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"Official" BP gambling thread.

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Back at home watching football this weekend so I can play a little.

Put a little on the Browns -4 tonight and a little on the Under. (looks like I should have put the mortgage on the under with these awful looking QBs)

Also played a little on the college game. Illinois -17.5 at home.

Easing back in and started with BetRivers this week. @ORD_Buckeye is that your go-to over in Illinois? I'm out in AZ with some other options but MGM has terrible parlay rules so I'm trying this one out which seems to have better Live options.
 
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LMAO I'm seriously going to have to keep a list of the bad beats at this point. Had the Under on a 39pt push until Denzel Ward jumps on a free TD at the buzzer. Mercy, universe, mercy now please. LOL Geesh.

2 out of 3 aint bad huh Meat? On to the next.

EDIT: NM, they already hit 40 on me the fg before so not as much of a bad beat. Feels better somehow
 
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If I could get the FanDuel line of -9 right now for Syracuse I'd jump all over it. I am going to study up on this one because my gut is telling me The Orangemen handle UVA. I'll check back in but it would be nice to hit a decent grip before a big Saturday coming up.
 
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Bestbuck36 said:
Back at home watching football this weekend so I can play a little.

Put a little on the Browns -4 tonight and a little on the Under. (looks like I should have put the mortgage on the under with these awful looking QBs)

Also played a little on the college game. Illinois -17.5 at home.

Easing back in and started with BetRivers this week. @ORD_Buckeye is that your go-to over in Illinois? I'm out in AZ with some other options but MGM has terrible parlay rules so I'm trying this one out which seems to have better Live options.
Click to expand...

Went in on Browns -4.5, WVU -2.5 and CCU-2.5. Worked out well.

I mentioned about the Under in the Browns thread itself, I see you fell victim to that. Sorry buddy, bad beats all around.
I watched some of UVA vs Old Dominion this morning and UVA's Oline looks like a mess. Their defensive front doesn't appear to be much better when they're not getting TFL's. A consistent rushing attack should expose them and a sound defense should force them to do something they don't like - be patient. I might buy the alternate line and go in on 'Cuse at -9.5
 
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Buckeneye said:
Went in on Browns -4.5, WVU -2.5 and CCU-2.5. Worked out well.

I mentioned about the Under in the Browns thread itself, I see you fell victim to that. Sorry buddy, bad beats all around.
I watched some of UVA vs Old Dominion this morning and UVA's Oline looks like a mess. Their defensive front doesn't appear to be much better when they're not getting TFL's. A consistent rushing attack should expose them and a sound defense should force them to do something they don't like - be patient. I might buy the alternate line and go in on 'Cuse at -9.5
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I'm still trying to figure out wth happened to the Orangemen last night.
Got a late start today but Wazzou trying to do me a favor, let's see if it stands. Trying not to just go all in on the Buckeyes in the blackout tonight but Mertz does not scare me in the least.

Wazzou bet.jpg
 
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Bestbuck36 said:
I'm still trying to figure out wth happened to the Orangemen last night.
Got a late start today but Wazzou trying to do me a favor, let's see if it stands. Trying not to just go all in on the Buckeyes in the blackout tonight but Mertz does not scare me in the least.
Click to expand...


Turnovers. Cuse fell apart with turnovers. No business with that not being a 2 score win. Early games have done well by me.

Took u58.5 for the Bucks tonight.
 
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Bestbuck36 said:
If Tua plays In getting Dolphins+3.5 and also ML +165. If not I'll probably stay away.
also already jumped on Ohio State -9.5 first quarter, BIG. Keep an eye out for the changes
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Took Cincy -2.5 with Tua beaten up and the Bengals going back to passing more on early downs. Why they can't get that running game to be efficient is beyond my current knowledge of their team, though I'm sure there are reasons.

Reader being out sucks for my bet, but is MIA committed enough to the interior running game to punish CIN for it? We'll see.

Saw tOSU -9.5 1st qtr. Avoiding the BYU game tonight unless the 1H line drops to -13.5
 
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Took the Rams tonight +1.5, I think they are due vs SF and Jimmy G seems off.

Also, the Buckeye line came out at -24.5 so I already hit that one big. I don't usually play big but I can't see any way for Sparty to keep the game that close.
 
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Been a minute, but I've started playing Expected Levels of Regression (or Median)

I.E. the manic highs and lows a team shows, there's a statistical expectation that they level off. So for example.

- Took Cincy to cover vs CAR, because PJ Walker was bound to come crashing back to earth and they were playing above their heads.
- Took NE to cover vs INDY, because there was a certain expectation the Colts would be better with a rookie QB. But it's still against New England.

Really finding some value in these sorts buy low, sell high type scenarios.

Also went in on the CHI - MIA O45.5.


Hoping, if anybody is left, your wagers are finding you some profit navigating a weird season.
 
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Before I close out my account (MyBookie) and move onto a book that is legal in Ohio (Jan 1st, I believe?) I decided to take the $20 free play and do something really stupid, against my better judgement, and run a 5 leg parlay.

UConn v Army O45
Texas - 9 vs Kansas
UTSA -13.5 v Rice
Illinois + 17 vs scUM
Maryland +28 vs tOSU

If I read correctly, Bucks have covered twice in the last 13 years the week before The Game. And scUM is about the same, they never play well the week before.

I'm knocking on the door of my 1st ever 5 team parlay win. A few bucks going BP's way if this cashes.
 
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