#1 Seed in the NCAA Tournament?

[BB73]

Which of these teams get a #1 seed in the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament, which will be announced on Sunday?

In the unlikely event that more than one of them get a #1 seed, there will be multiple payouts.

For those wondering, these odds are mine.

 

[MightbeaBuck]

Where's the Kentucky choice? I don't like them, but I think they'll be a One.

 

[sepia5]

Where's the Kentucky choice? I don't like them, but I think they'll be a One.

Any other school besides Kansas, Ky, Syracuse & those listed above 33/1 (33.00)

........

 

[BigJim]

I'd give Kentucky odds of about 1/10,000,000,000 in getting a #1 seed.

 

[fourteenandoh]

I'd give Kentucky odds of about 1/10,000,000,000 in getting a #1 seed.

so you are saying a 10,000,000,000 bet will win a dollar? count me in!

 

[BB73]

Now that it's closed, I'll explain how I calculated these odds, since some may find it worthy of discussion.

First, I obviously assmued that Kansas, Syracuse, and Ky were locks for #1 seeds, regardless of any bad loss in their conference tournaments.

I then gave odds to each of the other 6 contenders in winning their own conference tournament as follows:

30% for Duke and tOSU (same as the odds in those vBet threads)
17% for West Va, Purdue, Kansas St and Nova

Then I made a pecking order.

If Duke wins their tournament, they're a #1, regardless of other results
If Duke loses and West Va wins, WV gets a #1
If Duke and West Va lose and tOSU wins, tOSU gets the #1
If Duke and West Va lose and Purdue wins, Purdue gets the #1 (there'd be debate due to Hummel's injury)
If the 4 already mentioned all lose and K St wins, K State gets a #1
If the 5 already mentioned all lose and Nova wins, Nova gets a #1
If the 6 already mentioned all lose, it falls to Duke

Based on those assumptions, I crunched the numbers to create the odds for this vBet.

Then I gave some long odds for any other possibility (New Mexico, Maryland, etc.).

 

[leroyjenkins]

bump $$