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2009 Big Ten-ACC Challenge

BrutusBobcat

Icon and Entertainer
Given the quality of the Big Ten this year, it seems like this is the best chance the conference has had yet to win this thing. Here's the full list of matchups:

#2 (for now) Michigan State at #12 UNC - MSU wins this one if it's in East Lansing, though they still have a good shot at it in Chapel Hill. I love MSU's experience against the still fawn-like Carolina. Unfortunately, we helped the Tar Heels tune up. :wink: Should be a great game and a must-watch.

Florida State at #18 OSU - A must-win for the conference. The Schott isn't the rowdiest basketball arena in the land, but Ohio State still plays well at home and has the advantage of having played two highly ranked teams. With as sharp as OSU is playing, and with Buford and Lighty now hitting some threes, it's hard to not see Ohio State as favorites to win this one.

Wake Forest at #6 Purdue - This is the most lopsided advantage in the Big Ten's favor in the tournament. Purdue will enter the game as the highest ranked team in the conference, gets to play at home in a loud arena, and does so against a team unlikely to finish in the top half of the ACC. If there's a guaranteed win for anyone in this tournament, this is it.

Boston College at #15 Michigan - Another pairing of an unranked ACC school playing at a ranked Big Ten school. These three are absolute must-wins if the Big Ten is going to break through in the Challenge. Unfortunately, there is no reason to believe that Michigan isn't completely overrated (chant it with me "Just like football!" *clap* *clap* *clapclapclap*), and they'll be out of the top 25 by game time. It makes my blood boil to even consider rooting for Michigan, so I won't do it. I'll just point out that BC already has losses to Northern Iowa and St. Joe's on their docket, that the game is in Ann Arbor is a whore, and that TSUN puts a lot more talent on the floor, so you may freely root for BC knowing that they'll probably lose anyway. At least you won't feel dirty.

Virginia at Penn State - Who are Penn State? Who are Virginia? No one knows. Either team could be on the bubble in March, or they could meet for a rematch of this game in the Not Important Tournament. This game appears to kick off the Big Ten-ACC Challenge on Monday. I won't even pretend to know (or care) a thing about either team, which is unfortunate, since it's one of the home wins the conference needs. I'll just cross my fingers and hope for a white out, a rail, lots of lion roars and drunken Penn State fans throwing things at innocent visiting Virginians.

#16 Minnesota at Miami - Unbeaten Miami may currently be a little underrated, though their schedule has been so soft, it's hard to evaluate. Minnesota gets one less day of rest, since they play a pretty good Texas A&M tonight in the 76 Classic, which should be a good indicator of where they are. The Big Ten needs this to be one of several road wins.

#7 Duke at Wisconsin - Probably the worst mismatch of the Challenge. The B11 has a puncher's chance here, since it's in Madison, but that's about it.

#21 Illinois at #19 Clemson - This is one of the pivotal games, along with FSU at Ohio State. How Illinois plays after dropping two straight is key; they won't be ranked by game time, and they will either prove that the conference is as deep as everyone claimed, or bring that into question. Looking ahead to March, this is going to be a game that could either knock Illini off of the bubble or help get them into the tournament.

#22 Maryland at Indiana - Another really bad matchup for the conference, but at least it's going to be at a tough place to play. Just like Wisconsin, home court plus an excellent head coach gives them a puncher's chance at an upset.

Northwestern at NC State - 5-1 with a win over Notre Dame and a loss to Butler makes the Wildcats a bit of a pleasant surprise in a stacked conference. Their resume is better than Illinois right now, and they get one more day of rest than NC State. NCSU hasn't scored a lot of points in any of their wins, and their best win is over a decidedly mediocre Auburn by 2. This is a nice pairing between evenly matched teams. I'm not counting on it, since it's on the road, but if we get this or the Illinois game, it's going to be our Challenge.

Virginia Tech at Iowa - It's hard to believe anything good about Iowa at this point. 2-4 with a "marquee" win being over a MAC school. VT needed overtime to beat Delaware, but Iowa probably isn't that good. Just count this as a loss.

So, through my Big Ten colored glasses (what are they? Blue, like the networks uses?), I see two highly probable wins - Ohio State and Purdue, and two highly probably losses - Iowa and Indiana. Wisconsin is a probable loss, Michigan is a probable win. Of the five remaining games, I'd give Penn State and Minnesota a nod, along with Clemson, and call Michigan State's game a toss up along with Northwestern's. Splitting the toss ups, and going with the nods, that's a 6-5 win for the Big Ten.

