectacular, but the Wolverines are better than most up front, and their ability to control games and wear teams down in the 4th quarter more than makes up for a lack of flashy stats. No doubt Saturday will be a classic.
Overall Offensive Rating: B+
Well, it's that time again, and this time the stakes have never been higher. It may be difficult for some fans to believe it has come to this after watching the Wolverines struggle mightily last season, finishing 7-5 and calling the entire direction of the program into question. As was the case with Northwestern in the other direction ... what a difference a year makes. The offense definitely shouldered a good portion of the blame for last season, as injuries and poor play at critical times marred the season throughout. As a reminder of how bad things were, Michigan barely cracked the top 50 in rushing offense (161.6 ypg, 44th) and scoring offense (28.8 ppg, 45th) and failed to crack the top 50 in passing (222.7 ypg, 61st) or total offense (384.3 ypg, 55th). This led to close regular season losses to good teams (by a combined 17 points) in 4 games that they failed to score more than 21 points, and then sloppy play (and of course poor officiating) led to the meltdown in the bowl game against Nebraska. The lasting image from last season was Tyler Ecker trying to run the ball into the end zone on the final wild play of their 2nd tier bowl game, as Michigan was being saddled with their 5th loss by a relatively poor Nebraska team. Drastic improvement and more consistent play were obviously going to be necessary for the Wolverines to bounce back this season.
Fast forward one season, and the Wolverines have a shot to play for it all if they can find a way to get past the Buckeyes...something not many outside the Wolverine locker room would have predicted. Is that because of the offense? Well, the per game total is about the same as it was last year, at 380.4 ypg, which ranks 35th nationally. There have been big improvements in the ground game however as Hart has had a huge year (194.5 ypg, 12th), but the passing game has produced more modest yardage than last season (178.4 ypg, 82nd). However the points are up a bit (29.4 ppg, 26th) and the ground game and improved defense has allowed Michigan to dominate the lines of scrimmage for much of the year, and take care of the football and do enough on offense to win comfortably, if not impressively, every week. One area that this game might come down to is 3rd down conversion percentage, where the Wolverines are only at about 40%. If the running game can't give the Wolverines a lot of 3rd and short or 3rd and mediums, the Wolverines might be in for a long day. But if they can dominate the line of scrimmage and win the field position battles, they will be very difficult to beat.
Quarterbacks
QB #7 Chad Henne (6-2, 223, JR, Wilson HS, Wyomissing, PA)
The key to this season's 11-0 start might be the ground game, but the key player on offense is definitely Henne. Though he had a season statistically similar to this year in 2005, the difference in his play has been noticeable, particularly when Manningham has been available. Though he will throw for less yards this season than last, his completion percentage is up 4 points, he's been sacked only 2/3 as many times (14 versus 21 in 2005) and his average yards per attempt is a full yard greater this year, which are all indications of how much better he has played through significant stretches this season. Henne isn't the type of player that will dominate a game, but the more efficient he is, the more potent the Wolverine ground game can be. This is indicated in part by the fact that he has only thrown for over 250 yards one time, but he has thrown at least 2 TD passes 6 times. He isn't flashy, but there are a lot of positive things that he does.
He started the season in lackluster form, completing less than 50% of his passes for only 135 yards (but with 2 TDs) against Vanderbilt, and followed that with only 113 yards against Central Michigan, and the rumblings in Ann Arbor could be heard again. However his 220 yards on only 13 completions with 3 TDs against hated Notre Dame was a springboard for Henne and the Wolverines, demonstrating that this team was destined for better things in 2006. As conference play started, he threw 3 INTs against Wisconsin, but also hit for 211 yards and 2 TDs as he completed over 70% of his passes against a tough pass defense. He then lit up Minnesota for 284 yards and 3 TDs and threw for 140 yards and 3 scores against rival Michigan State. The game at Penn State was emotional for him because of the recruiting war between the 2 schools, and he had the last laugh as he threw for 196 yards and a TD and gained the final important victory as the game with Ohio State began to cast a shadow. He then hit Iowa for 203 yards, was relatively unimpressive in 2 tune-up games against Northwestern (116 yards, TD) and Ball State (155 yards, TD, INT), and closed the season to this point with 159 yards and 2 TDs on 73% completions against the Hoosiers last week. Hart will generate some yards on Saturday regardless, but Henne will be the offensive key for the Wolverines. Last year he hit the Buckeyes for 223 yards and a TD on 69% completions in a close loss, and in 2004 he threw for 328 yards and 2 TDs in a losing effort. One imagines he is tired of hearing how well Troy Smith plays in this game, and he will look to follow up those solid efforts with a game to remember on Saturday.
If Henne gets hurt, the Wolverines have very little behind him. Sophomore Jason Forcier (#19) has attempted all of 3 passes this season, two against Central Michigan and one against Indiana, completing all three for all of 30 yards. If Henne goes down, the Wolverines are in big trouble.
QB Rating: B+
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State QBs
Henne (P/R): 156/252 (61.9%), 1932 yards, 18 TDs, 7 INTs, 144.3 rating; 36/-10, 0 TDs.
Smith (P/R): 170/256 (66.4%), 2191 yards, 26 TDs, 4 INTs, 168.7 rating; 58/221, 1 TD.
Smith is ready for his final showdown with Michigan, a team he has demolished in both 2004 (241 yards, 2 TDs, 145 rushing yards, TD) and 2005 (300 yards, TD, 37 rushing yards, TD). Part of the greatness of Smith is that he is at his best on the biggest stage, as evidenced this year by his performances on the road against Texas (269 yards, 2 TDs) and Iowa in primetime (186 yards, 4 TDs). Henne stepped up big this season with his performance in the Notre Dame game. How much Smith ends up running this weekend and how well the ground games are functioning will go a long way in determining the winner, but the QB play will be a key aspect as well, and Smith has had a Heisman-caliber season thus far. If Henne has a big game, people will say the same about him. However with his numbers and the past 2 performances against Michigan, Smith gets the edge here. The Buckeyes also have a huge advantage in depth.
Edge: Ohio State
Running Backs
RB #20 Mike Hart (5-9, 198, JR, Onondaga Central HS, Syracuse, NY)
FB #40 Obianna Oluigbo (6-0, 234, SR, Episcopal HS, Laurel, MD)
Mike Hart is, by all accounts, an elite running back in every conceivable way. He piles up big yards, he blocks on pass plays, he burns with passion ... everything you would want in a player. Though he is smallish, in the mold of a Tyrell Sutton, he is a tough runner who is not afraid to stick his nose in anywhere, whether carrying the ball, blocking, or jumping on a fumble, which he himself does exceedingly rarely. Though he'll catch an occasional pass out of the backfield, the ground and pound is where he really does the bulk of his damage.
