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Coronavirus (COVID-19) is too exciting for adults to discuss (CLOSED)

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Not even with your appendage

You know you would.

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Sure I would................................................................................................................................if it was 1980 like your picture.

Pretty sure she never had tits like that in the House. :lol:

The youngest she could be in the picture is 67, the first year she held the gavel.
 
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So, I took stats that popped up in a Google search dropped them into a spreadsheet. "Ratio" here is your "one in n" chance of dying, e.g., your chance of dying from the virus in the US if you catch it is 1 in 69.56. Throughout the entire world as of an hour ago when these stats were published, less than a half million people had the virus (out of 7.8 billion people). Now, the world mortality rate is quite a bit higher than I expected at 4.9%, but if you remove the three countries with the highest mortality rate (Italy, Spain, and Iran), it plummets to 2.74%, or 56% of the overall world rate. What I found intriguing is that Germany and Austria (which border each order) have the lowest mortality rate in Europe, but the rate increases as you move outward to the south and to the west from those countries (Belgium, Netherlands, France, Spain to the west/southwest, and Switzerland and Italy to the south). Jumping the pond to the UK, the rate is fairly close to what it is on the opposite shores of the English Channel with that UK at just under 5% and France and Netherlands almost identical to each other at 5.82% and 5.83% (maybe the channel spotted the UK and eighth of a percent). Conversely, both the US and Canada have a significantly lower mortality rate.

It certainly seems that the Italy death number are considerably inflated because they are only testing people with significant symptoms. Here is a post from a sailing message board that I frequent that is from someone with a friend in Milan:

The question was asked earlier whether anyone knew someone who actually has the virus. I do. A close friend of mine in Milan has it, although it hasn't been officially diagnosed nor documented because he's been unable to see a doctor. After 7 days he was able to get his doctor on the phone and the doctor's only recourse was to prescribe antibiotics. We all know that antibiotics are really not effective against viruses, but that was the best that could be done. My friend is a 37-yr-old white collar worker who is an avid football (soccer) player, so is in quite good health. Now he suffers with breathing problems and chest pains, but from yesterday he's been seeing some improvement in his health.

He told me that nearly everyone he knows in Milan has similar symptoms, some worse some nominal, but still many have not been able to see medical professionals. As they are all relatively young and in general good health, they are not a priority, and as they don't yet need respirators, they are asked to stay home and not have contact with anyone.

The official numbers in Italy are alarming, and by not practicing physical distancing, the virus spread like wildfire and continues to do so. But those are the official numbers of documented cases; what about the undocumented ones? The ones who stay home with all the symptoms yet have not declared, or not been able to declare, their status in medical facilities? The doctors and nurses and all medical facilities there are overwhelmed.

Now that concerning on one side. No one wants these symptoms, even if they are likely to recover just fine. But if "nearly everyone" this guy knows has similar story, that would say that the number of infected is MUCH higher, which is actually a good thing if we're looking honestly at complication rates.

The Milan metro area has 4.3M people in it in 2018 according the the wikigod. If only 30% are infected, that is 1.3M people. If you replaced the 80K official number with that 1.3M possible infected in Milan metro only, you end up with a death rate of 0.63%. This is replacing the 80K number of tested infected across Italy and replacing it with 1.3M possibly infected in Milan only. Of course this is speculation, but I don't think 30% infection rate in the hardest hit city in Europe is a crazy number, especially based on anecdotal evidence from this quote and others coming out of Italy.

Also, does anyone actually believe the numbers coming out of China?
 
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"Not trying to be political BUT" post of the morning....

It's 2 am, you've had your fill, at the end of the bar sits a clearly drunk and lonely Nancy Pelosi

Would you?
Maybe if I wasn’t married. I had incredibly low standards when I was single. I’ve had sex with some incredibly old, fat, and ugly women. My dick is apolitical.
 
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