Now let's just not get killed 8-3.
 
BrutusBobcat;1608134; said:
So, through my Big Ten colored glasses (what are they? Blue, like the networks uses?), I see two highly probable wins - Ohio State and Purdue, and two highly probably losses - Iowa and Indiana. Wisconsin is a probable loss, Michigan is a probable win. Of the five remaining games, I'd give Penn State and Minnesota a nod, along with Clemson, and call Michigan State's game a toss up along with Northwestern's. Splitting the toss ups, and going with the nods, that's a 6-5 win for the Big Ten.

Now let's just not get killed 8-3.
Very nice write up and I agree with the majority of your picks but would feel much more comfortable if Minnesota were playing at home. It's too bad that some of the Big 10 teams were playing at home that probably will not win are not playing away while MSU and Northwestern could play at home.
 
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LitlBuck;1608595; said:
Very nice write up and I agree with the majority of your picks but would feel much more comfortable if Minnesota were playing at home. It's too bad that some of the Big 10 teams were playing at home that probably will not win are not playing away while MSU and Northwestern could play at home.

Thanks. :) I felt a lot better about Minnesota before last night. Tough loss there. Overall, we get the benefit of better matchups, but lose out on home court to some degree. I think Ohio State catching FSU in Columbus is huge After watching the 'noles play last night, I'm convinced that we can get some pressure on them and some turnovers, and fire up the crowd. They may be big, but their front line looked quite stonehanded against Marquette.
 
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I like the Land of Lincoln here...Northwestern and Illinois can both pull off wins I think. Virginia and Penn State are both schizo teams...need it for the home win, I think it's about 50/50. Wake just lost to William and Mary...if Purdue can't beat them at home, they should not be ranked in the top 25...of the Big Ten. In fact they should have forfeit their conference season and enter some women's softball tournaments or something. I think Wisconsin and Indiana have virtually no chance, but I think Iowa might keep it closer than you think. Basically I think it comes down to whether Minnesota and Michigan can take care of business...if they do, I think we can sneak 2 from Penn State, Michigan State, Iowa, and Illinois...which should be enough to snag a 6-5 win.
 
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PSU @ UVA - Virginia wins. PSU D is weak and they're young & on the road - not a good combo, so I don't think they'll win even though they're playing a BAD Virginia team.

WF @ PU - PU wins no doubt

MSU @ UNC - why is it that it seems their game vs. OSU is by far UNC's best performance? Maybe it was just a really bad performance by OSU rather than a sign that UNC is great, but maybe that was the only game UNC was both really up for and well-prepared for. OSU had turnover and shooting problems vs. UNC, and MSU had similar problems against UNC last year, so I've gotta go with the home team here, UNC.

NU @ NC State - NU better than expected sans Coble, NC State just as bad as expected. Gotta pick NU.

MD @ IU - this game is a little too close for me to call. IU is better than people think, and MD is worse, and the game is at IU which will be tough for MD. I'll go with the ACC here, but I wouldn't be surprised to see IU win.

VT @ Iowa - Iowa is awful, can't pick them against a team with any real talent. VT wins.

Ill @ Clemson - have to pick Clemson since IL lost to lesser teams like Utah and Bradley on neutral courts.

Duke @ UW - Duke is not great, but they're better than UW. Gotta pick Duke since they've never lost in the Challenge and it doesn't seem like this game should change that.

FSU @ OSU - gotta pick the Bucks to win here. The better team & playing at home.

BC @ UM - BC is not good, not on the level of even Bama or Marquette and the game is at UM. UM wins.

MN @ Miami - Canes D is not good (anyone remember how they let Diebler and Turner beat them by themselves in one half?), Gophs D is good. MN wins.

So I have ACC 6-5 (UVA, UNC, VT, MD, Duke, Clemson win for ACC; OSU, UM, MN, NU and PU win for B10). I think the NC-MSU and MD-IU games are the swing games.
 
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Battle ties his career-high with 29 points. Clutch free throws. 64-59, 27.2 sec.

Virginia hits 2 FTs. 61-64, 23.3 seconds as PoSU steps up to the line. Good. Good.

Air ball 3 for the Cavs. This one is about over. Except that Battle has missed 3 straight FTs. Whoops. Finally makes one.

Damn, Cavs hit a 3. 67-66, 5.3 seconds. Battle for 2 FTs.
 
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