BASKETBALL PREVIEW: OHIO STATE VS. INDIANA
Colin Hass-Hill on March 14, 2019 at 8:35 am
@chasshill
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Not often does a second-round Big Ten tournament game have the postseason futures of both teams riding on the result.
But that's exactly what will be on the line when eighth-seeded Ohio State takes on ninth-seeded Indiana at 12:30 p.m. Thursday at the United Center in Chicago.
WHO WHERE WHEN TV
Indiana (17-14, 8-12) United Center (Chicago) 12:30 p.m. BTN
Neither the Hoosiers' nor the Buckeyes' NCAA tournament resumes look especially impressive – each of them hold 8-12 records against Big Ten opponents – but both find themselves teetering on the edge of the Big Dance, each likely needing one more win to secure an at-large bid.
As of Thursday morning,
ESPN's Joe Lunardi had Ohio State as the last team in the field of 68 and Indiana as the last team out. The Buckeyes were the last team in, and the Hoosiers were the last team out of
The Athletic's latest projections.
A loss would likely eliminate either team from contention, and a win would possibly seal a trip to the NCAA tournament. Lunardi
agreed with the characterization of the matchup being a play-in game when asked on Tuesday evening.
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Chris Holtmann on Kaleb Wesson's Return For Big Ten Tournament: “He's Just Got to Be Kaleb”
Both Ohio State and Indiana need the same result – a win – to earn a bid, but both have had significantly different recent trajectories.
The Buckeyes lost Kaleb Wesson to suspension for breaking an athletic department policy two weeks ago and proceeded to go into a free fall. They got smoked by 35 points Purdue, lost by 18 points to Northwestern and trailed Wisconsin by 23 points before putting together a second-half comeback then losing by six points in overtime.
The Hoosiers, conversely, have won four games in a row. They took down Wisconsin in double overtime, toppled Michigan in a one-point win and beat Illinois and Rutgers to somehow keep their dreams of going dancing in March alive.
"They're obviously playing really, really well here and have had moments, you look at large sections of the season and some of their wins," Holtmann said on Tuesday. "But most importantly for us right now, as we prepare for them, they're playing exceptionally well."
Under different circumstances, Ohio State defeated Indiana, 55-52, in Bloomington, Indiana, on Feb. 10. It had won back-to-back games, while the Hoosiers had lost eight of their past nine games.
They'll match up again on Thursday with not only advancing in the Big Ten tournament on the line, but more than likely a spot in the NCAA tournament hanging in the balance.
"I think the unspoken is always there," Holtmann said. "Guys understand what tournament play is all about. And if we don't have great preparation and play with tremendous urgency, then it'll be a short stay."
HOW IT PLAYS OUT
Indiana is the hot team and a trendy pick to advance. Some analysts even believe the Hoosiers might have a chance against Michigan State in the following round considering they knocked off the Spartans just a couple weeks ago.
It's easy to look at the trajectories of both teams and choose Indiana to win, but that simply isn't fair to what Ohio State should look like on Thursday. The Buckeyes are a drastically different team when Wesson doesn't play. They have issues scoring and lack a defensive anchor.
With Wesson back, the Buckeyes should look significantly better than they have the past two weeks. His return aids the spacing on offense and makes Morgan work on both ends of the court. This is an even-matched game, but I'm picking Ohio State to edge out the Hoosiers.
Prediction: Ohio State 62, Indiana 60
https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio...XEAnuhq_0EEjRkAo0SlhqwV5EkMRpXEDwL3qpH07hVIQE