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Juniors leaving early - speculation thread

Fiu's take:

http://cfbnews.com/2006/Draft/EarlyEntries.htm

2006 NFL Draft
Early Entries from D-I
By Pete Fiutak

To go or not to go. Tis nobler to return to school for a senior season than to leave early and get taken late. Even so, it's impossible to tell a legitimate pro prospect not to come out early after what happened to Willis McGahee in the 2003 Fiesta Bowl or Wisconsin's Joe Thomas in this year's Capital One Bowl. If you win the lottery, you don't sit on the ticket for a year. Some of these players are going to be instant millionaires while others are making a big mistake.

My rule of thumb for pro prospects is this: If your game relies purely on speed, come out. Every football player needs speed to some degree, but a receiver, running back and defensive back only has so many years of blazing speed in them. Any slippage in that top gear, and you're out of the league. Running backs can only take so many shots and should come out as soon as humanly possible. Everyone else should stay in school unless they're a sure-fire first or second round pick. Here are the early entries so far.

Antonio Cromartie, CB Florida State
Projected: 2nd round
Good or bad move? He has to prove he's 100% healthy, but he would've likely been a top ten pick if he never had the knee injury.

Vernon Davis, TE Maryland
Projected: 1st round
Good or bad move? In a loaded year for tight ends, Davis should be the first one taken. He's a field stretching receiver playing tight end.

Maurice Drew, RB UCLA
Projected: 4th to 5th round
Good or bad move? Size will be an issue, but ticky-tack injury history will be an even bigger problem. He'll be drafted as a kick returner and change-of-pace back.

Ray Edwards, DE Purdue
Projected: 2nd to 3rd round
Good or bad move? He could quickly rise into the first round with the right workouts. His tremendously disappointing junior year will quickly be forgotten about with a few good workouts.

Charles Gordon, WR/CB Kansas
Projected: 2nd to 3rd round
Good or bad move? If Justin Miller can be a first round pick, then so can Gordon. He didn't have the All-America season expected of him this year, but that's because no one threw at him.

Willie Hall, OT MTSU
Projected: 5th round
Good or bad move? He has the measurables at 6-6 and 302 pounds, and he has improved in each of the last three seasons. He'll be a solid career backup.

Devin Hester, WR/CB Miami
Projected: 1st round to early 2nd round
Good or bad move? He'll fall under the category of too-good-to-pass-up, but no one really has a clue of what to do with him. Is he a corner that needs a ton of work, or is he a receiver that hasn't reached his potential? At the very least, he's a scary-good kick return prospect.

Santonio Holmes, WR Ohio State
Projected: 1st round
Good or bad move? It'll be an upset if he's not the first receiver taken. He might not be Randy Moss/Terrell Owens-sized, but he can fly. He's a bigger Steve Smith.


Chad Jackson, WR Florida
Projected: 2nd round
Good or bad move? Possibly the best combination of size and speed among the receiving prospects, Jackson will be a steal midway through the second round, and could replace Derek Hagan as the second receiver taken behind Santonio Holmes.

Omar Jacobs, QB Bowling Green
Projected: 2nd round
Good or bad move? There was talk before the season of Jacobs being on the verge of being a better pro prospect than Matt Leinart. He was dinged up and didn't put up the numbers he did in 2004, but he still rocked when healthy. He needs work on his throwing motion and the scouts have cooled on his overall skills, but he's accurate enough to get at least a few offensive coordinators excited about his potential.

Greg Lee, WR Pitt
Projected: 3rd round
Good or bad move? He has the size and the big-play capability, and he has the potential to grow into an early second round pick if he times well. Expect his physical style to make him a late first-day selection.

Laurence Maroney, RB Minnesota
Projected: First round
Good or bad move? His speed might put him in the top 15. He'll likely be the third back taken behind Reggie Bush and DeAngelo Williams.

Richard Marshall, CB Fresno State
Projected: 4th round
Good or bad move? He'll slide because of his size, but he'll move into the first day if his 4.4 speed becomes 4.38 speed in workouts. He's tough and a nice ball-hawker.

Stanley McClover, DE Auburn
Projected: 3rd round
Good or bad move? Size is the issue. He needs to gain about 10-15 more pounds, but there's no questioning his pass rushing skills or his speed. If someone believes he'll get bigger and won't lose his quickness, he might be an early second rounder.

Haloti Ngata, DT Oregon
Projected: Top ten pick
Good or bad move? The first tackle off the board. He could go top five.

Bernard Pollard, S Purdue
Projected: 2nd to 3rd round
Good or bad move? In a thin year for safeties, he'll likely find his way into the second round because of his hitting ability. He's questionable at best in pass coverage.

Leonard Pope, TE Georgia
Projected: 1st round
Good or bad move? Pope is too big and too good a receiver to fall out of the first round.

Rob Smith, G Tennessee
Projected: 3rd to 4th round
Good or bad move? He has the size and the athleticism, but he has to prove he's really over all the little injuries over the years. He's a strong run blocker.

Stephen Tulloch, LB NC State
Projected: mid-to-late first day
Good or bad move? All question marks about his shoulder appeared answered this year. He's a tremendous tackler with great range and instincts. He can find his way into the second round if someone becomes enamored with his tackling skills.

Demetris Summers, RB South Carolina
Projected: 6th round to undrafted
Good or bad move? He'll stick with a team for at least a year, likely as a free-agent. He has decent talent and good speed, but off-the-field questions will be a problem.

Marcus Vick, QB Virginia Tech
Projected: late 3rd round to early second day
Good or bad move? Think Adrian McPherson. Someone will be ecstatic to groom him for a few years as a quarterback of the future.

