November means an afternoon game in Madison this year.
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DaddyBigBucks;2246669; said:Urban Meyer's Record in Games Following a Bye Week
Florida
W/L______Date_________PF___Opponent_____PA_____Location
W_____10-30-2010_____34_____Georgia______31_____Jacksonville, FL
W_____10-10-2009_____13______LSU_________3_____Baton Rouge, LA
W_____10-25-2008_____63______Ky__________5_____Gainesville, FL
W_____09-20-2008_____30_____Tenn_________6_____Knoxville, TN
W_*___10-20-2007_____45______Ky_________37_____Lexington, KY
W_____10-28-2006_____21_____Georgia______14_____Jacksonville, FL
W_____11-26-2005_____34______FSU_________7_____Gainesville, FL
W_____10-29-2005_____14_____Georgia______10_____Jacksonville, FL
* = Florida's only win in October in 2007
Utah
W/L______Date_________PF___Opponent_____PA_____Location
W_____10-16-2004_____46_____UNC________16_____Salt Lake City, UT
W_____11-15-2003_____47_____Wyo________17_____Salt Lake City, UT
W_____09-27-2003_____28_____CSU________21_____Fort Collins, CO
Bowling Green
W/L______Date_________PF___Opponent_____PA_____Location
W_____10-05-2002_____72_____Ohio________21_____Bowling Green, OH
W_____09-14-2002_____51____Mizzou_______28_____Bowling Green, OH
L_____11-03-2001_____21_____Miami U______24_____Bowling Green, OH
W_____09-22-2001_____42____Temple______23_____Bowling Green, OH
Long story short: Urban has only lost one game after a bye week, and that was 11 years ago, in his second such game ever.
Yertle;2251873; said:Love the mathematical models! Not to ask for more work, but any correlation to home/away? Only reason I'm worried is there is always a human factor(s). Two human factors that are in Wisconsin's favor:
1. Games at Camp Randall.
2. They have the revenge factor.
Doubt there's a way to work in the revenge factor, but home and away differentials in the numbers would be interesting.
Curt Phillips will actually be starting this weekend in Bloomington. How he does/if he can stay healthy will go a long way towards being able to predict next Saturday's game.MaxBuck;2251981; said:The statistical analysis is great, but the biggest single factor IMO is the fact that the Badgers are forced to play O'Brien at QB. Had we been playing Stave, I'd be much less optimistic; as it is, I think we'll kick their butts.