Hart has gained almost 1400 yards this year, and has scored 11 TDs thus far. There has been no one who has been able to stop him in 2006. He has gained over 100 yards 8/11 games, and the other three he had at least 90. He's also carried the ball 278 times, which is a very impressive workload, especially for a player of his size who has had past injuries. He lit up Vanderbilt for 146, Central Michigan for 116 and 3 scores, and Notre Dame for 124 yards and a score. As conference play began, he didn't slow down, gaining 91 and a TD against a tough Wisconsin front, torching Minnesota for 195, and then hitting Michigan State for 122. Penn State, who also fields a good defense, gave up 112 and a TD to him, and he followed that up with 126 and 2 scores against Iowa, 95 and a TD against Northwestern, 154 and a score against Ball State, and 92 and a TD in last week's tune-up against Indiana. No matter what the passing game has been doing, Hart has been gaining a bunch of yards, and the opponent and the type of defense doesn't seem to make a difference to him.
Hart's backups are sophomore Kevin Grady (#3) and freshman Brandon Minor (#4). Grady's numbers haven't been nearly as good as predicted this season, gaining 187 yards on just 3.4 per carry with 3 TDs. He's only gotten carries in one game out of the past 4 (against NW, 7 carries, 23 yards) and appears to be less of a part of the offense than anticipated after rushing for 483 yards and 5 TDs last year. For his part, Minor has been a pleasant discovery, gaining 235 yards and averaging almost 6 yards per carry. He has gotten the bulk of the backup duty the past month, including rushing for 108 yards on 22 carries against Ball State and getting 5 carries each against Northwestern and Indiana. Expect him to see the field some Saturday.
Senior Jerome Jackson (#24) has also become more involved the past month. He's been around the program for quite a while, and he's had 23 total carries for a total of 192 yards and 2 TDs the past 3 weeks, so he might also be in the game in significant situations on Saturday.
Oluigbo is a bulldozer who has very little role with the football (no carries, 2 catches) but he is a critical player in the running attack and in pass protection and is a very capable blocker.
RB Rating: A
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State RBs
Hart: 278/1373 yards, 11 TDs, 4.9 YPC; 13 rec/122 yards, 0 TDs, 9.4 YPR
Grady: 55/187 yards, 3 TDs, 3.4 YPC; 1 rec/8 yards, 0 TDs, 8.0 YPR
Pittman: 214/1032 yards, 12 TDs, 4.8 YPC; 12 rec/117 yards, 0 TDs, 9.8 YPR
C Wells: 97/511, 6 TDs, 5.3 YPC; 2 rec/16 yards, 0 TDs, 8.0 YPR
Hart has been stellar all season, rolling up all types of defenses and proving his durability and consistency. He's had some fairly pedestrian numbers against Ohio State thus far (18/61 TD in 2004, 9/15 in 2005) and so on Saturday he will be looking to put an exclamation point on a great season and make a late push for an invite to the Downtown Athletic Club at the expense of the Buckeyes. Pittman has also been outstanding all year, not piling up near the yards of Hart, but scoring at least one TD in a remarkable 10/11 games thus far (only against Indiana did he not have a TD). Like Hart, he has been good even when the passing game hasn't, and Troy Smith has said publicly on numerous occasions that the offensive success runs through Pittman. Thus both players will be critical for their teams Saturday to take pressure off the QBs and keep their defenses off the field. Depth is not a problem for either school either, as both have viable options to choose from for a change of pace or specialty situation. Wolverine fans probably won't like the ranking here, but all they need to remember is one of the lasting images from last season, when Pittman's dramatic TD in the 4th quarter, part of a day when he racked up 116 total yards against the Wolverines, sealed a huge win for the Buckeyes.
Edge: Even
Wide Receivers
WR #86 Mario Manningham (6-1, 187, SO, Warren G. Harding HS, Warren, OH)
WR #15 Steve Breaston (6-1, 182, SR, Woodland Hills HS, North Braddock, PA)
There are many who believe that Manningham is one of the best receivers in the country when healthy, and looking at the numbers it is hard to argue. In the first 6 games, before he got hurt, Manningham gained a staggering 527 yards on just 24 catches, averaging over 20 yards per catch and racking up 9 TDs. Following pedestrian games against Vanderbilt (3 for 44, TD) and Central Michigan (2 for 27) when the passing game struggled, he had arguably the best 3 game stretch in the nation this year. He annihilated Notre Dame's defense for 137 yards and 3 TDs on just 4 catches, and then as conference play started he hit Wisconsin for 113 and 2 TDs on 7 catches and hit Minnesota for 131 yards and a TD on 5 catches. He was already piling up yards against Michigan State (3 catches, 75 yards) when he got hurt. During that stretch, seemingly no one could cover him, and the question will be how healthy he will be Saturday. He caught 2 passes for 11 yards in limited action last week, but expect him to be one of the focal points of both the offensive game plan and the defense this weekend.
On the other hand Breaston's production, for most of the season, has been a bit of a disappointment to some, following on the heels of what many consider to be a sub-par year last season as well. He does have 537 yards on 48 catches, but only 1 TD, and if one removes last week's 3 catch, 103 yard (w/TD) performance against Indiana from the equation, his production has been very limited in the passing game. He cracked the 50 yard barrier only 2 other times, against Vanderbilt and Penn State, and prior to last week he's not been the big-play thread down the field that many had anticipated. He did have renewed vigor last week against the Hoosiers following some comments the Wolverine faithful took to be controversial, however, and when he can get open he can be dangerous, particularly after the catch. It will be interesting to see how much the coaches and the QB try and funnel him the ball this weekend, and if he can have the kind of impact game that could free up Manningham...or burn the Buckeyes for keying on him.
Adrian Arrington (#16) is the top backup, and filled in admirably when Manningham was hurt. He has 31 catches for 420 yards, and provides a nice 3rd option for Henne. He scored twice against Minnesota, and hit for 79 yards against Wisconsin and Iowa, and 83 against Penn State, so he has been able to generate success against some of the league's better pass defenses thus far. His size (6-3) makes him a nice target in the red zone in particular.
Greg Mathews (#13) has 7 catches and is the only other receiver to contribute significantly to the passing game, and appears to be a rising star.