Dee Webb, CB Florida
Projected: late 2nd to early 4th round
Good or bad move? He isn't all that big, but he's a sure-tackling corner with nice ball skills. He's a second rounder with a tremendous combine.

Donte Whitner, S Ohio State
Projected: 3rd to 5th round
Good or bad move? He needs work. He could've used another year to build more of a buzz. He would've been one of the Big Ten's best defenders in 2006.


Mario Williams, DE NC State
Projected: Top 15
Good or bad move? Some think he would've been a first rounder as a freshman.

Vince Young, QB Texas
Projected: Top five pick
Good or bad move? He might be the future of the NFL. Think Michael Vick if he was a quarterback.
 
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santonio is the way that the nfl is moving, guys like marvin harrison, santana moss, and steve smith are proving to be matchup nightmares for secondaries that have become much larger trying to defend the likes of terrel owens and randy moss.
 
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I agree with the articel on Whitner... It jsut seems, and I think I've said this before, that its a very Na'il Diggs type thing to me, where he could get lost in the shuffle and go a lot later than he thinks (or deserves) simply because he's 1. A Safety and 2. Is sort of an after thought, Just hasn't been on the scene long enough-- Meaning that he could have been the guy, or one of two or three guys on Ohio State's D that scout were waching, instead of being kind of the guy after Hawk, Carp... maybe even Salley, Kudla, Schlegel... who were being watched closely because they were seniors and would be availabel for sure... Now, whoever does draft him, will ahve a fine football player on their hands, and will be happy.... and they'll be even happier that they might get him on the cheap. So, I just worry that he'll go 5th or 6th round, rather than 2nd or 3rd.
 
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Anthony Fasano, ND's tight end, has declared for the draft.

Also Kai Parham, LB at Virginia.

Ko Simpson of South Carolina is also reported to be leaving early.

edit - Ernie Sims, Florida State LB, has also declared for the draft.
 
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Injury made this a no-brainer, but...

Pittsburgh Live

PSU's Posluszny apparently will return
By Sam Ross Jr.
TRIBUNE-REVIEW
Tuesday, January 10, 2006

Paul Posluszny will return for his senior season at Penn State according to a report in the Monday edition of the school's student newspaper, The Daily Collegian. The story quoted Posluszny's mother Jackie saying, "He plans on coming back. He still wanted to return and finish his schooling."
Attempts to reach Posluszny or his family yesterday were unsuccessful.
Posluszny, who had considered leaving school early and declaring for the NFL's April draft, was injured in the fourth quarter of Penn State's 26-23, triple-overtime win against Florida State in the FedEx Orange Bowl.

The junior linebacker from Hopewell High School suffered partial tears of the medial collateral and posterior cruciate ligaments in his right knee. An MRI exam determined that surgery is not required, and he is expected to recover after a rehabilitation period of 6-8 weeks.
Posluszny won the Butkus and Bednarik awards this past season.
The Penn State football program hauled in a couple of additional honors yesterday.
First, the Lions have won their 26th Lambert Meadowlands Trophy, emblematic of eastern football supremacy.
The award is open to schools from New York, New Jersey, New England and Pennsylvania or teams in border states of West Virginia, Delaware, Maryland and Virginia, plus the District of Columbia, if the schools play half their games against teams from the east region.
Penn State, which finished 11-1 and No. 3 in the national polls, captured six of seven first-place votes to outdistance runnerup West Virginia, the Sugar Bowl champion that also finished 11-1.
Tackle Jay Alford, a junior who is the only Lions starting down defensive lineman who will return next season, was picked on the ESPN.com all-bowl team.
Alford was part of a Penn State defense that held Florida State to 26 rushing yards on 26 carries in the Orange Bowl.
The junior forced a fumble and had 2 1/2 tackles for loss in the game. He was a second-team All-Big Ten pick this season.



Sam Ross Jr. can be reached at [email protected] or (724) 838-5144.
 
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link

1/10/06


<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=750 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class="" vAlign=top width=560>Report: High school coach says Calhoun will enter NFL draft

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD height=7><SPACER type="block" width="1" height="1"></TD></TR><TR><TD class=yspsctnhdln>Report: High school coach says Calhoun will enter NFL draft</TD></TR><TR><TD height=7><SPACER type="block" width="1" height="1"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>January 9, 2006

MILWAUKEE (AP) -- Wisconsin tailback Brian Calhoun told his high school coach he will forgo his senior season and enter the NFL draft, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported on its Web site Monday.
A second-team All-America selection, Calhoun helped the Badgers to a 10-3 record in Barry Alvarez's final season as coach. Alvarez is staying on as athletic director at Wisconsin, but defensive coordinator Bret Bielema is taking over as head coach.

Calhoun, who sat out the 2004 season after transferring from Colorado, capped his season by running for 213 yards and a touchdown Jan. 2 in the Capital One Bowl in Orlando, Fla., where Wisconsin beat Auburn 24-10.


Joe Koch, who was Calhoun's coach at Oak Creek High School, said the running back carefully studied his options before personally informing Bielema of his decision on Monday.

"He wanted to be sure Coach Bielema heard it from him," Koch said.

He said the 5-foot-10, 194-pound Calhoun expects to be picked no later than the second round of the draft but won't mind being picked later than that.

"He said his dream is to be in the NFL and as long as he's got his foot in the door he knows he'll prove himself," Koch said.

Calhoun carried 348 times for 1,636 yards this season and caught 53 passes for 571 yards. He ran for 22 touchdowns and caught two TD passes. Calhoun was expected to hold a news conference in Madison on Thursday.
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
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