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DiHards Picks...Nov. 6

DiHard

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NOVEMBER 6

Last week I said to look out for an upset or two….if Michigan hadn’t rallied late, they would have joined Miami and Florida State in the major upset category. For the week DiHard went 3-1 straight-up to move my season mark to 28-12. For records sake, my prediction rate of 70% would rank myself second amongst the 13 experts that CollegeFootballNews uses….and I would be only 1% down to their leader….And...I am only picking the tough games, plus ohio state....they get gimmies like temple at wvu......

This week there is no real Headliner game, but there are many games that will help define the BCS, and more importantly, conference races. Here are the games of the week:

Game of the Week: Minnesota @ Wisconsin

Spread: Wisconsin -7
The Game:
Wisconsin is knocking on the door of a BigTen title and a possible appearance in the Orange Bowl. Meanwhile, Minnesota is reeling having lost three of their last four games. This game is played in Madison and the Badgers are coming off a much needed bye week. The only positive that the Gophers have going for them is that they are 2-2 the past four years versus Wisconsin.
My Prediction: Wisconsin by 8
Why: These two teams are going in opposite directions. Wisky has everything to play for and the Gophers are suddenly trying to hang on to a bowl game in the state of Texas. Also…Glen Mason is 2-14 straight-up on the road in November.
Would I bet on this game: Yes, as I have been saying for six weeks…this Wisconsin team is for real.

Game 2: OKLAHOMA @ TEXAS A&M
Spread:
Oklahoma -12
The Game: Will the real Texas A&M team please stand up? I said before this season started that the Wrecking Crew would be one of the most improved teams in the country, and they are. However; they did just lose to Baylor. I think the Aggies were looking ahead and will be ready for a weary Sooners squad.
My Prediction: Oklahoma by 1
Why: Oklahoma blows out A&M every time they play in Stillwater, but the 12th Man makes a difference as the Aggies beat Oklahoma in College Station in 2002 and only fell by four in 2000. I think this game will be close, but the Sooners prevail.
Would I bet on this game: No, Texas A&M is too unpredictable.

Game 3: NOTRE DAME @ TENNESSEE
Spread: Tennecheat -7
The Game: Tennessee all but guaranteed their place in the SEC Championship Game with a tough win against South Carolina last week. The Irish are coming off a loss to BC and a bye week. This is another game with one team still thinking National Title and another hanging on for a bowl appearance. I’ll take the motivated team every time.
My Prediction: Volunteers by 15
Why: Notre Dame is going to come out inspired and keep this game close, but Tennessee will win this game comfortably late. This Tennessee team resembles Michigan in many ways and both are scary teams to play against as the year progresses…most especially in their house. Also, the Vols are 4-1 straight-up and versus the spread versus the Irish since 1979.
Would I bet on this game: Yep…last time ND came to Knoxville I made a fortune when they lost 28-18.

Game 4: OHIO STATE @ MICHIGAN STATE
Spread: MSU -5
The Game: I am perplexed with this line. Both teams are playing their “backup” quarterbacks and the Buckeyes are 5-3, while the Spartans are 4-4. I know this game is played in East Lansing, but something just doesn’t mesh here. I mean MSU just hasn’t beaten anyone decent this year and are still 4-4.
My Prediction: Ohio State by 2
Why: The loss of Drew Stanton is a major factor in this game. With Stanton, I would have argued for a Spartan win, but without him….I think the Buckeyes win a tough one 23-21. I also feel that the emotional and physical drain of last weeks game for MSU is going to be tough to overcome. It won’t be pretty, but the Bucks pull out a road win and become bowl eligible.
Would I bet on this game: I’m not betting on the Buckeyes for awhile.
Season Record Straight Up: 28-12
Season Record v. the spread: 20-20
 
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