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Operation Chaos mode - BCS Title game contenders

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Buckeyeskickbuttocks;1570793; said:
this is the first game Ohio State has lost - which Ohio State should NOT have lost - since Illinois 2007.
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And that team went to the Rose Bowl correct? Since OSU went to the Title. and the refs were disciplined for that game.
 
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Buckeyeskickbuttocks;1572461; said:
I've ruled your forward progress stopped, so that fumble you just recovered at my 7 doesn't count. :wink2:
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Or your fumble that fell out while you dove at the 3 and rolled thru the end zone after your 60 yard run.:biggrin:
 
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jwinslow;1571570; said:
It's truly sad how many people have already decided how highly a 1-loss SEC team will rank without even seeing how they are playing.
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It is a YTD projection. It's not unreasonable at all to me to assume that even if Bama/Florida have one loss yet win the league title game, their body of work will be more impressive than the other contenders. Of course Bama/Florida could look worse as the season goes on, then the YTD projection changes. The only possible disagreement I see whatsoever with 1-loss SEC being that high at this point is an undefeated Iowa, and that would be far from a clear choice to me.
 
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Here's my update this week for which teams still have a shot at the BCS Title Game. These are NOT intended to reflect this week's BCS standings.

Estimated Final BCS Pecking Order
01. Undefeated SEC Champ (Bama-Fla)
02. Undefeated Texas (control their own destiny)
03. Undefeated Iowa
04. 1-loss Bama-Fla SEC Champ
05. Undefeated Cincy (hey, they didn't lose to Washington)
06. 1-loss USC
07. 1-loss Texas Big 12 Champ
08. 1-loss LSU SEC Champ
09. 1-loss non-SEC-Champ Bama-Fla
10. 1-loss non-Big 12 Champ Texas
11. Undefeated TCU
12. 1-loss GaTech ACC Champ
13. 1-loss Okla St Big 12 Champ
14. Undefeated Boise St
15. 1-loss Oregon
16. 1-loss Penn St
17. 2-loss Bama-Fla SEC Champ
18. 1-loss Big East Champ (Cincy-Pitt-WV)
 
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17. 2-loss Bama-Fla SEC Champ

Shouldn't this be higher? I mean, as our friends at CBS would say, if Alabama, Florida, LSU, Georgia, Ole Miss, South Carolina, and company all can't survive the SEC with only 1 loss, doesn't that just show how tough the league is and make the SEC champ all the more deserving of a BCS title bid?
 
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Here's my update for this week. Remember, this is not supposed to be a projection of Sunday's standings, but an estimation of which teams would be in the final BCS top-2 under various scenarios.

Estimated Final BCS Pecking Order
01. Undefeated SEC Champ (Bama-Fla)
02. Undefeated Texas (control their own destiny)
03. Undefeated Iowa
04. 1-loss Bama-Fla-LSU SEC Champ (added LSU here, they get juice if they win out)
05. Undefeated Cincy
06. 1-loss Texas Big 12 Champ (moved down since any loss would now be bad)
07. 1-loss non-SEC-Champ Bama-Fla-LSU
08. Undefeated TCU
09. 1-loss GaTech ACC Champ
10. Undefeated Boise St
11. 1-loss Oregon (this may seem low, but they lost to undefeated Boise St)
12. 1-loss non-Big 12 Champ Texas (this would have to occur in B12 CCG)
13. 1-loss Penn St
14. 2-loss Bama-Fla SEC Champ
15. 1-loss Iowa
16. 1-loss Big East Champ (Cincy-Pitt)
 
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USC's demise because of injuries points out how everyone is vulnerable to injuries and the flu this year! Whoever they get in a Bowl game they will kill.
4-5 weeks to go and lots of possibilities!
Florida has been hit by injuries, but has survived............. so far.
 
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Here's my update for this week. Remember, this is not supposed to be a projection of Sunday's standings, but an estimation of which teams would be in the final BCS top-2 under various scenarios.

