• Follow us on Twitter @buckeyeplanet and @bp_recruiting, like us on Facebook! Enjoy a post or article, recommend it to others! BP is only as strong as its community, and we only promote by word of mouth, so share away!
  • Consider registering! Fewer and higher quality ads, no emails you don't want, access to all the forums, download game torrents, private messages, polls, Sportsbook, etc. Even if you just want to lurk, there are a lot of good reasons to register!

College Football Playoff: Top 25

Jump to latest Follow Reply
Sort by date Sort by votes


Building a College Football Playoff Predictive Model

As it currently stands, there are five months and change until college football selection Sunday. For Buckeye fans, this day represents a 50% probability the afternoon will be filled with either joyous elations and high fives (given the pandemic, air fives will suffice) or tears of sorrow. The type of sorrow an average Buckeye fan can experience on a pain scale is between a Michigan loss (low probability) and the refs botching calls in the Clemson semi-final game (high probability).

Many of you have probably assumed that the College Football Playoff (CFP) Committee is inconsistent week-to-week or year-to-year on the criteria they evaluate to determine who is or isn’t in the playoffs. If I need to provide evidence, consider anytime Clemson or Oklahoma make it in with a weak schedule, or the time that the Alabama Crimson Tide did not play in a conference championship and jumped the Big 10 Champion.

The 13 member CFP Committee is represented with delegation from different conferences, independent civilians and sometimes former military members, all of which are rotated-out every three years.

It was my initial hypothesis going into this analysis that there were inherent biases, since there are always member affiliations or preferences beyond the team where they have to recuse themselves in the voting process (e.g., team preferences, conference affiliations, regionality, recency biases, etc.).

The voting process, to my understanding, is sort of like trying to guess what is behind each door on a game show, in that it takes place behind closed doors and in secrecy. Even if you guess correctly that it is a new car you don’t know if it is McLaren P1 or a Trabant.

Lace up your football cleats and strap on your helmet, you no longer need to postulate or theorize, because while I do have a day job building data models for clients (weather impact, hurricane, marketing impulse shock, etc.), I get bored and use my powers for good -- analyzing sports related topics.

I too have spent hours sobbing into my hands in the corner of my house when Ohio State is not deservingly picked on selection Sunday for the playoffs, which is why I decided to build a data model to analyze the criteria that the CFP Committee was using and to what extent.
.
.
.
continued
 
Upvote 0
Schedule for the 2021 season:

College Football Playoff, New Year's Six schedule released

E2aiscVVcAAMrnb




With college football season just a few months away, schedules are starting to roll out and fans are marking their personal calendars for when their favorite teams will take the field. For fans of those teams that will contend on a national level this year, they now know when their team’s postseasons might begin.

On Thursday afternoon as multiple conferences rolled out some game times for select games during the 2021 season, the College Football Playoff also released its schedule for the semifinal and championship games, as well as the game times for the four other New Year’s Six games. Below are the listed game times. All times are eastern.
  • Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: Thursday, December 30 at 7 p.m.
  • PlayStation Fiesta Bowl: Saturday, January 1 at 1 p.m.
  • Rose Bowl: Saturday, January 1 at 5 p.m.
  • Allstate Sugar Bowl: Saturday, January 1 at 8:45 p.m.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF GAMES
  • Goodyear Cotton Bowl/Semifinal: Friday, December 31 at 3:30 or 7:30 p.m.
  • Capital One Orange Bowl: Friday, December 31 at 3:30 or 7:30 p.m.
  • National Championship game: Monday, January 10 at 8 p.m.
 
Upvote 0
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top