WR Rating: B+
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State WRs
Manningham: 26 catches, 538 yards, 9 TDs, 20.7 YPR
Breaston: 48 catches, 537 yards, 1 TD, 11.2 YPR
Arrington: 31 catches, 420 yards, 6 TDs, 13.5 YPR
Ginn Jr.: 51 catches, 677 yards, 8 TDs, 13.3 YPR
Gonzalez: 45 catches, 673 yards, 7 TDs, 15.0 YPR
Robiskie: 22 catches, 294 yards, 4 TDs, 13.4 YPR
This is quite a group of players to choose from. Many will make the argument that Manningham might be the best when 100% healthy, but it is unclear how healthy he is and many would dispute that and point to Gonzalez (or even Ginn) instead. Gonzalez has been exceptional all season, and it is easy to make an argument that he has had the best season of any receiver in the Big Ten. Ginn is much the same type of player as Breaston, but Ginn has had a significantly better season as a receiver than Breaston has. Both players will also be critical in the return game. Arrington is a nice third option, and Robiskie and the emerging Hartline also give the Buckeyes several options to choose from, so depth isn't much of a concern for either school. Manningham caught 4 for 64 yards against OSU last year, while Breaston caught 7 for 53. On the flip side Ginn burned Michigan for 89 yards on 9 catches last year and 5 for 87 in 2004, and what Buckeye fan will ever forget Gonzalez's leaping catch at the most critical of intervals last year, part of a 4 catch, 75 yard day. Given the success of both players at the top and the success in years past against Michigan, the Buckeyes get the slight nod here, but expect the Wolverines to bring their A games Saturday.
Edge: Ohio State
Tight Ends
TE #85 Carson Butler (6-4, 247, SO, Renaissance HS, Detroit, MI)
TE #89 Tyler Ecker (6-6, 247, SR, Oak Ridge HS, El Dorado Hills, CA)
Ecker is the name most Buckeye fans will recognize due to his veteran standing, but the emergence of Butler has improved the Wolverine passing game in recent weeks. He has 13 catches in the last 5 games, and caught a TD against Ball State. He is also a capable blocker, which helps keep him on the field more as well. After starting the first 5 games, Ecker had one catch last week but appears to be mired lower on the depth chart along with fellow upperclassman Mike Massey (#83), who started the next 2. Butler has taken over the starting role since then. Senior Brian Thompson (#35), who has some starting experience at FB, will also see the field as a blocker here and/or at fullback.
TE Rating: B
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State TEs
Butler: 16 catches, 142 yards, 1 TD, 8.0 YPR
Ecker: 4 catches, 47 yards, 1 TDs, 11.8 YPR
Nicol: 11 catches, 143 yards, 3 TDs, 13.0 YPR
No real earth-shattering players here, but Michigan runs a lot of bodies in at the TE position, and the emergence of Butler as a threat in the passing game gives the Buckeyes another spot on the field to cover. Ecker was predicted to be a Mackey Award candidate, but has struggled instead. Nicol has been solid, but depth definitely goes to the Wolverines.
Edge: Michigan
Offensive Line
LT #77 Jake Long (6-7, 316, JR, East HS, Lapeer, MI)
LG #57 Adam Krause (6-6, 295, JR, Brother Martin HS, New Orleans, LA)
C #54 Mark Bihl (6-5, 297, SR, Washington Court House HS, Washington Court House, OH)
RG #73 Alex Mitchell (6-5, 311, SO, Bay City Central HS, Reese, MI)
RT #72 Rueben Riley (6-3, 303, SR, Creston HS, Grand Rapids, MI)
Michigan has a grand tradition of strong, powerful, and mean offensive linemen, many of whom go on to the NFL. This is one of the more veteran units on the squad, despite having replaced some starters, and there is ample quality here. Tackles Long and Riley have started 25 games apiece, and they are very difficult for defensive ends to handle on the outside. Long is particularly talented and respected, a team captain and a candidate for the Lombardi and Outland trophies. Bihl and Krause are also veterans of the program who are extremely powerful on the inside, and they are key components to the punishing Michigan rushing attack. Bihl is also a candidate for the Rimington award. Mitchell has emerged as a steady contributor, and can slide outside to play tackle if the need arises. The success of this line is impressive considering they replaced 3 starters from a year ago. They can control games in the second half, which can take a major toll on defenses.
Right guard Justin Boren (#65) is a promising freshman battering ram (6-3, 314) from Pickerington, Ohio, and is the only other player to have started a game this season. He is the top backup. Tackles Mark Ortmann (#71) and Cory Zirbel (#75), guards Jeremy Ciulla (#70) and Justin Schifano (#78) and center David Moosman (#60) could also see time.
OL Rating: A-
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State OLs
Both of these lines are very solid, and have been proficient in both the rushing and passing games. The Wolverines probably get the edge in run blocking, while the Buckeyes have shown to be very good at pass blocking and allowing Smith to work his magic. Not a lot separates these two units, as one might expect from the top 2 teams in the country. If Boone is healthy, there isn't enough to give one team the edge over the other, as both teams have veteran and highly successful lines.
Edge: Even
Overall Offensive Analysis
The Wolverines statistically aren't all that much different from past season, but one can't argue with the results. The team is 11-0 and poised for arguably the biggest rivalry showdown in the history of college football. The ability to run the football consistently has clearly made all the difference in the world for the Wolverines, who have controlled significant stretches of every game they have played in both trenches. The line play is particularly good on the offensive side of the ball, and will be a big factor in determining the outcome of Saturday's game. If Michigan can run the ball, they will be very effective. If the Buckeye front seven can close down Hart early and force some 3rd and longs, the potential is there to snag a decisive early advantage, as the Wolverines haven't been particularly proficient at converting 3rd downs this season. The passing game will also be important, both in terms of converting 3rd downs and also being able to move the ball downfield. If the Buckeyes scheme to close down Manningham, then Breaston and Arrington will have to step up big for the Wolverines to have a chance. Numerically, this offense looks solid, but not all that spectacular, but the Wolverines are better than most up front, and their ability to control games and wear teams down in the 4th quarter more than makes up for a lack of flashy stats. No doubt Saturday will be a classic.
Overall Offensive Rating: B+
2006 Michigan Wolverines Defensive Preview
Returning Starters: 8
Ah yes, it's the game that we've all been waiting for. Long gone are those hurdles in September, in to town comes that team that us Buckeye fans love to hate, this is the one that truly matters. The coaches said that they were taking it one game at a time, but deep down you know damn well that they have been thinking about this one. The Wolverines come to Columbus this week with their chests sticking out proudly, with an 11-0 record to back up their cockiness. With them, they bring what is considered the best defensive line in the country, which is hard to argue with given the fact that they lead the country in run defense and sacks. In fact, their run defense has been absolutely dominating this season, giving up right around 30 yards on the ground per contest. They are big, strong, and physical up front. Their weak spot is in the secondary. The defensive backfield has not been that great when the opposing teams have had time to get the pass off, which has been rare. Below is where they stand in most of the major defensive categories in the Big Ten, and nationally.
