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WR Terrelle Pryor ('10 Rose, '11 Sugar MVP)

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I dunno, if we average 30 pts per game we're going to win around 85% of our games (for context, we averaged ~32 ppg over the past 4 years and we're 0.843 - 43-8 - over that span). We have a strong defense, and it gives us this luxury. 30 * 13 = 390 points for the year. A quick check shows that over the past 4 years, the average teams scores 3-3.5 times as many TDs as FGs. Ignoring the extra points (because they all stem from TDs anyway), you get a pretty simple system of linear equations (7x+3y = 390, x=3y); solving for x (touchdowns) gives you ~48 (8x=390). 48 TDs for the entire offense for the year isn't really all that many (that usually places you around 50th in TDs scored for the year; in 2005-2008, we scored 47, 61, 51, and 42 in chronological order); if Pryor had only 10 TDs rushing and 10 TDs passing, he'd account for a little under half of those. I figure he's got to account for more like 2/3 to 3/4, given the youth of our RBs. That'd put his TD total around 32 - 36.

So 16-18 TDs rushing/passing. That's fairly unlikely, given that few QBs have ever put up high numbers in both categories. I could see him doing 20/10 passing rushing, but I have a hard time seeing him put up more than that (Tresselball being what it is).

That being said, if he put up 20/10, would anyone be upset? Before you answer that, remember that the year that Troy won the Heisman, he had 31 total TDs (30/1).

Edit: bah, beaten to the punch.
 
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That being said, if he put up 20/10, would anyone be upset?

Not me I would be doing those back flips down my street. I just don`t think this team is gonna set the world on fire offensively...its really not JT`s m.o....he is a guy that really likes a great D and solid Special teams and that is his comfort zone.

I will be surprised if we see 2007 again, maybe TP`s senior year. JT will have a strong defense again. It seems that 2007 and late 2006 was the exception.... we had a somewhat green defense and we turned it loose a bit. Go Bucks
 
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TheIronColonel;1518225; said:
Really? So if we went 13-0 and won a MNC, but Pryor had 1 yard passing and 0 TDs for the year, despite playing every snap, you wouldn't be upset at all?

Of course stats matter. They're not everything, but they're a lot of things..
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I'd call him a field general and would congratulate Boom Herron on his record shattering season.
 
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TheIronColonel;1518225; said:
Really? So if we went 13-0 and won a MNC, but Pryor had 1 yard passing and 0 TDs for the year, despite playing every snap, you wouldn't be upset at all?

Of course stats matter. They're not everything, but they're a lot of things..
Click to expand...

Enough of that moving him to DE talk, mister.
 
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I'm expecting / hoping for numbers more like Troy's 2005 season.
Since Troy missed the equivalent of a game and a half in 2005, I have extrapolated his regular season numbers to equal 12 instead of 10.5. Numbers are rounded since it's just an expectation anyway.

Comp %.......63%
Yards..........2600+
TDs.............18
INTs............4
QB Rating......160 - 169 range
Rushing Yds....700
Rushing TDs....12
Fumbles on QB sneaks......0

So yeah, I am expecting him to account for about 30 TDs this year regular season.

If we play ND in a bowl game, he could increase his numbers by about 50% :tongue2:
 
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I don't know that I'd use the word "expecting", but I think that's a very realistic target. It won't put him in the Heisman talk for this year because the Big XII and SEC are in NFL Blitz mode (do people still play that? damn kids!) and haven't heard of defense. On the other hand, as I said before, we'll win a hell of a lot of games if he has those kinds of numbers.
 
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TheIronColonel;1518267; said:
I don't know that I'd use the word "expecting", but I think that's a very realistic target. It won't put him in the Heisman talk for this year because the Big XII and SEC are in NFL Blitz mode (do people still play that? damn kids!) and haven't heard of defense. On the other hand, as I said before, we'll win a hell of a lot of games if he has those kinds of numbers.
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Agree, although I think that if he passes for 2600+, he's going to get more than 18 TDs. But yeah, if he scores ~30 TDs, OSU will average bout 32 a game and win 11 or 12 games. It'd be a good season for him.
 
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