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Opponents total D rank and our performance against them

Discussion in 'Buckeye Football' started by Jaxbuck, Nov 7, 2004.

  1. Jaxbuck

    Jaxbuck I hate tsun ‘18 Fantasy Baseball Champ

    Take a look at where our opponents rank YTD in Total D and see what you think. Total D only covers total ypg so its not the end all be all stat but I think it shows someinteresting things none the less.

    Opponent NCCAA rank in total D......OSU's offensive output in total yds.
    #2 NCSU...137 yds
    #3 Wisky...224 yds
    #10 Iowa...177 yds
    #12 PSU...202 yds
    #15 MU...403 yds
    #17scUM...tbd
    #29 OSU...point of reference
    #30 PU...tbd
    #48 UC...462 yds
    #61 MSU...307 yds
    #70 NU...308 yds
    #102 IU...443 yds

    so against the good teams (1-15) we average 229 ypg.
    against the bad teams (48-102) we average 380 ypg.

    I was slightly more optimistic after the MSU game myself but seeing this kinda just dampened it. I didn't realize MSU's D was rated that low.

    On the positive side neither of our remaing two opponents are as tough as half the teams we have played this year.

    I'll probably regret saying it but running the table is not completely out of the question to me now. Purdue will tell a lot.
     
  2. kn1f3party

    kn1f3party Junior

    Great point. I'm not disappointed with our performance in East Lansing. That is a tough venue to win at--4th in the Big Ten as far as winning percentage goes (behind Happy Valley, scUM, and the shoe). We also have a very banged up team. We can run the table, lets hope the players believe.
     
  3. osugrad21

    osugrad21 Capo Regime Staff Member

    Purdue will get a huge boost if Orton can play...if not, we need to add to their misery by getting out of the blocks quickly. That team is beaten up mentally and physically...if we let them hang around, it could go either way.
     
  4. DiHard

    DiHard Guest

    i know you mean well but.....

    it is going to go either way.....i dont care if purdont plays gary coleman at quarterback......with ohio state....opponents always hang around....
     
  5. osugrad21

    osugrad21 Capo Regime Staff Member

    Fair enough...what is the official DiHard spread?
     
  6. DiHard

    DiHard Guest

    man....if i were going to set the spread i would set it at tosu -1....

    however; i see vegas putting it at -2.5 for purdue.....

    just a guess....first spreads come out tomorrow.....
     
  7. kn1f3party

    kn1f3party Junior

    Spreads are so crooked out here. They release an opening spread and then change it based on betting trends. The majority of the time these spreads are meant to dupe gamblers into thinking they've got a lock. Don't be surprised if we're favored with Orton out.
     
  8. DiHard

    DiHard Guest

    jnf....i think vegas will see purdue losing at iowa by less than ohio state and keep the boilers as a favorite....


    it i were to set the betting from an action standpoint i would put purdont -2.5....

    the end result will be that the line slides to something around .5 at gametime....
     
  9. kn1f3party

    kn1f3party Junior

    It really is hard to say. It boils down to which trends they weight more heavily. For me, Ohio State at -3.5. But, I'm biased and consider streaks to be a key factor. Ohio State is up 3 while Purdue is down 4. They have had a meltdown and that trend--especially with the complete psychological toll its had on Orton--isn't nixed easily.
     
  10. DiHard

    DiHard Guest

    your saying tosu is going to go off at -3.5.....on the road....against a team that played iowa tight..at iowa without their best player....no friggin way.....an iowa team that blew out tosu....

    no way is tosu favored in this game...period....
     
  11. PRBuck1

    PRBuck1 Newbie

    Here is the opponents offensive rank and yards they gained on us (R-P-T). Discouraging thing is that 3 of 5 games where we held opponent under 300 yards were the first three games. The other two were against Indiana (#93) and PSU (#100). Also discouraging is that the two remaining opponents are among the top five on our schedule.

    15 MSU 145-262-407
    23 Purdue
    30 UC 76-162-238
    32 Northwestern 166-278-444
    47 Michigan
    64 NC State 157-99-256
    80 Wisconsin 184-160-344
    93 Indiana 53-189-242
    98 Marshall 150-140-290
    99 Iowa 117-331-448
    100 Penn State 177-69-246
    109 Ohio State
     
  12. brutus2002

    brutus2002 Junior

    On defense the only stat that means shit is PPG. We had 2-3 key players injured or playing at 80-90% against MSU. I think we are making strides. Another thing to consider is that they have a hell of a kicker. 2 of his FG's are either punts or misses by any other kicker in the B10. Michigan and Purdue better be able to punt and kick as well as MSU's kickers or we will burn them on ST.
     
  13. kn1f3party

    kn1f3party Junior

    I'm not saying Vegas will do that, I know better than that. That is what I'm predicting, us winning by at least 4. The same Iowa team that blew us out could get first downs. The drive logs say it all--both teams looked like trash.

    Purdue

    Punt
    FG Miss
    Fumble
    Punt
    Punt Fumble
    TD
    Punt
    Punt
    FG Miss
    TD
    Punt
    Int
    Int
    Fumble
    TD

    Iowa

    TD
    FG
    Punt
    Punt
    Fumble
    Punt
    FG Miss
    Int
    Punt
    FG
    Punt
    FG
    FG Miss
    FG Miss
     
  14. Def

    Def Newbie

    One bright spot might be the D forcing MSU to kick field goals which is an improvement to the lack luster red zone defense we've seen much of this year.
     
  15. DiHard

    DiHard Guest

    agreed.....i would think tosu should be favored....but i just checked the odds for my weeks prediction blog and its purdue -4.....more than a full point more than i thought....
     

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