Points per contest: 12.1 PPG (2nd in Big Ten, 5th Nationally)
Total yards surrendered: 231.5 YPG (1st in Big Ten, 3rd Nationally)
Total Passing yards surrendered: 201.5 YPG (6th in Big Ten, 65th Nationally)
Total Rushing yards surrendered: 29.9 YPG (1st in Big Ten, 1st Nationally)
Defensive sacks: 40 (1st in Big Ten, 1st Nationally)
Interceptions: 11 (T-6th in Big Ten, T-43rd Nationally)
Red Zone Defense: Michigan is giving up points 66.7% (12 of 18) of the time that opponents get the ball inside their 20 yard line. They are tied with Wisconsin for the best conversion rate in the Big Ten. 6 of the scores were touchdowns, with the other 6 being field goals.
Defensive Line
DE #56 LaMarr Woodley*** (6-2, 269, SR)
DT #67 Terrance Taylor* (6-0, 305, SO)
DT #80 Alan Branch** (6-6, 331, JR)
DE #91 Rondell Biggs*** (6-3, 278, 5th SR)
* Beside name indicates number of letters won
Michigan is led along the defensive line by standout senior defensive end LaMarr Woodley. Woodley leads the Big Ten (6th Nationally) with 11 sacks. He leads the Wolverines with 15.5 tackles for a loss (3rd in Big Ten), in addition he is first on the team with 4 forced fumbles (T-4th Nationally), along with 3 fumble recoveries. Woodley has 29 tackles on the season. To put it bluntly this guy is flat out good. He is a Lombardi award finalist, and probably has the inside edge on the award as we speak. He is a surefire All-American, and is 1 sack away from tying Michigan's single season record for sacks (12). Woodley has an excellent blend of strength, athleticism, and speed. He is definitely one that the Buckeyes will have to contain this week. Look for him to flush Troy Smith out of the pocket quite a bit this week. He is one of the keys to this game. If he runs free, it could be tough sledding for the Buckeyes against the maize and blue. Getting the start at the other defensive end spot for the Wolverines will be senior Rondell Biggs. On the season Biggs has a total of 14 tackles, including 7 for a loss, along with 5 sacks. Biggs isn't quite the player that Woodley is, but he has great size, and is a beast coming off the end.
Leading the way for the Wolverines at one of the tackle spots will be junior Alan Branch. Branch has a total of 21 tackles on the season, including 5 for a loss, along with 2 sacks. He has also recovered a fumble, and forced 2 others this season. Branch is a road grater on the inside for the Wolverines. He is probably the most valuable player on this line, because his size and power cause teams to have to double team him quite a bit. He's going to be an early first day pick in the NFL very soon. The Buckeyes are going to have to find a way to move this guy out of their way, and be very wary of the off tackle plays to his side. He has the strength to burst through the seam and make a big play in the backfield. The other tackle for the Wolverines will be Terrance Taylor. On the season Taylor has a total of 14 tackles, including 2 for a loss, along with a sack. Taylor has also broken up 2 passes and recovered fumble this season.
DL Rating: A+
Overall DL Analysis
To put it bluntly, these guys are very talented. To add insult to injury, they are nasty as hell. Just ask Penn St, who saw this line chew through a couple of their quarterbacks. Against the run this season, this group has been nearly immovable. Woodley and Branch are a couple of 1st round draft picks. The other two guys are no slouches by any means. If Ohio State has one thing going for them against this unit on Saturday it would by #10. Troy Smith is the 'X' factor in this ballgame. This Michigan defensive line has feasted on immobile quarterbacks, just ask Brady Quinn. What I'm not sold on is their ability to chase around a fast guy all day long. If a guy drops back and sits in the pocket, these guys are flat out lethal. If Smith is able to move around a bit, it will start to tire down this big defensive line, especially the tackles. As the game progresses, it could really take away the effectiveness of the Michigan defense. Also expect to the Buckeyes spread out the Wolverines and run option to the outside, because that is probably where they'll have the most success this week. If OSU can do something that no other team has achieved this year, that being, pushing around this defensive front, the Buckeyes could win this game comfortably. If not, this one will be very tight down to the wire.
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State DL
Ohio State has had the advantage all season long in this category. Unfortunately that streak ends this week. As I've mentioned above, Michigan is very good on the defensive line. Ohio State is no slouch by any means, but they have 7 less sacks (33 total) than the Michigan unit does. Not to mention that the Wolverines are the best team in the country against the run, Ohio State is 11th which isn't too shabby by any means. Pitcock and Woodley are both finalists for the Lombardi award, and are both having All-American type seasons, it should be fun to see who comes out on top in their head to head battle. Whichever defensive line has the better day probably will determine who wins this ballgame.
Edge: Michigan
Linebackers
OLB #2 Shawn Crable* (6-5, 241, SR)
MLB #45 David Harris** (6-2, 239, 5th SR)
OLB #6 Prescott Burgess*** (6-3, 235, SR)
* Beside name indicates number of letters won
Michigan is led at linebacker by their man in the middle (cha-mon), senior David Harris. Harris leads the Wolverines with 80 tackles on the season, including 13 tackles for a loss (2nd on team), and 3 sacks. Harris has also intercepted a pass so far this season. Harris, who is a Butkus award semi-finalist this season, is probably the best linebacker on this Michigan unit. He has excellent instincts, and is very effective in blitzing situations. He'll be around the ball quite a bit this week. Getting the nod at one of the outside linebacker spots for the Wolverines will be senior Prescott Burgess. On the season, Burgess is 2nd on the team with 44 tackles, including 6.5 for a loss, and 3 sacks. In addition, Burgess is 2nd on the team with 2 interceptions. Burgess has also broken up 3 passes so far this season. Burgess is finally starting to come into his own, after a few seasons that had some people scratching their heads when it came to his production. I'm sure some Buckeye fans remember Burgess for other reasons; nonetheless, he's having a pretty solid season to date. He's got very good size, and is pretty solid against the pass. The final outside linebacker spot for the Wolverines will be held down by senior outside linebacker Shawn Crable. On the season, Crable has a total of 32 tackles, including 11.5 for a loss (3rd on team), along with 6 sacks (T-2nd on team). Crable has also recovered a fumble, and forced 2 others this season. Crable is a very good outside linebacker for the Wolverines. He has great size, and is very good against the run. He is not as good in coverage as Burgess, but is very effective when blitzed. Keep an eye on him off the corner this week, I think he'll be blitzed the most out of all three of the linebackers.
