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BCS Bashing/SEC Shutout (Merged)

In a season filled with perfection, Auburn picked wrong time to go 12-0
Posted: Sunday December 5, 2004 12:57AM; Updated: Sunday December 5, 2004 2:30AM

ATLANTA -- Auburn fans waited 15 years to celebrate an SEC championship. If only it had come a year sooner -- or a year later, or any other year for that matter -- they'd probably have even more to celebrate come Sunday evening.

"It will probably never happen again," Tigers coach Tommy Tuberville said of the now-inevitable reality that an undefeated SEC team will be left out of the national title game. "It will be my luck."

Never before has a championship-clinching victory like Auburn's 38-28 SEC title win over Tennessee on Saturday been so bittersweet. Never has an undefeated record in a major conference meant so little. And the most frustrating part for the Tigers is there really isn't anything they could have done differently -- other than choose a different year than the first one in which the top two teams in the preseason, USC and Oklahoma, didn't lose either.

"This year is an awkward year," said Tigers receiver Ben Obamanu, "for three teams to go undefeated like they did."

Auburn players had heard all week that they needed to do more than just win the football game Saturday, that they needed to do something dramatic, that they needed to "make a statement." And they started out doing just that, with quarterback Jason Campbell, on the first play of what would become a career night, completing a 53-yard pass to receiver Courtney Taylor, and Auburn going up 7-0 just 1:36 into the contest. By halftime, the Tigers had outgained the Vols by a staggering margin of 303 yards to 39.

A botched punt snap and a Campbell interception in the end zone just before halftime, however, left them with an uninspiring 21-7 lead at the break. Not exactly the kind of "wow" factor needed to win over the pollsters.

What sliver of hope Auburn still held in the national title picture went out the window for good a little before 9 p.m. EST Saturday, when Tennessee running back Gerald Riggs raced 80 yards untouched to the Georgia Dome end zone to tie the score at 21-21. At the very same moment that a seemingly overmatched Tennessee team was fighting back against the Tigers, Oklahoma was going up 21-0 on a hapless Colorado team en route to a thoroughly dominating 42-3 victory. Forget the Orange Bowl -- Auburn was going to have to work just to reach the Sugar.

In the thrilling second half that followed, Campbell, who would finish with a staggering 431 yards of offense, including 27-of-35 passing, hit wide-open Devin Aromashodu over the top for a 53-yard touchdown to reclaim the lead. The Tigers would tack on another field goal after that. Not to be outdone, though, Riggs, who would finish with a career-high 182 yards on just 11 carries, ripped off another dazzling run of 54 yards, then scored from 9 yards out to cut the deficit to 31-28.

Not until Campbell's 43-yard touchdown to Obamanu with 6:56 remaining was Auburn's first SEC championship since 1989 in the bag. And it was far too close a victory when the team above them, Oklahoma, was hoding its opponent to 43 yards offense and two first downs the entire game. Gotta love the BCS.

The Tigers lingered on the field long afterward, soaking up the atmosphere. Campbell waved the Auburn flag and ran along the front row of the stands high-fiving spectators. Tuberville sported a smile from ear to ear.

Unfortunately, the Tigers' celebration will probably last less than 24 hours. Sometime Sunday afternoon, BCS officials will phone the folks at Auburn with the news they've been dreading: Their team has become the first unbeaten major-conference team in the BCS era to be left out of the title game. But not before some furious, last-second lobbying.

"The difference in our conference and the other conferences is defense -- every team in our league has defensive players," said Tuberville. "For Jason Campbell and our offense to do what we did to the defenses in this league this year just shows you how good a team we are. We're a well-balanced team that hasn't taken a week off all year."

"The hostile atmospheres when you play on the road in this league are incomparable," said SEC commissioner Mike Slive. "If you can go through that [undefeated] and win this game, you deserve to be in the national championship game."

"Oklahoma, they didn't play anybody but Texas," said safety Junior Rosegreen, sporting an Orange Bowl patch on a chain around his neck. "If Arkansas is the sixth-best team in the SEC, and they almost beat Texas, that shows you how good the SEC is."

Valid points, all of them. But they will fall on deaf ears.

You can argue until the end of time about USC's 21-game winning streak, Oklahoma's big road wins, Auburn's weak non-conference schedule. One reason trumps all others why the Trojans and Sooners will meet Jan. 4 as No. 1 and No. 2: Because they started there.