Estimated Final BCS Pecking Order
01. Undefeated SEC Champ (Bama-Fla)
02. Undefeated Texas (control their own destiny)
03. Undefeated Cincy (this is a tough call over #4, but they're in a BCS conference and won at Oreg St)
04. 1-loss Bama-Fla SEC Champ
05. 1-loss Texas Big 12 Champ (any loss would now be bad)
06. 1-loss non-SEC-Champ Bama-Fla (would have to be in SEC CCG)
07. Undefeated TCU
08. 1-loss GaTech ACC Champ
09. Undefeated Boise St
10. 1-loss non-Big 12 Champ Texas (this would have to occur in B12 CCG)
11. 2-loss Bama-Fla SEC Champ
12. 1-loss Big East Champ (Cincy-Pitt)
 
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BB73;1588028; said:
Here's my update for this week. Remember, this is not supposed to be a projection of Sunday's standings, but an estimation of which teams would be in the final BCS top-2 under various scenarios.

Estimated Final BCS Pecking Order
01. Undefeated SEC Champ (Bama-Fla)
02. Undefeated Texas (control their own destiny)
03. Undefeated Cincy (this is a tough call over #4, but they're in a BCS conference and won at Oreg St)
04. 1-loss Bama-Fla SEC Champ
05. 1-loss Texas Big 12 Champ (any loss would now be bad)
06. 1-loss non-SEC-Champ Bama-Fla (would have to be in SEC CCG)
07. Undefeated TCU
08. 1-loss GaTech ACC Champ
09. Undefeated Boise St
10. 1-loss non-Big 12 Champ Texas (this would have to occur in B12 CCG)
11. 2-loss Bama-Fla SEC Champ
12. 1-loss Big East Champ (Cincy-Pitt)
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Mostly agree. I think Pitt finishing the season with wins against ND, WVU, and Cincy moves up a good bit on the list. Particularly over an SEC team that dropped 2 of 3 games to either 1) Miss St, UT Chattanooga, and Auburn or 2) South Carolina, Florida Int'l, and Florida State. Probably over a Texas team fresh off a loss to either Nebraska or Kansas State, and most likely over undefeated Boise State. I'd slot them in at #9.

This might be sacrilege, but it seems like every conference is down this year, particularly the Big 10, Pac 10, and Big 12, and because of that the Big East and ACC just don't seem that bad in comparison.
 
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As of the time I write this, the coaches' poll has been released and we sit at #8, but no Harris or BCS poll for this week yet. The computers will probably have us somewhere in the 12-15 range, but that'll go up further next week if we can beat Iowa this week (computers have liked Iowa and they don't account for Stanzi/running backs being out).

A lot needs to happen but I think this makes sense.

(Asterisk denotes IMHumbleO)

Things that definitely need to happen:
Texas loses a game
Cincy loses a game
TCU loses a game
Boise State loses a game
Georgia Tech loses a game

Things that probably need to happen (from most important to least important for the Bucks)*:
Texas loses a second game
USC loses a game
SEC CG loser loses before CCG.
Pitt loses a game
Cincy loses a second game
LSU loses a game
Utah loses a game

Way it could play out (from most plausible to least plausible)*:
Georgia wins @GTech.
Cincy loses @Pitt.
Nevada or Idaho wins @Boise State.
Utah wins @ TCU this week.
Texas loses in the Big 12 title game to K-State/Nebraska.

This might be able to get it done if we look REALLY impressive to close out the season (and other teams - USC maybe excluded - look really bad) but the following would help:

Pitt loses @WVU.
GTech loses to Clemson/BC in ACC CG.
Utah loses @BYU
WVU wins @Cincy.
LSU loses @Ole Miss or vs. Arkansas.
USC loses @home to either Stanford, AZ, or UCLA.
Bama loses @Auburn or MSU and then to Florida in the SECCG.
Texas loses @aTm.
Florida loses @South Carolina or vs. FSU and then to Bama in the SECCG.

Crazy? Yes.
Have I seen crazier? See: 2007 NCAA Division I FBS football season - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 
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