LB Rating: A-
Overall LB Analysis
All in all this is a very solid linebacker unit. Across the board they all have very good size, and a knack for making big plays. I think that some of this has to do with their excellent defensive line, but you'd also like to think that this unit has had some influence on their #1 rush defense. Crable is the one that you've got to keep your eye on. He's sneaky quick off the outside, and reminds me of a less talented Bobby Carpenter. This unit is very stanch against the run, look for the Buckeyes to try to spread them out by getting them in space in man coverage. If they can achieve that, some of the running plays may open up as this one unfolds.
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State LBs
Ohio State has a Butkus finalist on their unit in Laurinaitis, Michigan does not. In fact, the Laurinaitis is among the leaders in the Big Ten with 5 interceptions. That total is greater than what Michigan's 3 starters have combined. On the other hand, Michigan's trio has double the amount of sacks (12) than the OSU squad has. Ohio has the best overall linebacker out of these two units, but when you consider everything else in the equation this is another category that tips in Michigan's favor. The lack of a big play type backer for the Buckeyes outside of Laurinaitis and Freeman led me to this conclusion.
Edge: Michigan
Secondary
CB #29 Leon Hall*** (5-11, 193, SR)
FS #31 Brandent Englemon** (5-11, 205, SR)
SS #22 Jamar Adams** (6-2, 210, JR)
CB #14 Morgan Trent* (6-1, 184, JR)
* Beside name indicates number of letters won
Michigan is led in the secondary by senior All-American cornerback Leon Hall. Hall leads Michigan with 3 interceptions, and leads the Big Ten with 18 passes defended. Hall also has 35 tackles, including 2 for a loss, along with a sack. Hall has also recovered 2 fumbles this season. Hall, who was recently named a Thorpe Award semi-finalist, is the bread and butter of this secondary, he will be one of the keys to this contest. He has excellent speed, and has excellent technique. He's the best player in this Michigan secondary hands down, and is probably one of the better cover corners in the country. The other corner spot will be held down by junior Morgan Trent. On the season, Trent has a total of 34 tackles, including 2 for a loss. Trent has also picked off a pass, and recovered a fumble. Trent is the one of the weak links on this Michigan defense. He's an average cover corner at best, and is someone who the Buckeyes could really pick on this week. Look for the ball to be thrown at him quite a bit this weekend.
Getting the start at strong safety for the Wolverines will be junior strong safety Jamar Adams. On the season, Adams is 3rd on the team with 41 tackles, including 2 for a loss, and a sack. Adams has also intercepted a pass, and broken up 6 others so far this season. Adams is a physical safety, who isn't afraid to come up and hit someone. With that being said, his size and style of play kind of reverts back to the Michigan safeties of old. When I say that, I'm implying that he is big, but lacking the speed to cover fast receivers man up. Look for the Buckeyes to attempt to lure him in against the run, and then try to pop one or two long on him. The free safety for the Wolverines this week will be senior Brandent Englemon. Englemon has a total of 26 tackles on the season, including 2.5 for a loss. He has also broken up 2 passes and forced a fumble this season. Englemon is another safety for Michigan that lacks the big play capability. He is decent against the run, but is not very effective against the pass. The middle of the field could really open up this week for the Buckeye passing game if Smith is given time.
DB Rating: B
Overall DB Analysis
Michigan has one guy in their secondary that is good, that being Leon Hall. Hall is an All-American type player having an All-American type season. Outside of him, Michigan is average to slightly below average in the secondary. They are ranked in the middle of the pack in the Big Ten when it comes to total passing yards surrendered. That isn't saying much, especially when they play behind arguably the best front 7 in all of college football. The play of the Michigan secondary is a huge key in this contest. If they give up the big plays, which I think is a distinct possibility, then the Buckeyes may win this one comfortably. This secondary relies on the pressure up front, they aren't good enough to hold their guys for over a few seconds, with the exception of Leon Hall. Sorry to all the Michigan fans out there, but I'm not really all that impressed with this secondary.
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State DBs
Ohio State has the clear edge in the secondary. They are 2nd in the Big Ten in total pass defense, surrendering 171.5 yards per contest. Michigan, in comparison, has given up an average of 201.5 yards per game through the air. Ohio State has given up a total of 6 touchdown passes, Michigan has given up 11. Ohio State is tied for 1st nationally with 21 interceptions, Michigan has a total of 11. Malcom Jenkins and Leon Hall are probably about even in skills. Where OSU takes the cake is with their other cornerback Antonio Smith. Smith is having a fantastic season, and was even voted as a Thorpe Award semi-finalist. Ohio State also has a pair of safeties who are physical enough to come up in run support, but athletic enough to play man coverage against good receivers. The clear edge goes to Ohio State in this category.
Edge: Ohio State
Overall Defensive Analysis
Michigan is a top heavy defense. They are absolutely lights out on the front 7, but have been so-so in the secondary. Their defensive line has been dominant in nearly every contest this season. Their linebackers have made quite a few big plays. Woodley is arguably the best defensive lineman in the country as we speak. Branch is another guy who can absolutely take over a game. With that being said, this style of defense also can hide an average secondary. They can pressure an opposing quarterback into making a bad throw, which is then broken up by Leon Hall (or others). They can force that opposing quarterback into hurried decisions. They can also force that team to become very conservative with their gameplan. That being said, Ohio State will show the Wolverines something that they haven't seen much of this season. Ohio State will spread the field out in this contest with a mobile quarterback who can wear down a good defensive line. This spread offense can also force Michigan to play more Nickel coverage, which will take one of their linebackers off the field. The inside run game is going to be tough to achieve this week for the Buckeyes. Where they could have success is on the outside with Smith running option, or running on a pass play. This will wear down this defensive line if Smith is constantly moving. I think this is the key to the game. If Smith can effectively move around in the pocket and buy time against this average secondary, he will lock down the Heisman this week against the Wolverines. More importantly, he'll finish with a 3-0 record against Michigan. In the end, I think that the Buckeyes will prove to be just a bit better than the Wolverines. The home field will also play a major role in this game, providing what could be the best atmosphere ever produced in the Horeshoe, a stadium that is filled with memories of monumental football games. In the end, this one could sit a top of that legendary list, and forever be enshrined in the memories of the Ohio State and Michigan faithful. Let the games begin!!
