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Ohio State @ Northwestern, Wednesday, March 6, 9 PM, BTN

BASKETBALL PREVIEW: OHIO STATE AT NORTHWESTERN
Colin Hass-Hill on March 6, 2019 at 8:15 am @chasshill
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When Ohio State defeated Iowa, its NCAA tournament chances seemed fairly secure. Despite a 6-10 record in the calendar year of 2019, the Buckeyes had taken advantage of a weak bubble and put themselves in position to have a strong at-large bid.

Kaleb Wesson's suspension changed the situation a bit, though. Ohio State likely needed at least one more win to maintain a safe hold on its tournament berth, and it's still searching for that victory after Purdue rocked the Wesson-less team by 35 points.

The Buckeyes take on Northwestern at 9 p.m. Wednesday in their second-to-last regular-season game. Had Wesson not still been suspended, they have have entered the day as favorites, but the betting odds are even as of the morning of the game.

RELATED Absence of Kaleb Wesson Felt In Ohio State's 86-51 Loss To Purdue

Ohio State defeated the Wildcats, 63-49, in February with a solid team effort, yet one led offensively by Wesson's 22 points. No other Buckeye scored more than eight points. In order for Ohio State to win, it'll have to play a notably different game on both ends of the court than it did in the victory earlier this month.

"Obviously, we have been working and a Northwestern team we just faced," Chris Holtmann said. "I have a tremendous lot of respect for the job that Chris (Collins) does. They’ve just got some really difficult people to guard, in particular with (Dererk) Pardon and Vic Law. Plus, (Ryan) Taylor and the other guys have helped them."

OPPONENT PREVIEW
Northwestern doesn't jump off on paper, especially offensively.

Ohio State held the Wildcats to 31.6 percent shooting from the field and 5-for-29 shooting from beyond the arc. Those numbers aren't abnormal for scoring-challenged Northwestern, which has a 12-17 record and is 3-15 in the Big Ten. The Wildcats have lost 10 games in a row and have cracked 65 points in just two of the defeats.

Every single Northwestern player except for one – Pardon – shoots below 40 percent from the field.

Without Wesson, Pardon could find more opportunities to hurt the Buckeyes inside. He had just eight points (4-for-9) and nine rebounds in the first meeting between the two teams. Holtmann has referenced Wesson as a significantly better defender than his backup – Jaedon LeDee – so there's a chance his impact could be felt more on that side of the court than on offense.

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OHIO STATE PREVIEW
In order to beat Northwestern, Ohio State doesn't have to drop 90 points, which it did against Iowa. It just has to not have a Purdue-like offensive performance combined with a historically bad defensive performance.

"We did not bring enough competitive fight to that game and effort in general," Holtmann said. "We have to take responsibility for that. It has been very rare that I’ve said that about this group or last year’s group. It’s been very rare, but that was the case."

Not having Wesson makes winning significantly harder on both ends of the court.

Without him on offense, Justin Ahrens and Duane Washington Jr. had hands in their faces before they ever touched the ball versus the Boilermakers, partially leading to the 51-point output. Those two sharpshooters combined to miss all four 3-point attempts, and the team made just 2-of-19 triples.

The Wesson-less offense needs more contributions out of a host of players. C.J. Jackson had two points and one assist in 29 minutes, and he has to pick up some of the scoring slack. Either Ahrens and Washington needs to hit a couple 3s to keep the Wildcats at bay. Ohio State would receive a significant boost if Luther Muhammad got out of his seven-game shooting slump.

HOW IT PLAYS OUT
Northwestern has lost 10 games, not having won since Jan. 22. But don't consider this a guaranteed victory for the Buckeyes, because it's not.

Ohio State didn't prove it can score against Purdue with an opponent game-planning to face the Buckeyes without Wesson. Though the Wildcats haven't been overly successful this season, especially recently, they have a solid defense and buckets won't come easily.

Prediction: Ohio State 63, Northwestern 62


https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio...basketball-preview-ohio-state-at-northwestern
 
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Indiana has made their way into a few of the 8 or so brackets I follow. This is not good for Ohio State should they lose tonight. Really have to win 1 of the final 2 games. Win both and NCAA's a lock.

Lose both then lose in 1st round of the Big Ten tournament and it's game over probably which is tough to take after whipping Iowa. I really thought Iowa should all but seal it but not have the big man is probably going to undo this entire season.
 
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Indiana has made their way into a few of the 8 or so brackets I follow. This is not good for Ohio State should they lose tonight. Really have to win 1 of the final 2 games. Win both and NCAA's a lock.

Lose both then lose in 1st round of the Big Ten tournament and it's game over probably which is tough to take after whipping Iowa. I really thought Iowa should all but seal it but not have the big man is probably going to undo this entire season.

Well it's not like you don't have another team or 3 to cheer for....oh wait...
 
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northwestern has lost its last 10 games. of the last 8 games, only 2 have been by double-digits, with the osu being the worst at 14 points. they were competitive in our game for the first 30 minute but not competitive from tip to horn against minnesota. all of this points to northwestern likely giving us a very good game even if we had kaleb. but now that we're without the only guy who scored more than 8 points the first time around...
 
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northwestern has lost its last 10 games. of the last 8 games, only 2 have been by double-digits, with the osu being the worst at 14 points. they were competitive in our game for the first 30 minute but not competitive from tip to horn against minnesota. all of this points to northwestern likely giving us a very good game even if we had kaleb. but now that we're without the only guy who scored more than 8 points the first time around...

...I would be pleasantly surprised to see a Buckeye victory tonight.
 
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Yeah, that's about as low as it gets, Kaleb. I mean he's what, 19? 20? And he had the audacity to break a rule (NCAA or tOSU, no one knows for sure). I am really glad I was perfect at that age and never broke any rules or even laws. Yep, crucify the kid. Of course, I didn't owe it to the entire tOSU fan base to be perfect.
I'm not crucifying the dude and I'm not saying I was perfect either. Just a really shitty time to do whatever he did.
 
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...I would be pleasantly surprised to see a Buckeye victory tonight.
young, ledee, and andre have to give northwestern something to think about inside. if we don't have any threat inside of 6 feet, which i'm not expecting we will, northwestern will just do what purdue did and overplay on the perimeter by not helping. the wildcats aren't as quick outside as purdue, but they are long. absent of the interior trio giving us solid interior scoring, we better be hitting beyond the arc while not being forced into turnovers.

good news: we won by 14 despite going only 4/20 from three and attempting only 10 free throws.

bad news: no one else but kaleb was much of a scoring threat (though 6 guys scoring at least 5 is pretty balanced otherwise).
 
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Still playing Muhammad over Washington and Ahrens eh Holtmann?

I'm more interested in minutes. If Muhammad and Woods get more at the expense of Ahrens and Washington I'll share your disdain.

Muhammad playing doesn't annoy me as much as Woods, who will be gone next year. Get the young guys minutes. It's not like we're prepping for a final four run this season.
 
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