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Ohio State/Michigan vs. Alabama/Michigan vs. Washington/Michigan

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shouright

Sophmore
Ohio State -- Michigan

EPA per Play: 0.19 (78th percentile) -- 0.13 (69th percentile)
Success Rate: 53% (93rd) -- 45% (69th)
Yards per Play: 7.05 (80th) -- 5.67 (46th)
EPA per Dropback: 0.26 (74th) -- 0.31 (78th)
EPA per Rush: 0.11 (67th) -- 0.02 (51st)
Yards per Dropback: 9.21 (89th) -- 8.27 (81st)
Explosive Play Rate: 5% (16th) -- 5% (16th)
3rd Down Success Rate: 60% (91st) -- 38% (39th)
Red Zone Success Rate: 88% (95th) -- 33% (31st)

Alabama -- Michigan

EPA per Play: -0.18 (19th percentile) -- 0.16 (74th percentile)
Success Rate: 44% (65th) -- 37% (32nd)
Yards per Play: 4.36 (13th) -- 5.53 (43rd)
EPA per Dropback: -0.42 (11th) -- 0.29 (76th)
EPA per Rush: 0.01 (49th) -- 0.04 (55th)
Yards per Dropback: 4.00 (16th) -- 7.89 (77th)
Explosive Play Rate: 5% (16th) -- 7% (36th)
3rd Down Success Rate: 29% (16th) -- 27% (14th)
Red Zone Success Rate: 38% (44th) -- 57% (78th)

Washington -- Michigan

EPA per Play: -0.24 (12th percentile) -- 0.12 (67th percentile)
Success Rate: 34% (19th) -- 37% (30th)
Yards per Play: 5.59 (45th) -- 7.77 (91st)
EPA per Dropback: -0.29 (19th) -- -0.23 (24th)
EPA per Rush: -0.12 (30th) -- 0.32 (90th)
Yards per Dropback: 4.90 (29th) -- 7.00 (65th)
Explosive Play Rate: 3% (4th) -- 11% (78th)
3rd Down Success Rate: 26% (13th) -- 9% (1st)
Red Zone Success Rate: 27% (23rd) -- 36% (39th)

Ohio State far and away outplayed both Alabama and Washington against Michigan, and unlike them they did it in Ann Arbor.
 
shouright said:
Ohio State -- Michigan

EPA per Play: 0.19 (78th percentile) -- 0.13 (69th percentile)
Success Rate: 53% (93rd) -- 45% (69th)
Yards per Play: 7.05 (80th) -- 5.67 (46th)
EPA per Dropback: 0.26 (74th) -- 0.31 (78th)
EPA per Rush: 0.11 (67th) -- 0.02 (51st)
Yards per Dropback: 9.21 (89th) -- 8.27 (81st)
Explosive Play Rate: 5% (16th) -- 5% (16th)
3rd Down Success Rate: 60% (91st) -- 38% (39th)
Red Zone Success Rate: 88% (95th) -- 33% (31st)

Alabama -- Michigan

EPA per Play: -0.18 (19th percentile) -- 0.16 (74th percentile)
Success Rate: 44% (65th) -- 37% (32nd)
Yards per Play: 4.36 (13th) -- 5.53 (43rd)
EPA per Dropback: -0.42 (11th) -- 0.29 (76th)
EPA per Rush: 0.01 (49th) -- 0.04 (55th)
Yards per Dropback: 4.00 (16th) -- 7.89 (77th)
Explosive Play Rate: 5% (16th) -- 7% (36th)
3rd Down Success Rate: 29% (16th) -- 27% (14th)
Red Zone Success Rate: 38% (44th) -- 57% (78th)

Washington -- Michigan

EPA per Play: -0.24 (12th percentile) -- 0.12 (67th percentile)
Success Rate: 34% (19th) -- 37% (30th)
Yards per Play: 5.59 (45th) -- 7.77 (91st)
EPA per Dropback: -0.29 (19th) -- -0.23 (24th)
EPA per Rush: -0.12 (30th) -- 0.32 (90th)
Yards per Dropback: 4.90 (29th) -- 7.00 (65th)
Explosive Play Rate: 3% (4th) -- 11% (78th)
3rd Down Success Rate: 26% (13th) -- 9% (1st)
Red Zone Success Rate: 27% (23rd) -- 36% (39th)

Ohio State far and away outplayed both Alabama and Washington against Michigan, and unlike them they did it in Ann Arbor.
Click to expand...

The difference in the Ohio State - scUM game was that McCarthy just outplayed McCord, plain and simple. When the game was on the line McCarthy made some plays and McCord didn't. Even as bad as Ohio State's offensive line was, McCord still had a chance to win it with under a minute to go up until he was intercepted.
 
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ScriptOhio said:
The difference in the Ohio State - scUM game was that McCarthy just outplayed McCord, plain and simple. When the game was on the line McCarthy made some plays and McCord didn't. Even as bad as Ohio State's offensive line was, McCord still had a chance to win it with under a minute to go up until he was intercepted.
Click to expand...
The two turnovers were essentially the difference. The first one was massive and resulted in a short field and an easy score, and the second one ended the game when Ohio State still had the ability to win. A turnover margin of 2 or more will almost always make the difference between teams that are otherwise roughly equal in ability.
 
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shouright said:
The two turnovers were essentially the difference. The first one was massive and resulted in a short field and an easy score, and the second one ended the game when Ohio State still had the ability to win. A turnover margin of 2 or more will almost always make the difference between teams that are otherwise roughly equal in ability.
Click to expand...
Michigan also got a bogus td when it was really Intercepted in the end zone. The refs did us no favors.
 
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