Overall Defensive Rating: A
Ah yes, it's the game that we've all been waiting for. Long gone are those hurdles in September, in to town comes that team that us Buckeye fans love to hate, this is the one that truly matters. The coaches said that they were taking it one game at a time, but deep down you know damn well that they have been thinking about this one. The Wolverines come to Columbus this week with their chests sticking out proudly, with an 11-0 record to back up their cockiness. With them, they bring what is considered the best defensive line in the country, which is hard to argue with given the fact that they lead the country in run defense and sacks. In fact, their run defense has been absolutely dominating this season, giving up right around 30 yards on the ground per contest. They are big, strong, and physical up front. Their weak spot is in the secondary. The defensive backfield has not been that great when the opposing teams have had time to get the pass off, which has been rare. Below is where they stand in most of the major defensive categories in the Big Ten, and nationally.
Points per contest: 12.1 PPG (2nd in Big Ten, 5th Nationally)
Total yards surrendered: 231.5 YPG (1st in Big Ten, 3rd Nationally)
Total Passing yards surrendered: 201.5 YPG (6th in Big Ten, 65th Nationally)
Total Rushing yards surrendered: 29.9 YPG (1st in Big Ten, 1st Nationally)
Defensive sacks: 40 (1st in Big Ten, 1st Nationally)
Interceptions: 11 (T-6th in Big Ten, T-43rd Nationally)
Red Zone Defense: Michigan is giving up points 66.7% (12 of 18) of the time that opponents get the ball inside their 20 yard line. They are tied with Wisconsin for the best conversion rate in the Big Ten. 6 of the scores were touchdowns, with the other 6 being field goals.
Defensive Line
DE #56 LaMarr Woodley*** (6-2, 269, SR)
DT #67 Terrance Taylor* (6-0, 305, SO)
DT #80 Alan Branch** (6-6, 331, JR)
DE #91 Rondell Biggs*** (6-3, 278, 5th SR)
* Beside name indicates number of letters won
Michigan is led along the defensive line by standout senior defensive end LaMarr Woodley. Woodley leads the Big Ten (6th Nationally) with 11 sacks. He leads the Wolverines with 15.5 tackles for a loss (3rd in Big Ten), in addition he is first on the team with 4 forced fumbles (T-4th Nationally), along with 3 fumble recoveries. Woodley has 29 tackles on the season. To put it bluntly this guy is flat out good. He is a Lombardi award finalist, and probably has the inside edge on the award as we speak. He is a surefire All-American, and is 1 sack away from tying Michigan's single season record for sacks (12). Woodley has an excellent blend of strength, athleticism, and speed. He is definitely one that the Buckeyes will have to contain this week. Look for him to flush Troy Smith out of the pocket quite a bit this week. He is one of the keys to this game. If he runs free, it could be tough sledding for the Buckeyes against the maize and blue. Getting the start at the other defensive end spot for the Wolverines will be senior Rondell Biggs. On the season Biggs has a total of 14 tackles, including 7 for a loss, along with 5 sacks. Biggs isn't quite the player that Woodley is, but he has great size, and is a beast coming off the end.
Leading the way for the Wolverines at one of the tackle spots will be junior Alan Branch. Branch has a total of 21 tackles on the season, including 5 for a loss, along with 2 sacks. He has also recovered a fumble, and forced 2 others this season. Branch is a road grater on the inside for the Wolverines. He is probably the most valuable player on this line, because his size and power cause teams to have to double team him quite a bit. He's going to be an early first day pick in the NFL very soon. The Buckeyes are going to have to find a way to move this guy out of their way, and be very wary of the off tackle plays to his side. He has the strength to burst through the seam and make a big play in the backfield. The other tackle for the Wolverines will be Terrance Taylor. On the season Taylor has a total of 14 tackles, including 2 for a loss, along with a sack. Taylor has also broken up 2 passes and recovered fumble this season.
DL Rating: A+
Overall DL Analysis
To put it bluntly, these guys are very talented. To add insult to injury, they are nasty as hell. Just ask Penn St, who saw this line chew through a couple of their quarterbacks. Against the run this season, this group has been nearly immovable. Woodley and Branch are a couple of 1st round draft picks. The other two guys are no slouches by any means. If Ohio State has one thing going for them against this unit on Saturday it would by #10. Troy Smith is the 'X' factor in this ballgame. This Michigan defensive line has feasted on immobile quarterbacks, just ask Brady Quinn. What I'm not sold on is their ability to chase around a fast guy all day long. If a guy drops back and sits in the pocket, these guys are flat out lethal. If Smith is able to move around a bit, it will start to tire down this big defensive line, especially the tackles. As the game progresses, it could really take away the effectiveness of the Michigan defense. Also expect to the Buckeyes spread out the Wolverines and run option to the outside, because that is probably where they'll have the most success this week. If OSU can do something that no other team has achieved this year, that being, pushing around this defensive front, the Buckeyes could win this game comfortably. If not, this one will be very tight down to the wire.
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State DL
Ohio State has had the advantage all season long in this category. Unfortunately that streak ends this week. As I've mentioned above, Michigan is very good on the defensive line. Ohio State is no slouch by any means, but they have 7 less sacks (33 total) than the Michigan unit does. Not to mention that the Wolverines are the best team in the country against the run, Ohio State is 11th which isn't too shabby by any means. Pitcock and Woodley are both finalists for the Lombardi award, and are both having All-American type seasons, it should be fun to see who comes out on top in their head to head battle. Whichever defensive line has the better day probably will determine who wins this ballgame.
Edge: Michigan
Linebackers
OLB #2 Shawn Crable* (6-5, 241, SR)
MLB #45 David Harris** (6-2, 239, 5th SR)
OLB #6 Prescott Burgess*** (6-3, 235, SR)
* Beside name indicates number of letters won
Michigan is led at linebacker by their man in the middle (cha-mon), senior David Harris. Harris leads the Wolverines with 80 tackles on the season, including 13 tackles for a loss (2nd on team), and 3 sacks. Harris has also intercepted a pass so far this season. Harris, who is a Butkus award semi-finalist this season, is probably the best linebacker on this Michigan unit. He has excellent instincts, and is very effective in blitzing situations. He'll be around the ball quite a bit this week. Getting the nod at one of the outside linebacker spots for the Wolverines will be senior Prescott Burgess. On the season, Burgess is 2nd on the team with 44 tackles, including 6.5 for a loss, and 3 sacks. In addition, Burgess is 2nd on the team with 2 interceptions. Burgess has also broken up 3 passes so far this season. Burgess is finally starting to come into his own, after a few seasons that had some people scratching their heads when it came to his production. I'm sure some Buckeye fans remember Burgess for other reasons; nonetheless, he's having a pretty solid season to date. He's got very good size, and is pretty solid against the pass. The final outside linebacker spot for the Wolverines will be held down by senior outside linebacker Shawn Crable. On the season, Crable has a total of 32 tackles, including 11.5 for a loss (3rd on team), along with 6 sacks (T-2nd on team). Crable has also recovered a fumble, and forced 2 others this season. Crable is a very good outside linebacker for the Wolverines. He has great size, and is very good against the run. He is not as good in coverage as Burgess, but is very effective when blitzed. Keep an eye on him off the corner this week, I think he'll be blitzed the most out of all three of the linebackers.
