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1/5/06 Top 5 Rankings Prediction

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exhawg

exhawg

Mirror Guy
Staff member
What do you see the top 5 looking like after bowl season this year?

What I'd like to see:
1. Texas
2. PSU
3. OSU
4. USC
5. Auburn

What it will likely be:
1. Texas
2. PSU
3. USC
4. OSU
5. Auburn???

I have a hard time believing that USC will drop below a 2 loss team, but maybe if Texas beats them by enough we have a shot. We are already ahead of 2 1 loss Pac-10 teams.
 
MililaniBuckeye said:
The loser of the USC-Texas game should not be ranked lower than #2 regardless of the outcome. I think our chances of being top 4 are excellent with a resounding bowl win.
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Is that just for USC-Texas or does that go for any BCS Championship game? IMO if one team beats another handily (ie USC-OU last year) the loser should drop below teams who are playing better ball which would include PSU if they win their bowl game.
 
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Not to be "that guy" but unless there is a epic blowout... I think that The winner of Texas USC should be 1, and the loser 2. JMHO...

The difference between 3 and 4 is meaningless to me, honestly, if it works out as PSU v Va Tech in the Orange, I honestly dont' think beating Va Tech is a big enough accomplishment to put Penn State ahead of USC who had won (what 34 by then) or Texas who beat us at home and has pretty much crushed everyone they've played since... Great Year by PSU, and what's the difference between 2 and 3? Nothing really.

Oh and on Hawg's question... I guess any time the BCS teams are "and O" and the other teams have one loss or more, then I think the loser should be 2.

(Why does this conversation remind me of USC fans in '02 crying that they should have had a crack at Miami because their 2 loss asses were playing so well at the end.... We've lsot 2 games, top 5 would be outstanding.)
 
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I think it depends on who all comes back. Texas is not nearly as good without Vince Young as they are with him. Same can be said about USC and Reggie Bush. If they both come back, I think you will see them ranked #1 & 2 next year.
 
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Buckeyeskickbuttocks said:
Have to agree with Kbuck.

Hawg, I don't get the sense you were trying to make a USC like 02 cry fest re: how OSU is playing today even despite 2 losses. And I think OSU's best hope is 4th, which I think is what you were getting at.
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Under no circumstance do I think OSU should be playing for the NC or have any thought for being #1 like USC did in 2002. I do think our best hope is #4 and looking back PSU probably doesn't have a shot at #2 unless Texas blows out USC like USC did to OU last year. On the other hand I would love to see the results of an 8 team playoff this season. :p
 
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exhawg said:
Under no circumstance do I think OSU should be playing for the NC or have any thought for being #1 like USC did in 2002. I do think our best hope is #4 and looking back PSU probably doesn't have a shot at #2 unless Texas blows out USC like USC did to OU last year. On the other hand I would love to see the results of an 8 team playoff this season. :p
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Playoff would be awesome.

While the 9th rated team would surely bitch, fact is the line would have to be drawn somewhere and opening it up to 8 teams having a shot at the title undercuts the 9th place team's argument a bit in terms of available spots for competing for the big crystal football.

Frankly, balancing of schedules to 12 I think is a step in that direction. A PO wouldn't have worked too well in 02 I think. OSU had 14 games that year, as you surely recall. Making them play a PO would have been 15 games, which I would have loved as a fan, but is really too many.... Wait... never mind, there are NEVER too many games.
 
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exhawg said:
Under no circumstance do I think OSU should be playing for the NC or have any thought for being #1 like USC did in 2002. I do think our best hope is #4 and looking back PSU probably doesn't have a shot at #2 unless Texas blows out USC like USC did to OU last year. On the other hand I would love to see the results of an 8 team playoff this season. :p
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Well that's another issue... with the playoffs... The extra fun part is that if they used the BCS formula to determine the 8.. if the season ended today, there would be no Miami... :wink2:
 
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A playoff would be great, but I think we are still a long way from it happening. At this point, I don't think the loser of the Rose bowl or and NC bowl should be lower than #2 unless there had previously been 3 undefeateds and one got screwed from the NC game.
 
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Just to do something different, and respond to the question in the thread's title: :tongue2:

1. Texas
2. USC
3. LSU
4. Penn State
5. tOSU

I think LSU will beat Arkansas, win the SEC in Atlanta against Georgia, and beat either West Va. or South Florida in the Sugar Bowl. Obviously this is also based on a Texas Rose Bowl win, and Penn State and tOSU winning the Orange and Fiesta Bowls against ND and the ACC champ, regardless of the matchups.
 
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Keep in mind that we ended up a consensus #4 for 2003 despite losing at Michigan. In my mind, a solid bowl win, especially against a team like Va Tech, would put us anywhere between 3 and 5, depending on what everyone else does.
 
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