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BCS Title Contenders (Can tOSU get there?)

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Games that tOSU still needs teams to lose: 14
(With BYU losing the way they did, and the Bucks showing some signs of dominance, Utah won't have the schedule to stay above the Bucks)

Alabama (x2)
Texas (x2)
Texas Tech (x2)
Oklahoma State (x2)
Florida
LSU
Georgia
Oklahoma
USC
Penn State

Games in our control: 1

Penn State

Magic Number as of this moment: 13

Match-ups this week between two teams that both need to lose: 2

Oklahoma State at Texas
Georgia at LSU

Magic Number maximum going into next week: 11

Match-ups the following week that will feature two teams that OSU will still definitely need to lose: 1

Texas at Texas Tech

Magic Number maximum going into Week 11: 10


OK... There's a brief breakdown of where we're at going into this week's action.

Now, the same breakdown I gave last week.

Anyways, correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the current magic number by the end of the season stands at a maximum of 10.

Here's why:

At this very moment, the magic number sits at 13.

However, that's to end up at #1. We can live with 1 of those losses not coming through and finish at number 2 and in all likelihood make the title game.

Therefore, in reality, the magic number actually sits at 12 at this very moment.

Examining the rest of the schedule, I realized I could pick out match-ups and knock one game off of the magic number for each pick, as long as I didn't pick a team more times than tOSU needed them to lose (2 for Texas, Ok. State, Texas Tech, and Alabama. 1 for everyone else.)

You can pick any match-ups, as long as you follow the rule stated above. Therefore, I picked these matchups:

Oklahoma State at Texas
Texas at Texas Tech
Florida-Georgia
Alabama at LSU
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech

These five match-ups knock the magic number down to 7.

7 games... now that is doable.

Starting from 33 three weeks ago, things are looking pretty good.

Now let's kick some Nittany Lion ass.

:oh:
 
Upvote 0
mross34;1299442; said:
Games that tOSU still needs teams to lose: 14
(With BYU losing the way they did, and the Bucks showing some signs of dominance, Utah won't have the schedule to stay above the Bucks)

Alabama (x2)
Texas (x2)
Texas Tech (x2)
Oklahoma State (x2)
Florida
LSU
Georgia
Oklahoma
USC
Penn State

Games in our control: 1

Penn State

Magic Number as of this moment: 13

Match-ups this week between two teams that both need to lose: 2

Oklahoma State at Texas
Georgia at LSU

Magic Number maximum going into next week: 11

Match-ups the following week that will feature two teams that OSU will still definitely need to lose: 1

Texas at Texas Tech

Magic Number maximum going into Week 11: 10


OK... There's a brief breakdown of where we're at going into this week's action.

Now, the same breakdown I gave last week.

Anyways, correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the current magic number by the end of the season stands at a maximum of 10.

Here's why:

At this very moment, the magic number sits at 13.

However, that's to end up at #1. We can live with 1 of those losses not coming through and finish at number 2 and in all likelihood make the title game.

Therefore, in reality, the magic number actually sits at 12 at this very moment.

Examining the rest of the schedule, I realized I could pick out match-ups and knock one game off of the magic number for each pick, as long as I didn't pick a team more times than tOSU needed them to lose (2 for Texas, Ok. State, Texas Tech, and Alabama. 1 for everyone else.)

You can pick any match-ups, as long as you follow the rule stated above. Therefore, I picked these matchups:

Oklahoma State at Texas
Texas at Texas Tech
Florida-Georgia
Alabama at LSU
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech

These five match-ups knock the magic number down to 7.

7 games... now that is doable.

Starting from 33 three weeks ago, things are looking pretty good.

Now let's kick some Nittany Lion ass.

:oh:
Click to expand...

Nice breakdown.

:io:

Frankly, I'm quite happy that the likelyhood of all this happening is low. I'd rather just go about our business, hopefully win out and win the Rose Bowl. Yeah..yeah, I know I'll get bashed for that...
 
Upvote 0
matcar;1299453; said:
Nice breakdown.

:io:

Frankly, I'm quite happy that the likelyhood of all this happening is low. I'd rather just go about our business, hopefully win out and win the Rose Bowl. Yeah..yeah, I know I'll get bashed for that...
Click to expand...
What are you crazy man:huh::lol: We should go to the national title game every year and also the Final Four and, for JO, the Frozen Four and win everything. You are just stupid crazy:rofl:

By the way, let's do it!
 