LB Rating: A-
Overall LB Analysis
All in all this is a very solid linebacker unit. Across the board they all have very good size, and a knack for making big plays. I think that some of this has to do with their excellent defensive line, but you'd also like to think that this unit has had some influence on their #1 rush defense. Crable is the one that you've got to keep your eye on. He's sneaky quick off the outside, and reminds me of a less talented Bobby Carpenter. This unit is very stanch against the run, look for the Buckeyes to try to spread them out by getting them in space in man coverage. If they can achieve that, some of the running plays may open up as this one unfolds.
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State LBs
Ohio State has a Butkus finalist on their unit in Laurinaitis, Michigan does not. In fact, the Laurinaitis is among the leaders in the Big Ten with 5 interceptions. That total is greater than what Michigan's 3 starters have combined. On the other hand, Michigan's trio has double the amount of sacks (12) than the OSU squad has. Ohio has the best overall linebacker out of these two units, but when you consider everything else in the equation this is another category that tips in Michigan's favor. The lack of a big play type backer for the Buckeyes outside of Laurinaitis and Freeman led me to this conclusion.
Edge: Michigan
Secondary
CB #29 Leon Hall*** (5-11, 193, SR)
FS #31 Brandent Englemon** (5-11, 205, SR)
SS #22 Jamar Adams** (6-2, 210, JR)
CB #14 Morgan Trent* (6-1, 184, JR)
* Beside name indicates number of letters won
Michigan is led in the secondary by senior All-American cornerback Leon Hall. Hall leads Michigan with 3 interceptions, and leads the Big Ten with 18 passes defended. Hall also has 35 tackles, including 2 for a loss, along with a sack. Hall has also recovered 2 fumbles this season. Hall, who was recently named a Thorpe Award semi-finalist, is the bread and butter of this secondary, he will be one of the keys to this contest. He has excellent speed, and has excellent technique. He's the best player in this Michigan secondary hands down, and is probably one of the better cover corners in the country. The other corner spot will be held down by junior Morgan Trent. On the season, Trent has a total of 34 tackles, including 2 for a loss. Trent has also picked off a pass, and recovered a fumble. Trent is the one of the weak links on this Michigan defense. He's an average cover corner at best, and is someone who the Buckeyes could really pick on this week. Look for the ball to be thrown at him quite a bit this weekend.
Getting the start at strong safety for the Wolverines will be junior strong safety Jamar Adams. On the season, Adams is 3rd on the team with 41 tackles, including 2 for a loss, and a sack. Adams has also intercepted a pass, and broken up 6 others so far this season. Adams is a physical safety, who isn't afraid to come up and hit someone. With that being said, his size and style of play kind of reverts back to the Michigan safeties of old. When I say that, I'm implying that he is big, but lacking the speed to cover fast receivers man up. Look for the Buckeyes to attempt to lure him in against the run, and then try to pop one or two long on him. The free safety for the Wolverines this week will be senior Brandent Englemon. Englemon has a total of 26 tackles on the season, including 2.5 for a loss. He has also broken up 2 passes and forced a fumble this season. Englemon is another safety for Michigan that lacks the big play capability. He is decent against the run, but is not very effective against the pass. The middle of the field could really open up this week for the Buckeye passing game if Smith is given time.
DB Rating: B
Overall DB Analysis
Michigan has one guy in their secondary that is good, that being Leon Hall. Hall is an All-American type player having an All-American type season. Outside of him, Michigan is average to slightly below average in the secondary. They are ranked in the middle of the pack in the Big Ten when it comes to total passing yards surrendered. That isn't saying much, especially when they play behind arguably the best front 7 in all of college football. The play of the Michigan secondary is a huge key in this contest. If they give up the big plays, which I think is a distinct possibility, then the Buckeyes may win this one comfortably. This secondary relies on the pressure up front, they aren't good enough to hold their guys for over a few seconds, with the exception of Leon Hall. Sorry to all the Michigan fans out there, but I'm not really all that impressed with this secondary.
Head-to-Head: Michigan vs Ohio State DBs
Ohio State has the clear edge in the secondary. They are 2nd in the Big Ten in total pass defense, surrendering 171.5 yards per contest. Michigan, in comparison, has given up an average of 201.5 yards per game through the air. Ohio State has given up a total of 6 touchdown passes, Michigan has given up 11. Ohio State is tied for 1st nationally with 21 interceptions, Michigan has a total of 11. Malcom Jenkins and Leon Hall are probably about even in skills. Where OSU takes the cake is with their other cornerback Antonio Smith. Smith is having a fantastic season, and was even voted as a Thorpe Award semi-finalist. Ohio State also has a pair of safeties who are physical enough to come up in run support, but athletic enough to play man coverage against good receivers. The clear edge goes to Ohio State in this category.
Edge: Ohio State
Overall Defensive Analysis
Michigan is a top heavy defense. They are absolutely lights out on the front 7, but have been so-so in the secondary. Their defensive line has been dominant in nearly every contest this season. Their linebackers have made quite a few big plays. Woodley is arguably the best defensive lineman in the country as we speak. Branch is another guy who can absolutely take over a game. With that being said, this style of defense also can hide an average secondary. They can pressure an opposing quarterback into making a bad throw, which is then broken up by Leon Hall (or others). They can force that opposing quarterback into hurried decisions. They can also force that team to become very conservative with their gameplan. That being said, Ohio State will show the Wolverines something that they haven't seen much of this season. Ohio State will spread the field out in this contest with a mobile quarterback who can wear down a good defensive line. This spread offense can also force Michigan to play more Nickel coverage, which will take one of their linebackers off the field. The inside run game is going to be tough to achieve this week for the Buckeyes. Where they could have success is on the outside with Smith running option, or running on a pass play. This will wear down this defensive line if Smith is constantly moving. I think this is the key to the game. If Smith can effectively move around in the pocket and buy time against this average secondary, he will lock down the Heisman this week against the Wolverines. More importantly, he'll finish with a 3-0 record against Michigan. In the end, I think that the Buckeyes will prove to be just a bit better than the Wolverines. The home field will also play a major role in this game, providing what could be the best atmosphere ever produced in the Horeshoe, a stadium that is filled with memories of monumental football games. In the end, this one could sit a top of that legendary list, and forever be enshrined in the memories of the Ohio State and Michigan faithful. Let the games begin!!
