The Probability Poll

[Carmen Ohio]

Here's another fun way to look at the possible outcome of this year's Big Ten campaign. I'll call it the Probability Poll. The asterick marks games in perenthesis that I think that could go either way. The games on the right without perenthesis are probable losses.

Ohio State 9-3* (@Texas, @Iowa, @MSU)
Iowa 8-4* (OSU,@Mich, Wisc, @Minn)
Wisc 8-2*-2 (PSU,@Iowa) @Mich, @Purdue
Mich 6-4*-2 (@Minn,MSU,@PSU,Iowa) ND, @OSU
PSU 5-5*-2 (@Minn,Mich,@Pur,@Wisc,MSU) ND, @OSU
NW 7-5 @PSU,@Wisc,@Mich,@Iowa,OSU
Purdue 6-2*-5 (PSU,@Ill) @ND,@Iowa,@NW,@MSU
MSU 5-7*- (ND,@Mich,OSU,Minn,@PSU,@Pitt, @North)
Minn 4-4*-4(Mich,PSU@MSU,Iowa)Cal,@Pur,@Wis@OSU
Ill 5-1*-7 (Syr) @Rut,Iowa,@MSU,@PSU,@Wis,OSU,@NW
Ind 4-8 Wis,@Ill,Iowa,@OSU,MSU,@Minn,Mich,@Pur

Best case scenario for each team under this analysis:

Ohio State, Iowa or Michigan State 12-0
Michigan, Penn State, or Wisconsin 10-2
Minnesota 8-4
Purdue 8-5
Northwestern 7-5
Illinois 6-7
Indiana 4-8

Interesting that when looking at MSU's schedule I didn't see a single game where it's an absolute certainty they'd lose. You could argue @ Michigan, but that's an in-state rivalry game.

What games do you think are toss-ups and gimme's?

 

[MililaniBuckeye]

Ohio State 9-3* (@Texas, @Iowa, @OSU)

I assume that @OSU is supposed to be @MSU (OregonBuckeye caught that)...

 

[OregonBuckeye]

Ohio State 9-3* (@Texas, @Iowa, @OSU)