Perhaps that's why, despite relentless prodding from reporters afterward, Tigers players found it hard to dwell too much on the negative. They choose to focus instead on what they did accomplish this season, not only winning an SEC championship but becoming the first team in school history to win 12 games. They seem to be at peace with the fact their undesirable BCS fate is something entirely out of their control, not to mention frustratingly flukish.

"If we get shut out of the national championship," said Campbell, "of course there will be hurt feelings. But you can't take away what we accomplished this year."

"If they don't vote us in," said cornerback Carlos Rogers, "we'll be ready to play whoever."

Pity whoever that is. Here's guessing by the time the Sugar Bowl rolls around, after the high of Saturday night's victory has long since worn off and after they've endured three weeks of buildup for USC-Oklahoma, those hurt feelings will have transformed into some pretty serious anger.

Stewart Mandel covers college sports for SI.com.
 
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Salt in Auburn's Wounds

MegaWoody:
Add to the list of Auburn's accomplishments the following.

Auburn was the only team yesterday to beat a ranked opponent.
USC narrowly gets by an unranked UCLA squad (yep its a rivalry, but this is meant to be the #1 team in the country).
Oklahoma takes a significantly weaker Buffs squad to the woodshed in a laugher.
Whatever SOS yardstick is being used it isn't a big enough part of the overall ranking system.
 
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#3) In the old BCS system, SOS was calculated as it's own separate component, which is what screwed USC last year. The new system is made better by not including SOS as a separate component. In fact, the removal of these old methods is the only thing that makes it this close this year. Under the old system, Oklahoma would benefit from the separate SOS component AND the quality win component for beating Texas (#5), where Auburn would be screwed with the compounded SOS and having the lowest ranked quality win - Georgia (#7). USC would be even further ahead, having beaten Cal (#4).
Dryden - I may or may not agre with your conclusion. However, that paragraph succinctly states the crux of the argument in favor of the current BCS formula.
The way I look at it the current system assumes that SOS is also incorporated into the opinion polls, in addition to being a factor from the computer rankings.
I believe that assumption in the BCS formula is highly suspect, that SOS has been devalued and that the present system is flawed.

Compared to BCS in prior years its like saying "plus ca change, plus ne change pas."
 
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SoS was reduced in value this year because too many thought it was too big a part of the equation. This year, it seems, it would help Auburn more than it would have hurt anyone last year.

Of course the real culprit here is the preseason polls. At the beggining of the year, USC was dubbed the #1 team in the land, and nothing but a loss would remove them from that perch. Oklahoma was just much declared their opponent in the title game and nothing but a loss would derail that. So if Ohio State, Miami, or FSU had gone undefeated this year, they would be in the same boat as Auburn is right now. A victim of the media declaring the dream matchup for this year in July and seeing to it stays that way.
 
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Yeah, if it happened to tOSU I would be pretty pissed, but the top 10 thing is, at the time of the game. Here's the schedule.

<TABLE class=yspwhitebg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD noWrap>Sat, Sep 4</TD><TD>Louisiana-Monroe</TD><TD>W 31-0</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Sep 11</TD><TD>at Mississippi State</TD><TD>W 43-14</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Sep 18</TD><TD>(13) LSU</TD><TD>W 10-9</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Sep 25</TD><TD>Citadel</TD><TD>W 33-3</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 2</TD><TD>at (15) Tennessee</TD><TD>W 34-10</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 9</TD><TD>Louisiana Tech</TD><TD>W 52-7</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 16</TD><TD>Arkansas</TD><TD>W 38-20</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 23</TD><TD>Kentucky</TD><TD>W 42-10</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 30</TD><TD>at Mississippi</TD><TD>W 35-14</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Nov 13</TD><TD>(8) Georgia</TD><TD>W 24-6</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Nov 20</TD><TD>at Alabama</TD><TD>W 21-13</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18> </TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Dec 4</TD><TD>at (15) Tennessee</TD><TD>W 38-28</TD><TD noWrap>--



</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Georgia, Tennessee, and LSU are the only quality teams in there. Georgia is the only team that was remotely consistant this year, or still in the top 10. OU and USC have both defeated teams that have only one loss, otherwise we'd be talking about a Texas-Cal Orange Bowl. Fact is. Auburn didn't even play that hard of an SEC schedule. Where's Florida? South Carolina? Vand...never mind.
 
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IronBuckI said:
Yeah, if it happened to tOSU I would be pretty pissed, but the top 10 thing is, at the time of the game. Here's the schedule.