Overall Defensive Rating: A
Predictions
BB73's prediction: 27-17, Ohio State
BuckeyeRyn's prediction: 24-17, Ohio State
Buckeyeskickbuttocks' prediction: 31-17, Ohio State
Bucklion's prediction: 27-26, Ohio State
DaddyBigBucks's prediction: 24-16, Ohio State
daddyphatsac's prediction: 23-20, Ohio State
Deety's prediction: 35-13, Ohio State
FKAGobucks877's prediction: ??-??, Ohio State
jwinslow's prediction: 24-17, Ohio State
LordJeffBuck's prediction: 20-16, Ohio State
osugrad21's prediction: 24-13, Ohio State
OSUsushichic's prediction: 28-21, Ohio State
PrincessPeach's prediction: 31-28, Ohio State
3yardsandacloud's prediction: 34-20, Ohio State
Last Week's Results (OSU 54 - Northwestern 10)
Low score wins the year long battle of prediction supremacy! (Difference of actual score versus predicted score. 10 point penalty for picking the losing team.)
(125) Buckeyeskickbuttocks' prediction: 38-10, Ohio State (16 + 0 = 16 + 109 last week)
(151) BB73's prediction: 34-10, Ohio State (20 + 0 = 20 + 131 last week)
(152) PrincessPeach's prediction: 38-13, Ohio State (16 + 3 = 19 + 133 last week)
(165) (145) Deety's prediction: 35-9, Ohio State (19 + 1 = 20 + 125 last week) DNP 1 week (MSU 20)
(167) 3yardsandacloud's prediction: 42-9, Ohio State (10 + 1 = 11 + 156 last week)
(168) daddyphatsac's prediction: 38-6, Ohio State (16 + 4 = 20 + 148 last week)
(169) BuckeyeRyn's prediction: 34-10, Ohio State (20 + 0 = 20 + 149 last week)
(172) Bucklion's prediction: 31-10, Ohio State (23 + 0 = 23 + 149 last week)
(176) OSUsushichic's prediction: 31-10, Ohio State (23 + 0 = 23 + 153 last week)
(171) (109) FKAGobucks877's prediction: 45-6, Ohio State (9 + 4 = 13 + 95 last week) DNP 3 weeks (BGSU 23, MSU 20, Minny 19)
(186) osugrad21's prediction: 31-6, Ohio State (23 + 4 = 27 + 159 last week)
(190) LordJeffBuck's prediction: 33-13, Ohio State (21 + 3 = 24 + 166 last week)
(191) (170) jwinslow's prediction: 34-6, Ohio State (20 + 4 = 24 + 146 last week) DNP 1 week (NIU 21)
(222) (157) DaddyBigBucks's prediction: 42-0, Ohio State (12 + 10 = 22 + 135 last week) DNP 2 weeks (NIU 21, Texas 44)
Adjusted scores for weeks missed. Participant must take the highest score from the week they missed:
Deety + MSU 20 = 20
jwinslow + NIU 21 = 21
FKAGobucks877 + BGSU 23 + MSU 20 + Minny 19 = 62
DaddyBigBucks + NIU 21 + Texas 44 = 65
BuckeyeRyn's prediction: 24-17, Ohio State
Buckeyeskickbuttocks' prediction: 31-17, Ohio State
Bucklion's prediction: 27-26, Ohio State
DaddyBigBucks's prediction: 24-16, Ohio State
daddyphatsac's prediction: 23-20, Ohio State
Deety's prediction: 35-13, Ohio State
FKAGobucks877's prediction: ??-??, Ohio State
jwinslow's prediction: 24-17, Ohio State
LordJeffBuck's prediction: 20-16, Ohio State
osugrad21's prediction: 24-13, Ohio State
OSUsushichic's prediction: 28-21, Ohio State
PrincessPeach's prediction: 31-28, Ohio State
3yardsandacloud's prediction: 34-20, Ohio State
Last Week's Results (OSU 54 - Northwestern 10)
Low score wins the year long battle of prediction supremacy! (Difference of actual score versus predicted score. 10 point penalty for picking the losing team.)
(125) Buckeyeskickbuttocks' prediction: 38-10, Ohio State (16 + 0 = 16 + 109 last week)
(151) BB73's prediction: 34-10, Ohio State (20 + 0 = 20 + 131 last week)
(152) PrincessPeach's prediction: 38-13, Ohio State (16 + 3 = 19 + 133 last week)
(165) (145) Deety's prediction: 35-9, Ohio State (19 + 1 = 20 + 125 last week) DNP 1 week (MSU 20)
(167) 3yardsandacloud's prediction: 42-9, Ohio State (10 + 1 = 11 + 156 last week)
(168) daddyphatsac's prediction: 38-6, Ohio State (16 + 4 = 20 + 148 last week)
(169) BuckeyeRyn's prediction: 34-10, Ohio State (20 + 0 = 20 + 149 last week)
(172) Bucklion's prediction: 31-10, Ohio State (23 + 0 = 23 + 149 last week)
(176) OSUsushichic's prediction: 31-10, Ohio State (23 + 0 = 23 + 153 last week)
(171) (109) FKAGobucks877's prediction: 45-6, Ohio State (9 + 4 = 13 + 95 last week) DNP 3 weeks (BGSU 23, MSU 20, Minny 19)
(186) osugrad21's prediction: 31-6, Ohio State (23 + 4 = 27 + 159 last week)
(190) LordJeffBuck's prediction: 33-13, Ohio State (21 + 3 = 24 + 166 last week)
(191) (170) jwinslow's prediction: 34-6, Ohio State (20 + 4 = 24 + 146 last week) DNP 1 week (NIU 21)
(222) (157) DaddyBigBucks's prediction: 42-0, Ohio State (12 + 10 = 22 + 135 last week) DNP 2 weeks (NIU 21, Texas 44)
Adjusted scores for weeks missed. Participant must take the highest score from the week they missed:
Deety + MSU 20 = 20
jwinslow + NIU 21 = 21
FKAGobucks877 + BGSU 23 + MSU 20 + Minny 19 = 62
DaddyBigBucks + NIU 21 + Texas 44 = 65