Upvote 0
mross34;1299442; said:
Games that tOSU still needs teams to lose: 14
(With BYU losing the way they did, and the Bucks showing some signs of dominance, Utah won't have the schedule to stay above the Bucks)

Alabama (x2)
Texas (x2)
Texas Tech (x2)
Oklahoma State (x2)
Florida
LSU
Georgia
Oklahoma
USC
Penn State

Games in our control: 1
Click to expand...


we may only need one loss from each of these in red with a win for us against psu do to the polls and conf breakdowns. neither ok st or tex tech would make the b12 title game over texas with one loss outside of one of them beating texas even if that happened then texas wouldnt be in and could possibly fall below us due to the loss being either on the same week as our game against psu or the week after(then ok st plays tt the next week). Plus Okla is pretty much 2 games back from texas due to the tiebreaker. It also feels like the pollsters are waiting for Alabama to blow it and if LSU beats them they arent in the sec champ game over lsu without lsu losing another game. Just saying 3-4 less from the magic number. And poll wise we do not need to jump usc to jump them in the bcs standings.
 
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Also just looking at the schedule per conferences and the timetable. There are a couple of situations that make the road alot easier on us. This is according to the teams presented above. And with the assumption that if we were one spot behind USC that the BCS standings would give us the nod due to the comps(and the unsaid travel effect). And that we only need to hit num 2.


Here is how it could happen and how we may want to root barring unforseen upsets.

Texas win out(one spot taken, and ok st and tt have a loss dropping them below us not in big 12 title)could throw a tex loss in b12 title to Kan or Mizz for the fun of it.

USC done(from description above)

Ok St & TTU-play each other and the loser beats OKLA(all out of b12 title)

LSU win out until SEC champ game(beats Georg. and Ala. securing spot in SEC Champ)

Georg over Fla(2 losses for Fla both in sec, gives georg nod for sec title game spot)

Georg over LSU in SEC title(rematch) giving SEC winner 2 losses.

LEAVING:in red not a true title game threat if occurs
0-1 loss
Texas
USC
OH ST
ALA
(maybe)Winner of TT/OKST/OKLA games
PSU(with OSU loss(below us))
UTAH/TCU/BYU(with win out)
MINN(if win out)
BC/GT/FSU(with win out(would give FLA 3 losses if FSU))
PITT/UC/SoFLA(with win out)
TULSA(with win out/1 loss)
BALL ST(with win out/1 loss)
Boise ST(with win out/1 loss)


2 loss teams:
Georg(SEC Winner)
Florida
LSU(SEC loser)
Missouri/KAN(if wins out)
(OKST/TTU/OKLA)
BYU(loss to UTAH or vice versa)
few others with no need to mention

just a more to think about
 
Upvote 0
IronBuckI;1300365; said:
Sure you joke about BYE now, but BYE always plays us tough. Even though we've never lost to BYE. Jim Tressel is 1-4 the week after playing BYE.
Click to expand...
BYE has never faced Beanie Wells or Terrelle Pryor.

The opponent after BYE had better FEAR Beanie.
 
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billmac91;1301179; said:
what seems to be the consensus on Georgia v LSU?

Who do we want to win?
Click to expand...

This is YOU, not me. :biggrin:

I think you want UGA to win. LSU will then base their season on beating Saban/Bama. That leaves the one loss Cocktail Party show down with the Poodles a win-win for you, as any loss is good for you. With luck, the higher ranked team will lose to the lower ranked team in Atlanta.
 
Upvote 0
billmac91;1301179; said:
what seems to be the consensus on Georgia v LSU?

Who do we want to win?
Click to expand...


I'm thinking LSU, that would get GA outta the way(with 2 L's) and we are currently ranked ahead of LSU, which would not change with the thrashing we are about to put on state penn. Someone correct me it I'm wrong.
 
Upvote 0
Gatorubet;1301196; said:
This is YOU, not me. :biggrin:

I think you want UGA to win. LSU will then base their season on beating Saban/Bama. That leaves the one loss Cocktail Party show down with the Poodles a win-win for you, as any loss is good for you. With luck, the higher ranked team will lose to the lower ranked team in Atlanta.
Click to expand...

If I send you $20 Gator, will you send me my green cloth and make sure it all happens?
 
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billmac91;1301179; said:
what seems to be the consensus on Georgia v LSU?

Who do we want to win?
Click to expand...


One of the easier or most forseeable ways a 2 loss team comes out of the sec champ game is provided in my previous post.

lsu over georg and alabama(ala & lsu one loss, lsu gets the division nod)
georgia over florida(2 losses for both, georg gets the division nod)
gerg over lsu in sec title(2 losses for both and only 1 loss team was not in sec title)
 
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