<TABLE class=yspwhitebg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD noWrap>Sat, Sep 4</TD><TD>Louisiana-Monroe</TD><TD>W 31-0</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Sep 11</TD><TD>at Mississippi State</TD><TD>W 43-14</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Sep 18</TD><TD>(13) LSU</TD><TD>W 10-9</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Sep 25</TD><TD>Citadel</TD><TD>W 33-3</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 2</TD><TD>at (15) Tennessee</TD><TD>W 34-10</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 9</TD><TD>Louisiana Tech</TD><TD>W 52-7</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 16</TD><TD>Arkansas</TD><TD>W 38-20</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 23</TD><TD>Kentucky</TD><TD>W 42-10</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Oct 30</TD><TD>at Mississippi</TD><TD>W 35-14</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Nov 13</TD><TD>(8) Georgia</TD><TD>W 24-6</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Nov 20</TD><TD>at Alabama</TD><TD>W 21-13</TD><TD noWrap>--</TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 vAlign=top><TD height=18></TD><TD noWrap>Sat, Dec 4</TD><TD>at (15) Tennessee</TD><TD>W 38-28</TD><TD noWrap>--







</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Georgia, Tennessee, and LSU are the only quality teams in there. Georgia is the only team that was remotely consistant this year, or still in the top 10. OU and USC have both defeated teams that have only one loss, otherwise we'd be talking about a Texas-Cal Orange Bowl. Fact is. Auburn didn't even play that hard of an SEC schedule. Where's Florida? South Carolina? Vand...never mind.
Well looks like you've got a mix of ad hoc and post hoc going on there Ironton. Ironton - the top 10 thing is at the time of the game, agreed. From my reading at the time those key games were played: In AP Polls -- LSU was #5, Tennessee was #10 and Georgia was #8. (And that is how I always thought this was meant to be done).
In ESPN/USA Georgia was #5, Tennessee #8 and LSU was #4.
Or did you mean the rankings of these teams NOW reflecting te entire season? (And if so doesn't that devalue Auburn's wins over these opponents?)
 
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I really don't like the idea of a playoff at all. Maybe a +1 game under certain circumstances like the ones presented the past two years would be good but a full-fledged playoff would somewhat diminish the tradition and passion of college football IMO. I love college football's tradition with bowls and I think a playoff would ruin it. What's great about college football is that every game is huge, every game is a playoff, and that's what makes it so exciting(and so much better than the NFL).
 
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I don't know if anyone brought this up, but even if we had gone undefeated we wouldn't be playing for the NC this year (probably).

Another reason not to feel so bad this year (of course I'm always looking at things from a Buckeye-centric viewpoint).
 
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Good point about Ohio State. If we had gone undefeated, we would not be in the Orange Bowl either. I know the BCS supporters will say "but we didn't go undefeated, so who cares." But, the point is that the system didn't know we or Michigan would lose a game. It only hopes. A system that has to hope for the best doesn't work.


And if my school played in the SEC, I'ld play a weak out of conference schedule too. With the championship game, that conference is murderer's row.

What a shame that 3 teams in DIA football have no shot at the national title - and never did. Might as well form another division.

The old bowl system sucked. The new one sucks. Tradition is only good and fun and a decent rationale when it outweighs the consequences. The reason a playoff idea is so popular is because that is the only way you can go to all the schools in the country and say "everyone has a chance." I think that, in my opinion, outweighs the tradition of the bowl system.
 
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I don't know how they figure these strength of schedules out, I should research it. But I keep a spreadsheet with my own formula for power rankings:

Its a 3x formula where your record, your opponents you've beat record (Div 1AA is thrown out), and your opponents you've lost to record are all weighted equally. Mine has Auburn #1 and Oklahoma #2 based on how they've performed against their schedule. I'm trying to come up with the most accurate way to fix this, but the problem is the rankings can change drastically in a week. Maybe that isn't so bad, we wouldn't have had to watch ourselves drift off the radar.

Worthy of mention, mine also has Boise State above Utah.
 
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methomps said:
If Cal makes the BCS, SC will have beaten 2 BCS teams. Here are the computer rankings of each of our opponents:

SOS.bmp


VaTech will go up a ot after beating Miami. Cal will go up very slightly if they win. UCLA, Colorado, and Tennessee will drop with a loss.




Cal has a better SOS than Tennessee. Their SOS is top 30.
With that being said, do you believe that a win over Cal,notre dame,astate is more impressive then TWO wins over Tennessee, georgia,Lsu and Alabama? Totally an opinion but I highly doubt USC would run the table in the Sec...Call me crazy but playing tough conference rivalry games throughout your schedule and winning is a little bit more impressive then playing random teams. Usually the better team wins non conference games. Whereas, in a rivalry anything can happen.

