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LGHL Vegas book sets Ohio State's over/under win total at just 8.5, one less than Michigan

Discussion in 'News' started by Luke Zimmermann, May 19, 2016.

  1. Vegas book sets Ohio State's over/under win total at just 8.5, one less than Michigan
    Luke Zimmermann
    via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
    Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


    [​IMG]
    Surely Ohio State can hit the over, right? Right?!

    One prominent Las Vegas sportsbook is apparently a bit sheepish on the young 2016 Ohio State Buckeyes' chances for success on the field this coming fall.

    Per Friend of the Holy Land David Payne Purdum, the Golden Nugget in Las Vegas has pegged OSU's over/under at just 8.5 wins.

    While generally the number is supposed to peg the median expected number of wins, there can be tweaks or adjustments to account for projected fan base betting enthusiasm. This usually more favorably impacts the Buckeyes, who historically solicit a lot of homer action, but even accounting for that this go around, the oddsmakers have only projected them to win around 9 games.

    Also curious, Michigan is projected to finish around 9.5 wins, a full game better than OSU and ostensibly ahead of OSU in the Big Ten standings.

    Don't get too down on one particular book's lack of optimism, however. SB Nation's Bud Elliott, a bit of a college football odds enthusiast in his own right, thinks there may be more than meets the eye at play here.

    "Early betting lines are often a reflection of what the expert bookmakers believe, offered at low limits to allow early betting action to serve as feedback shaping the line before the limits are raised to accept larger bets," he told Land-Grant Holy Land.

    "Releasing these early lines is also great publicity for books via the free advertising they receive through media for its newsworthiness."

    If you're not fully cynical on the remaining O/U, here's the full sampling of high profile schools, courtesy once again of Purdum:

    Michigan 9.5 (-120o)
    Ohio State 8.5 (-115o)
    Notre Dame 9 (-125u)
    Tennessee 10
    Clemson 10 (-120o)
    Alabama 9.5
    Florida State 10 (-120o)
    Oklahoma 10 (-130u)
    LSU 9.5 (-140o)

    Continue reading...
     

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