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Statistical Projection: Ohio State vs. Florida Atlantic

Ohio-State-football-head-coach-Ryan-Day.jpg


The statistical projections are back, and there’s nothing worse than trying to pin down the first game numbers.

The team is new.

The QB is a transfer.



The opponent is relatively unknown (read: not in the Big Ten).

Their coach is equal parts hilarious and certifiable, so I have no idea if he’s about to roll out a competitive, innovative game plan that challenges the Buckeyes, or get paid, get whooped, and go home.

For the purpose of this article and the upcoming stat projections, I chose the latter.

OSU has too much talent and will wear down FAU, especially in the run game.

August 31 – Ohio State vs. Florida Atlantic
Quarterback Projections
Welcome to Columbus, Mr. Fields. The highly-anticipated debut is finally here and Justin Fields does not disappoint.

Thanks to a well-designed game plan by head coach Ryan Day, Fields gets opportunities to test out his wheels and gain confidence with his arm. He completes a number of easy pitch-and-catch passes with his skilled WRs. Fields and Day will also lean heavily on the run game and the powerful legs of J.K. Dobbins.

Justin-Fields-Zach-Harrison-Spring-Game.jpg


After three quarters of play, Fields departs for the bench with just under 300 yards passing, completes over 80% of his throws, and tosses three TDs. He also gets into the box score with nearly ten yards per carry and another TD on the ground.

In an effort to get some playing time for his other transfer QBs, Day splits the fourth quarter for Gunnar Hoak and Chris Chugunov, allowing them each a few chances to throw the pigskin.
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Final Score Prediction
Ohio State 59 – Florida Atlantic 17

Entire article: https://theozone.net/2019/08/statistical-projection-ohio-state-vs-florida-atlantic/
 
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Five Predictions: Florida Atlantic at Ohio State

J.K.-Dobbins-Wisconsin-Team-Photo-1170x780.jpg


Welcome back to my weekly game predictions!

It has been a while, but I’m glad you have returned to once again have your Saturday action spoiled just a bit.

I once again attended the annual Football Predictors Conference and Recital this spring, and the keynote speech was delivered by a guy who was correct on 86% of his predictions last season.

That’s pretty good, but of course he fell short of my 87% mark last year.

I didn’t bother to confront him considering all of my predictions from last year were lost due to a data breach and also a fire and then some fracking.

So I guess I’ll just have to hit 87% again this year.

Why not shoot for 88%, you say? Because I’m one of those people who are successful enough that resting on my laurels is still very spectacular.

This year, the season kicks off with Florida Atlantic. Not many of us have ever watched FAU play, so tomorrow will be a Bucket List item. Though if you have an FAU game on your Bucket List, you are either very boring or the most exciting person in the world and there was nothing left for you to conquer.

Ohio State brings in a new quarterback, a new offensive line, and a brand new defense.

Some predictors would go cautious, but not me. I eat midseason form for breakfast.

Feel free to add yours below. Any that you get correct become ownership of me in perpetuity.

1. Freshmen will account for three scores.
Yes, this includes redshirt freshmen, but I’m not sure it needs to. Who might the freshmen be? Well, I could see any of the three freshman running backs scoring, or redshirt freshman H-back Jaelen Gill now that he’s going to be rotating in as one of the six, or receiver Garrett Wilson who is simply fantastic — and who will also be returning some punts, or receiver Jameson Williams, who is a candidate to take a quick screen 75 yards in the third quarter, or maybe Zach Harrison with a strip sack, or perhaps redshirt freshman long-snapper Roen McCullough gets to snap in the fourth quarter on a punt and goes down to cover it and it’s muffed in the end zone and he covers it for the score. Any of these are plausible.

2. Chris Olave will catch a touchdown.
I’m not going to put a yardage on it. I was originally thinking a deep ball, but Chris Olave is going to be effective all over the field. Olave hasn’t caught a touchdown pass since December, so he’s due. KJ Hill will probably catch two, but that was too bold to make a standalone prediction.

3. Ohio State will force at least three turnovers.
We have heard quite a bit about how focused this defense has been when it comes to forcing turnovers. We’ve also heard how successful they have been. They are running to the ball and then ripping and punching. The secondary mixes their coverages, allowing their eyes to see the quarterback more. Corners are being asked to look back for the ball at yardage intervals. The defensive line will need to do their part, but don’t be surprised if the guys in the back end help out too. I’m not sure if Shaun Wade is going to force a fumble or intercept a pass, but I’m pretty sure it’s one or the other. And then there’s sophomore safety Josh Proctor, who picked off more passes in camp than anybody else. There are some options here and all I’m asking is for three turnovers.

Entire article: https://theozone.net/2019/08/five-predictions-florida-atlantic-ohio-state/
 
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  1. The Silver Bullets will have a great day against FAU. scUM fans will say, "Yeah, but FAU. Wait till they play a decent team."
  2. In early November, with the Bullets still flying, they'll say, "Yeah, but the B1G sux this year. Wait till they come to the big house."
  3. In late November, they'll say, "Yeah, but wait till they get crushed in the playoff".
  4. In early January, they'll say, "Yeah, but some of that coaching staff are going to get Head Coaching gigs this off-season."
  5. In late January, they'll point at number 4 and say, "Told ya so!", thus keeping scUM arrogance alive for one more year.

Missed on the date for #5

Happy trails coach Hafley
 
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1. Justin Hilliard's time will finally come.
2. Jameson Williams will have a breakout year.
3. Williams, G. Wilson and C. Olave will be Fields' go-to trio.
4. Both lines will be the most dominant in College Football.
5. Fields will be the #1 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.
 
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