Bracketology and Selection Sunday Discussion

[DZ83CK]

And regardless of where they end up Ohio State fans will complain "they deserve to be in the NIT".

If indeed they are in, you can set an egg timer for Gottlieb to criticize the Committee for including OSU. The reality is there isn't a right or wrong answer, as all of the bubble teams have given the Committee multiple reasons to not select them. I would pick Texas to make the field over the other bubble teams, but a lot of people have them out based on their record.

 

[Mike80]

If indeed they are in, you can set an egg timer for Gottlieb to criticize the Committee for including OSU. The reality is there isn't a right or wrong answer, as all of the bubble teams have given the Committee multiple reasons to not select them. I would pick Texas to make the field over the other bubble teams, but a lot of people have them out based on their record.

I really couldn't give a fuck less what anyone else thinks.

This team was predicted to win 10-12 games at most and here we are debating them getting into the tournament. They've been playing with house money ever since the 12-1 start.

 

[OhioState001]

I really couldn't give a fuck less what anyone else thinks.

This team was predicted to win 10-12 games at most and here we are debating them getting into the tournament. They've been playing with house money ever since the 12-1 start.

Once again that's a bit of a stretch. They were projected 8th in the Big Ten

 

[buckeyeintn]

I don't remember where I read it, but one of the writers was quoting the committee chair about a week ago saying they would take into consideration games where a team was missing a key player. Based on that I believe we may get a bit of a pass on the 3 game skid without Kaleb. If that is the case, we are in.

 

[DZ83CK]

I don't remember where I read it, but one of the writers was quoting the committee chair about a week ago saying they would take into consideration games where a team was missing a key player. Based on that I believe we may get a bit of a pass on the 3 game skid without Kaleb. If that is the case, we are in.

In theory, yes. Based on past practice, these committees have rarely used it as a distinguishing factor because most every team has had a notable player missing games for one reason or another.

 

[OSU_Buckguy]

given the comments about season expectations and whatnot, decided to go back through all the comments posted within the osu 18-19 season thread prior to the start of the season. looked for those with any kind of prediction or expectation. selected the relevant parts of the comments. obviously not exhaustive since i might have missed some, especially those comments in other threads.

there were some articles posted that predicted osu's finish within the conference. all the articles pretty much had us as a bubble-type team finishing 6th through 12th. we hardly proved anyone wrong by finishing 8th and being a probable 11-seed. even the low prediction of 12th gave wiggle room for a better finish.

With Woods on the team for 2019, I think CH has officially skipped the rebuilding phase. I am seeing another team with top-25 material.

Remarkable statement given what we lost from last season - but I agree.

We are still going to need someone else to step up on offense, I think, for us to sniff the T25 next season... but it could happen.

Got some preseason magazines today. Lindy's picks OSU as 6th in the B1G and making the NCAA tourney. Athlon has them 8th and in the NIT. I feel like Athlon typically tends to err on the pessimistic side when it comes to OSU while Lindy's is more accurate.

I feel like projecting OSU to make the NIT is dicey. The prediction could be right, but I think it is clearly more likely that OSU makes the NCAA tourney. If CJ, Key, Luther and Kaleb stay healthy and able to play, I would be surprised if they miss. I think the reality is the talent overall at OSU is very similar to the best teams in the B1G, the only difference is teams like Nebraska, Purdue, and UW have a better star player.

While I am not sure they will match last season's #5 seed, if they are able to keep their best players on the court, I would be surprised if they were not at least a 9 seed.

For me the most probable range for this team is squeaking into the Dance as a ceiling and barely missing the NIT as a floor.

I think 12th is certainly a low-end prediction but it's not unfathomable.

That said, I think it is much more likely that OSU ends up somewhere within the top ten of the conference and I think a NIT bid is realistic.

Personally, of B1G teams I see people other than Katz rating above OSU, I do not expect Maryland, Purdue, PSU or Iowa to finish ahead of OSU this season. I would pick IU #1, then UW, then a cluster with MSU, Nebraska, OSU and UM. I expect all of those to be NCAA tournament teams. Northwestern is a wildcard team, could go either way. Everyone else I am pegging NIT or worse. So I think OSU being picked at 6 is reasonable but anything lower is probably at least a bit of a stretch.

I think I will wait for my eyeball test before doing any predicting of the Big Ten.

my expectation level is at a place where I'd be absolutely thrilled if we ended up 6th in the conference and made the Dance.

 

[OhioState001]

Before the selections are announced, count me as someone who actually wants to go to the First Four. I want to see this team play another competitive meaningful game that we have a chance to win. I think the ceiling for this team is making it to the second round. The only way we are making it to the Sweet 16 is if there is a major upset and we are playing another low seed. So give me two games we have a chance to win instead of one.

 

[OhioState001]

Would want to avoid Iowa State who is coming off a Big 12 Tournament championship but I don't think the Buckeyes could ask for better matchups in the other projections.

 

[Bucklion]

Would want to avoid Iowa State who is coming off a Big 12 Tournament championship but I don't think the Buckeyes could ask for better matchups in the other projections.

I’m predicting Iowa State will be a 5 and get one of those crazy 5/12 matchups you can’t predict.

 

[OSU_Buckguy]

Would want to avoid Iowa State who is coming off a Big 12 Tournament championship but I don't think the Buckeyes could ask for better matchups in the other projections.

since 2010, the 11-seeds have beaten the 6-seeds fewer than 2 times only once. in 3 of those 9 tournaments, the 11-seeds had 3 wins. heck, over the last 10 tournaments, the 11-seeds have been barely over 50% (21/40). since the tournament expanded in '85, the 11-seeds have won just under 40% of the time, which is pretty much the same for 10/12-seeds.

 

[DZ83CK]

Buckguy, dont forget I have projected about 12 teams to make the Final Four this year, too.

 

[OSU_Buckguy]

Buckguy, dont forget I have projected about 12 teams to make the Final Four this year, too.

okey dokey.

 

[DZ83CK]

Washington is a pathetic conference champ. They do not have a win over a single at-large tournament team. I expect their seed to suffer because of their lack of quality wins. I would make them an 11 seed.

 

[Jake]

I'm expecting to get left out so if we get in at all I'll be happy. Our best win in conference is over 10-10 Iowa, best OOC win is Cincinnati, and losing to Rutgers is never a good thing. That home loss to Illinois - with Kaleb - doesn't help, either.

Just seems like too many bids got stolen this week in a season where we have little margin for that happening. We'll see soon.

 

[Bucklion]

What time is the actual selection show?