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Scenarios for Final CFP Playoff Rankings

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Here's the entire thread:

This thread will be a list of the problems that Alabama needs to overcome to reach the CFP:

1. If Ohio State and Minnesota are each 12-0 heading into the CCG, both of those teams stay ahead of Bama no matter what.
2. If Georgia wins out and beats LSU in the SEC Championship Game, both UGA and LSU will be ahead of Bama.
3. If Oregon and Utah are each 11-1 and meet in the Pac 12 Championship Game, the winner is ahead of Bama.
4. If Clemson wins the ACC at either 12-1 or 13-0, the Tigers will be ahead of Bama.
5. If Georgia beats Auburn, and TAMU loses to UGA and LSU, then the best (and only) ranked win for Bama would be #20-ish 8-4 Auburn. No other win would have less than four losses.
6. If either Oklahoma or Baylor runs the table, then the Big 12 champion will be ahead of Alabama.

The Tide are far from out of it yet, but they definitely still need a lot--*a lot* of help to get in the Top 4 the second Sunday in December.

/thread
 
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Jake said:
I disagree with Mr. Schick. If there are only three unbeaten teams (or fewer), Bama is in unless one-loss Georgia beats undefeated LSU.

We can all hate it, but the committee hasn't left out one-loss Bama yet. If their only loss is a shootout to undefeated LSU...
Click to expand...

With injured Tua... cuz you know that's going to be front and center.
"healthy Bama vs LSU" rematch

OSU_Buckguy said:
those 1-loss bama teams had far more than 1 win over a ranked team, though. moreover, two of the 1-loss bama teams that made the playoff were sec champs. the third 1-loss bama team to make the playoff was a west division co-champ.

this year's team is not the other bama teams of the playoff era. throw in their shit non-conference schedule and they have an uphill battle.
Click to expand...

It's a replay of '17 for Bama.
They didnt play anyone then either... stamped their ticket by losing to the only good team they played.
 
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Upvote 0
Dryden said:


Here's the entire thread:

This thread will be a list of the problems that Alabama needs to overcome to reach the CFP:

1. If Ohio State and Minnesota are each 12-0 heading into the CCG, both of those teams stay ahead of Bama no matter what.
2. If Georgia wins out and beats LSU in the SEC Championship Game, both UGA and LSU will be ahead of Bama.
3. If Oregon and Utah are each 11-1 and meet in the Pac 12 Championship Game, the winner is ahead of Bama.
4. If Clemson wins the ACC at either 12-1 or 13-0, the Tigers will be ahead of Bama.
5. If Georgia beats Auburn, and TAMU loses to UGA and LSU, then the best (and only) ranked win for Bama would be #20-ish 8-4 Auburn. No other win would have less than four losses.
6. If either Oklahoma or Baylor runs the table, then the Big 12 champion will be ahead of Alabama.

The Tide are far from out of it yet, but they definitely still need a lot--*a lot* of help to get in the Top 4 the second Sunday in December.

/thread
Click to expand...


1. Should be, but wont. And i expect Minny to have 1 loss going to Indy.
2. True. This would push Bama out... for a different SEC also-ran.
3. See #1, esp if it's Oregon.
4. Doesnt factor in. There's 3 spots right now, SEC B1G ACC champs.
5. See 2017. Not a problem.
6. Yes in the case of Baylor, which seems a very very long shot. OU could pip Bama because of their pedigree... but it's a toss-up. The injured Tua factor will play nonstop.
 
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Jaxbuck said:
all joking aside, they are going to have to move Minny and Baylor up as undefeated P5 teams. Someone has to go down and they have 2 losses.
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Minnesota is at #17 they may not crack the top ten yet. Baylor is at #12 and was lucky to beat TCU in 3 OTs, maybe they will hop over Auburn who's at #11, but not much more unless Penn State and/or Oklahoma drops out of the top 10. In addition, Oklahoma is at #9 and had a scare against ISU (who missed a 2 point conversion which would have won the game for them): they could drop a couple of places.
 
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ScriptOhio said:
Minnesota is at #17 they may not crack the top ten yet. Baylor is at #12 and was lucky to beat TCU in 3 OTs, maybe they will hop over Auburn who's at #11, but not much more unless Penn State and/or Oklahoma drops out of the top 10. In addition, Oklahoma is at #9 and had a scare against ISU (who missed a 2 point conversion which would have won the game for them): they could drop a couple of places.
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I could see them giving it another week for both Minny and Baylor to stay undefeated but if they both win again this weekend they have to be in the top 10.
 
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Jaxbuck said:
I could see them giving it another week for both Minny and Baylor to stay undefeated but if they both win again this weekend they have to be in the top 10.
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I can see holding on Baylor with that TCU overtime... plus their shot against OU is next week.
I dont see any way to hold off Minny. Because first, they have to be ranked ahead of PSU... second, the 'not played anyone' goes right out the window.
Both teams are undefeated / 1loss, in a close game. If this was SEC they'd be 4 and 5, at worst. Minny needs to move well into 5-9 at minimum, and PSU on edge of top10 (ahead of UF)
 
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Jaxbuck said:
I could see them giving it another week for both Minny and Baylor to stay undefeated but if they both win again this weekend they have to be in the top 10.
Click to expand...

Between the 2 teams there is only 1 "quality" win, i.e. Minny over Penn State. Neither team has had a "killer" strength of schedule so far. So based on Minny's win over Penn State, I'll say Minnesota and Baylor should be flipped.

Baylor has Oklahoma and Texas the next 2 weeks; if they beat Texas and Kansas, they'll get Oklahoma again in the BIG XII Championship game. I think Baylor is "road kill" waiting to happen.

Minny has Iowa, NW, and Wisky. They only need to win 2 out of the 3 to get to the B1G Championship game. If they win all three and lose to Ohio State* in the B1G Championship game, they can probably say "hello" to a Rose Bowl invitation, and the "boat rower" not Day will be B1G Coach Of The Year....:no:

* I'm assuming here that Ohio State "takes care of business" in the 3 remaining conference games.
 
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ScriptOhio said:
Between the 2 teams there is only 1 "quality" win, i.e. Minny over Penn State.
Click to expand...

but they are undefeated

If that doesn't count for anything then Minny has a much better resume right now than Clemson. Re-rank accordingly.

as far as COY, that trophy has had Fleck's name on it for a while now. Day was never going to win it.
 
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