Usc beat Va tech when they weren't supposed to be that good. Auburn has beat teams that were good at the time they played them. Oklahoma could have beaten everyone by 40 this year and just because USC was and is number one they were going to be if they won by one or one hundred. I think not having a Pac 10 championship has to hurt you somewhere. It shouldn't benefit you by not having to play a good team,which I feel a lot of times is USC's strong point.

Without pollsters doing everything and just watching the season and basing it on the schedule and performance. You have to go Oklahoma, Auburn,Usc. People can make a case for Auburn and I might bite on it,but not with Usc. It's like miami playing in the big east. They dominate they win every year. With a weak schedule. They move to the Acc and look what happens.
 
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MegaWoody said:
Walk a mile in Auburn's moccasins today. They have gone undefeated, won the SEC Championship and defeated more top ten teams than anybody this year, yet are closed out of the NCAA National Championship game. Whoah Nellie!
Actually, USC has beaten the most top ten teams (2).

Pete Carroll does not vote himself because he does not have a vote, period. He declined the opportunity to vote. Smart move, imo.
 
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slickman said:
I don't know if anyone brought this up, but even if we had gone undefeated we wouldn't be playing for the NC this year (probably).

Another reason not to feel so bad this year (of course I'm always looking at things from a Buckeye-centric viewpoint).
You're right, and yes, it had been brought up.
 
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powerlifter said:
With that being said, do you believe that a win over Cal,notre dame,astate is more impressive then TWO wins over Tennessee, georgia,Lsu and Alabama?
No, of course I don't. But you didn't even pick USC's best wins.

Totally an opinion but I highly doubt USC would run the table in the Sec...Call me crazy but playing tough conference rivalry games throughout your schedule and winning is a little bit more impressive then playing random teams. Usually the better team wins non conference games. Whereas, in a rivalry anything can happen.
But what about when the rankings of those rivals are inflated because they feast on nobodies? The SEC this year played more D1-AA games than they played Non-conference D1-A road games. That allows the majority of the teams to go 2-1 or 3-0 without really playing anybody.

Look at Auburn's non-conference last year. They had USC and GaTech, and lost both games. Do you think it is any coincidence that they loaded up on crap teams this year? Better teams in the SEC win non-conference because they play shit teams. But nobody remembers that later in the year. All they see is a good record.

Usc beat Va tech when they weren't supposed to be that good. Auburn has beat teams that were good at the time they played them.
Don't confuse preseason rankings with accurate measures of how good a team was at the time. VaTech not being rated in the preseason means they were severely underrated. LSU was at no time playing like the #3 team in the country. They were ranked that high based off last year. Do you really think Missouri at any time played like a top 15 team?



Oklahoma could have beaten everyone by 40 this year and just because USC was and is number one they were going to be if they won by one or one hundred. I think not having a Pac 10 championship has to hurt you somewhere. It shouldn't benefit you by not having to play a good team,which I feel a lot of times is USC's strong point.
We played as many games as the other two.

Without pollsters doing everything and just watching the season and basing it on the schedule and performance. You have to go Oklahoma, Auburn,Usc. People can make a case for Auburn and I might bite on it,but not with Usc. It's like miami playing in the big east. They dominate they win every year. With a weak schedule. They move to the Acc and look what happens.
USC's SOS is better than Auburn's. USC ranks higher in every single computer. USC is higher in both polls. USC has more wins over teams with winning records. USC has more wins over teams that have beaten somebody with a winning record.
 
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I just think it is funny that the media is so stupid they get tricked into thinking OU is a world beater every year. Now before I start this rant I will admit that I hate OU with a passion, almost as much as I hate scUM, so I will put forth a very biased opinion. Last year we heard all season how OU was the greatest thing ever to walk on a college football field. We and the media also learned that just because you can score 70 on Iowa state, and Baylor doesn't mean that you can go undefeated. When OU found two good defenses at the end of the year they got spanked, not beat, SPANKED. USC played an aggressive OOC schedule, Auburn played a great conference schedule, OU did NEITHER. I don't care how many points OU beats Colorado or Baylor by, they are still Colorado and Baylor. If I had a vote I would punish teams that run up the score, it is poor sportsmanship. Those kids that play for Baylor work just as hard as chokelahoma's kids. Baylor's boys might not have as much talent, but that doesn't mean they need to have their faces rubbed in it. Sorry about the rant, I just hate Chokelahoma.
 
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