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Will Boeckman be Benched?

Zurp;1161978; said:
At first I thought, "Easy money - $1 on that he'll be benched, and the remaining $2078 on that he won't. I'll win either $10,000 or $4156." Unfortunately, only one bet can be made.

Curse whoever spoiled my loop-hole!

I am more pissed cuz I didn't notice that one bet can be made thing too. Cuz I was planning on putting a million or so down closer to the deadline. I just put a little down now just in case I forgot... dang it!
 
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zincfinger;1162124; said:
Yeah, I think it's safe to say that when DBB applies to Vegas for that bookie position, he should probably leave this one off his resume.

jwinslow;1162113; said:
If there's any karma, it's rooting against DBB's bookmaking decisions. That's what I'm trying to exploit :biggrin:

My vote has nothing to do with Todd's play, would've done the same with any player save maybe 2 or 3.

:lol:

Yeah... didn't exactly consult the actuarial tables on this one. This bet was as much my way of making a point as anything else. Inadvertently I guess I also made a point about what v$ is worth [I was going to post a picture here, but I think you get the point (and I don't want to ruin your lunch)]

EDIT:

As for comparing this to book-making in vegas: To me, the out-of-whack stat is the 1:1 for Todd starting for the whole regular season. With the time-value of real money, you'd make this just slightly better than the inverse of the odds that he'd be benched (and then crank it down a notch to provide a profit). With the time-value of v$, these odds are about right.
 
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DaddyBigBucks;1162161; said:
...Inadvertently I guess I also made a point about what v$ is worth [I was going to post a picture here, but I think you get the point (and I don't want to ruin your lunch)]

Buckattore, our 2008 Spring Drive heavy, said to tell you that he's comin' to pay you a pesonal visit to "show you the light", so to speak... :wink:
 
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shetuck;1162162; said:
Buckattore, our 2008 Spring Drive heavy, said to tell you that he's comin' to pay you a pesonal visit to "show you the light", so to speak... :wink:

To answer your point made completely in jest with a serious point of my own: I hope to make a contribution to the site before long. But I've spent the last 4 years spending all of the money I will ever make trying to recover my son from autism. The good news: He is recovered and is testing at age-level across the board. The bad news: I'm so deep in debt I can't see the sky (metaphorically speaking).

When my v$ reflects having made a contribution, I will probably take v$ more seriously.

BTW: Yeah, I think TB will start every game. Or did the odds I put on this bet give me away?
 
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WAY too many loopholes in this bet. Do you consider the starting QB to be the guy who directly takes the first snap from center? Consider this. Opening game, Tressel sends Todd and Terrell onto the field. The team huddles up and Todd gets down behind center with Terrell lined up as the fullback. They then shift, Todd moves to flanker and Terrell lines up at QB, takes the snap and hands off to Wells. Does that make TP the starting QB? In my book, I say it does.
 
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WoodyWorshiper;1162790; said:
WAY too many loopholes in this bet. Do you consider the starting QB to be the guy who directly takes the first snap from center? Consider this. Opening game, Tressel sends Todd and Terrell onto the field. The team huddles up and Todd gets down behind center with Terrell lined up as the fullback. They then shift, Todd moves to flanker and Terrell lines up at QB, takes the snap and hands off to Wells. Does that make TP the starting QB? In my book, I say it does.
Not really. Tebow did that regularly, doing so on the first play would not have unseated Leak as the clearcut starter at QB
 
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IronBuckI;1162112; said:
Is a DUI considered an injury/sickness? If not then I'll have to bet on him being benched. You see. I know almost nothing about Todd Boeckman the man, but I do know that he is from Mercer County. As old as Todd is, and the average age of a Mercer County residents first DUI arrest, I feel that I would be playing very good odds that he won't make it another year without running into the laws of probability. :tongue2:

You could make a strong case for it.

http://www.buckeyeplanet.com/forum/buckeye-football/11003-oklahoma-dt-dusty-dvoracek.html
 
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WoodyWorshiper;1162790; said:
WAY too many loopholes in this bet. Do you consider the starting QB to be the guy who directly takes the first snap from center? Consider this. Opening game, Tressel sends Todd and Terrell onto the field. The team huddles up and Todd gets down behind center with Terrell lined up as the fullback. They then shift, Todd moves to flanker and Terrell lines up at QB, takes the snap and hands off to Wells. Does that make TP the starting QB? In my book, I say it does.

I will not settle the bet in favor of the high-rollers because someone argues that there was a loop-hole. I would have spent a lot more time composing the first post if there were real money involved. But this is v$, so as long as I'm the one who settles the bet; I'm the one who has to be convinced that he was benched because Jim Tressel thought someone else was a better choice.

If anyone bet based on an expectation of arguing a loop-hole later, say good-bye to your v$. Based on the fact that people are betting relatively small fractions of their holdings, I don't really believe that anyone made that kind of bet.
 
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DaddyBigBucks;1162905; said:
I will not settle the bet in favor of the high-rollers because someone argues that there was a loop-hole. I would have spent a lot more time composing the first post if there were real money involved. But this is v$, so as long as I'm the one who settles the bet; I'm the one who has to be convinced that he was benched because Jim Tressel thought someone else was a better choice.

If anyone bet based on an expectation of arguing a loop-hole later, say good-bye to your v$. Based on the fact that people are betting relatively small fractions of their holdings, I don't really believe that anyone made that kind of bet.


I love the odds on him being benched but more than likely he won't. So come August I'll go against the grain here with a bet on TB playing the entire year.
 
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WoodyWorshiper;1162790; said:
WAY too many loopholes in this bet. Do you consider the starting QB to be the guy who directly takes the first snap from center? Consider this. Opening game, Tressel sends Todd and Terrell onto the field. The team huddles up and Todd gets down behind center with Terrell lined up as the fullback. They then shift, Todd moves to flanker and Terrell lines up at QB, takes the snap and hands off to Wells. Does that make TP the starting QB? In my book, I say it does.

I think JT may not waste such a contraption on Youngstown state :wink2: However, I see your point. Honestly though, the first play is either a hand off to Beanie, or a play action going deep. Do I smell another VBET? :biggrin: Anyways, I have no idea but I'm just going to put out a bit on Todd getting benched. I, like most others, don't see him not starting every game but if Todd can't get the last 3 games of last year out of his system, there is going to be some rich BP'ers (BP'ites, BP'ans?). Always take those odds.
 
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